Barry12

GFS 18Z 168 hours: 192 hours: 240 hours Even worse than the 12z I think at this stage

ECM 12Z is on it's way out... The trend continues with the ECM with the Northery still there

The ECM supports them

The models are predicting cold from mid November, I don't know about metcheck - but that forecast for snow is unlikely.

Not bad

Hopefully the GFS 18z keeps the trend going... It does by the looks of it!

ECM at 144: ECM at 168: ECM at 192: ECM at 216 ECM at 240:

He'll probably post a picture on his website of a Scottish mountain which will 'show' he was right

Maybe madden is bad at geography and thought Greenland was the UK?

THIS COULD BRING HEAVY SNOW AND SEVERE COLD TO THE SCOTTISH MOUNTAINS

He forecasted severe cold and heavy snow as we progress through November, not just a 'cool down'

ECM looks chilly

Not strictly on topic but the Met Office also see temperatures trending below average from Wednesday onwards: UK Outlook for Tuesday 12 Nov 2013 to Thursday 21 Nov 2013: Rain across southeastern England will clear on Tuesday morning with sunny spells and scattered showers following elsewhere, showers locally heavy and thundery across the north and west. It will be breezy with local gales across the north. By Wednesday, there should be more sunshine and fewer showers across the country with lighter winds. Temperatures will be near normal at first but it will turn colder by Wednesday. From Thursday to Saturday, southern areas should enjoy drier and brighter weather with lighter winds although with a fog and frost risk, whilst northern parts will be more unsettled with rain and stronger winds. By the end of the period, these unsettled conditions look set to return to the whole of the UK with the heaviest rain across the north and west. Updated: 1138 on Thu 7 Nov 2013 They also remain on the fence for the end of November: UK Outlook for Thursday 21 Nov 2013 to Thursday 5 Dec 2013: The rather unsettled conditions will probably continue into the start of this period, but with the potential for the rain to alternate with longer drier periods, which could well include overnight frosts and fog patches. However, by the end of November confidence significantly decreases regarding which weather type is most likely to dominate. There are currently no strong signals indicating significantly above or below average temperatures or rainfall. Hopefully this is reflected in the models and we trend below average during mid-month. It's certainly all still to play for!

Still looks nice to see though

GFS 00z ends with another Greenland high http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=384&code=code&mode=0&mode3h=0&runpara=0&carte=1 I asked night if the ECM could show the block at 240 hour and it has!

Will the block show in the ECM 240 hour in a couple of days I wonder!?

For me the Winter 2009/10 got my curiosity, then December 2010 got my attention

If the ECM run is right expect a massive cool down Summer Sun.

It certainly wouldn't be T-shirt weather.

Remaining chilly for the next 9 days (Apart from Monday) only at day 10 does it turn mild, which is unlikely to verify

Scandinavia would be cold at 192 and 216, still remaining chilly for most of us apart from the SW.

ECM at 144 ECM 168 Very chilly

It's certainly got potential

Polar Vortex on the move