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Captain Shortwave

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Captain Shortwave last won the day on July 22 2018

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About Captain Shortwave

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    Meteorology, science, retro gaming and writing fiction.
  • Weather Preferences
    Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.

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  1. Both the GFS and UKMO look set to clear away the trough with high pressure building towards the north of the U.K. neither so far backing the ECM solution from this morning which is a positive even if it doesn’t produce anything significant at this point in time.
  2. Slight irony in the output this morning. The GFS quickly clears the trough over the U.K. from day 6 northeast wards, whilst the ECM is much slower and in the end the next system phases with the residual cold pool. This could be one of those times where the GFS’s so-called bias might be allowing it to produce a much more favourable result for cold as the upstream High can build much further north than the ECM.
  3. A few runs have suggested the potential for the first proper cold blast of the Autumn, the timeframe at the far end of October is too far away and the approach to setting it up looks very precarious in actually delivering something. The ECM frankly is quite awful in returning very wet conditions to the U.K. at a time where we really don’t need more rain. luckily before then we should see things dry out and we get a few dry days though it might be more of a gloomy set up than sunny.
  4. Well there was a thunderstorm here, managed to find the gap on the rain so mostly moderate falls here. A cracking spell of hot and sunny weather ended with a homegrown thunderstorm. Interestingly we might keep temperatures at around or above average out to the end of the month as a front bringing cooler conditions will only arrive late on Saturday with a south west feed ahead of it.
  5. Well back home and it is sunny with storms kicking off to the east. Oh well...
  6. In Ely and yes the cloud is building nicely, any loss of heat from the cloud being made up by the higher humidity. Hard to tell how any shower potential will pan out, looking surface based, albeit rather elevated in itself due to the heat.
  7. Last hot and sunny day today. Got the day off so I am going to enjoy it. Well aside from the 1 year jabs that my son will never forgive me for. enjoy today, probably will be the last 30c+ day until next year... famous last words of course....
  8. 32c reached the second day in a row. 4 days reaching 90f or above and 6 days which reached 30c. not too bad a summer. Maybe one more 30c tomorrow.
  9. 32c reaches back home so a properly hot day. Just relaxing in the garden now with the temperature still above 30c. Lovely.
  10. Relaxing in Beccles at the moment. Very little breeze which means it feels very steamy out there. Returning to Peterborough this afternoon, 28c at 11am, it is going to be a very hot there.
  11. What an absolute coup for the tourist industry. Biggest weekend of the year and near perfect conditions for many areas, throughout the whole weekend as well. A real mixed bag of a summer with some proper washouts, some absolute scorchers, some thunderstorms mixed in too. what probably makes this summer different is how localised many events have been and how some people will say that this summer was excellent, whilst others would have seen this as a properly poor one.
  12. Lovely lovely day with almost unbroken sunshine. A high of 28c in parts of the fens this afternoon. After a wobble, it looks like the weekend will be hot and sunny for all. In Gt Yarmouth for a couple of days, still mid-twenties forecast even close to the coast. Perfect. Yes the first week of August was hot still, it actually turned during the second week, just when my son was born.
  13. Arpege maxima based on the 12z. Saturday - 30c Sunday - 33c Monday - 34c Model consensus for now is keeping that shallow low out of harms way. But await the ECM just in case it throws a cooler solution.
  14. A long way off, but there does seem to be a disturbance that could bring thundery downpours on Sunday. Saturday looks foods, or at least for eastern areas at least. It does look like a warm weekend though with the ECM looking the warmest with 850s above 15c by Sunday.
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