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TEITS

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Everything posted by TEITS

  1. TEITS
    This in my opinion is the area at highest risk of storms occurring between 6-9pm. I fear the action will be just to my west today although hoping im wrong.
  2. TEITS
    Looks like some action is developing to my S and directly moving N.
  3. TEITS
    Temps already reaching 20C across E Anglia/SE. Feels very humid also.
  4. TEITS
    Yes it is because the same area is at risk. Just noticed Met O warning is the same. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=1 Maybe the Met O forecaster who did that map also lives in Peterborough.
  5. TEITS
    Here is my risk area for today.
  6. TEITS
    Looking forward to tomorrow as a forecast I just watched stated Cambs, Northants, Wash are at greatest risk of storms tomorrow.
  7. TEITS
    I didn't get chance to follow this thread yesterday but I assume most were generally disappointed with the lack of storms. Here the morning started off brilliantly with a cracking storm at 7am but after that it was just periods of moderate rainfall. Today looks as though N England/Wales could see some heavy showers./storms and then tomorrow a greater risk across most parts. On a different note I was just thinking back to some classic storms in the 90s. Does anyone remember Sunday 24th July 1994. This was an incredible day in Peterborough as the day began very hot but storms broke out in the afternoon as a cold front swept E. Apart from the frequent lightning the most memorable feature of that day was the classic mammatus cloud overhead.
  8. TEITS
    Awoken to the sound of thunder. Just looked at the radar and as mentioned the speed of development is incredible.
  9. TEITS
    Only just stumbled across this whilst we wait for action to develop. http://www.peterboroughtoday.co.uk/news/local/video-funnel-cloud-blows-across-crowland-1-6104435 I have lost count how many funnel clouds/tornadoes that have been seen in this area since 2005.
  10. TEITS
    Exactly right. For many days the models have indicated the areas I have highlighted are at greatest risk.
  11. TEITS
    I have highlighted the areas most at risk for tomorrow with the area in red standing the greatest chance of seeing severe storms. Im not expecting much for the overnight period as I feel this will consist mostly of heavy rain with the odd clap of thunder (thundery rain). The heavy rain moving N tonight will affect mostly central areas before clearing N in the morning. During the late afternoon is when it could kick off in the areas I have highlighted. Areas in most likely to miss out is Wales especially the W, SW England, far E of E Anglia/SE.
  12. TEITS
    During winter I dislike living in Peterborough and wish I lived in Aberdeen when it comes to snow. However in summer when storms are forecast I love living in Peterborough because we always seem to do very well.
  13. TEITS
    Dewpoints of 20C for my location. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1118.gif At the moment it looks very tasty especially for "Thunderstorm Alley" of the UK i.e Cambs, Beds, Lincs, etc
  14. TEITS
    Personally im not expecting much until this band of rain clears. I then expect storms to break out a few hrs after the band of cloud has cleared. This is why I don't expect much in the way of storms for the W/SW. These areas are more at risk from just heavy downpours.
  15. TEITS
    Looking at the radar and the chart I posted it appears to be spot on in my opinion for 9am.
  16. TEITS
    Looks like E Midlands and the extreme W parts of E Anglia could be the prime spot for storms today. Also appears any storms will last for much of the evening before dying out in the early hrs of tomorrow morning. http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2014/05/24/basis00/ukuk/prec/14052415_2400.gif
  17. TEITS
    Short video from todays storm. Always typical I miss the best lightning./thunder moments!
  18. TEITS
    Over 2 hts now of thunder, lightning and torrential rain. I will be putting a video together shortly.
  19. TEITS
    Just heard loud crack of thunder. I got back home just in time.
  20. TEITS
    Here is that tornado. Very excited at todays prospects for our area.
  21. TEITS
    Yep and from around 4pm into this evening im expecting the storms to break out more widely in the S and spread N into the Midlands/E Anglia.
  22. TEITS
    Very little action for a majority of us today with further spells of very warm sunshine. The exception to this is Wales, and especially NW England who could see storms break out this afternoon. The real action could be later this evening and overnight when storms will break out more widely from the S and move N. Tomorrow should also see widespread storms.
  23. TEITS
    A cracking storm in Peterborough at the moment.
  24. TEITS
    So despite the 0Z being wildly an outlier the 06Z does produce a cold E,ly in the end. Shall explain later why I feel an E,ly is on its way and the key period is much earlier around +96 to +120.
  25. TEITS
    0Z GFS was only slightly an outlier. http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/ensimages/ens.20140213/00/t850Cambridgeshire.png Still considering the wildly different ECM runs and the 0Z GFS I feel its premature to write off the chance of an E,ly before Feb is out. I would like to add something to the poster who referred to me as hopecasting. Trust me I have far more important things in life going on right now than a few flakes of snow. Im posting on here and continuing with my forecasting because its proves to be a nice distraction from my daily woes! I do not allow my bias to affectment my judgement when forecasting and continue to use instincts.
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