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East_England_Stormchaser91

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Everything posted by East_England_Stormchaser91

  1. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Eagle Eye with what I think will be an accurate forecast yet again. Him and Nick F on here are excellent. Really missing Dan Holleys forecasts. Also Paul Sherman had excellent input. Does anyone know if he’s ok? Haven’t seen him on here for ages. Sunday is still a very mixed picture. Looks like a more evening, early part of the night event now, rather than a 1-4AM job. Quite a few runs showing something quite significant heading through NE France maybe Kent on early Monday morning. Still not nailed down whatsoever as to what we will actually see. The instability is certainly still showing however, which is the main thing.
  2. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Hoping we see another Sunday like I did the last one. This was the Lincs storm viewed from Hunstanton! One of the most prolific, continental type ones I’ve seen yet in the UK.
  3. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Getting interesting now I must say. Big chance of some lively french imports. Looks to be an abundance of fat CAPE from the Pyrenees all the way to the Midlands. One or two decent MCS’ being churned out. Maybe even a rare MCC shouldn’t be ruled out on Sunday evening/night. As ever, we should not get too hung up on the broad detail. Friday evening will be when we can really start to nail down some decent predictions.
  4. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Different dynamics I would say. Afternoon surface based French stuff never does too well once it hits the channel. If there’s no mid level instability, the storm just simply loses all source of fuel. Yesterday there was plenty of ML CAPE as well as surface based CAPE to sustain them. Although they lost their intensity a tad once out in the North Sea. Couldn’t believe how much lightning that mothership was pinging out. Lincolnshire yesterday was rivalling some of the severe storm outbreaks that France, Germany and BeNeLux see.
  5. East_England_Stormchaser91
    What a phenomenal day it was yesterday. That Cambs/Lincs storm was easily the best one seen for quite sometime. Knocking on 80mph winds at its peak, it could’ve been considered a borderline derecho/bow echo. Wish I got out and headed down the A17 earlier, but opted for Hunstanton to try and catch it, hoping for a little bit of right movement. I experienced the sudden wind/gust front that it created. Very suddenly sand and other bits of debris were being launched into the air. Almost like a gustnado.
  6. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Just incredible. Another monster heading this way again too. What a day.
  7. East_England_Stormchaser91
    I may have to have a trip up to see it off! Going very dark towards Wisbech way now.
  8. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Look at the head on that! This beast could be right turning for me.
  9. East_England_Stormchaser91
    I think parts of the W Mids, Central Wales and parts of NW England could be in for some decent storms tomorrow. Some real juice out that way in the form of 2000j/Kg in parts. Perhaps some decent hail involved if they do form in the evening.
  10. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Yep, usually the sea temperatures are warm enough now to prevent masses of advection fog. Must be because of the unusually warm airmass for September flooding out over the North Sea.
  11. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Currently 27c here. Just amazing how down the road on the coast, it’s laden with North Sea crud! Hunstanton literally on the boundary between a grey drab day and a scorcher! Sheringham not so lucky.
  12. East_England_Stormchaser91
    It will be interesting to see how winter pans out, in terms of potential northern blocking with a heavy transfer of warmth to the poles as a result of all the typhoon/hurricane activity.
  13. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Eye Wall Replacement Cycle
  14. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Overnight tonight is when this could really get nasty. Hurricanes tend to undergo rapid intensification more at night due to better ventilation and colder cloud tops.
  15. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Ian and Michael didn’t rapidly strengthen until right before landfall, so I’m not counting out anything yet. The sea temps are as hot as they’ve ever been just to note.
  16. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Was watching Andy hall (American meteorologist) earlier and his take on it. He noted that the moisture associated with Idalia will be getting steered in the same direction ahead of the system, which was a key similarity to what made Michael become a monster, continuously tapping into steamy gulf Floridian air. On a few of the runs, it even shows Idalia doing an Ivan and potentially looping back round for a second punch into Eastern Florida next week. This has been a very unusual year for displaced weather patterns.
  17. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Practically a hurricane now, 70mph sustained winds. Wouldn’t be surprised to see this start to bomb down during tonight.
  18. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Even more impressive that this convection and hot towers are developing like this during the day. I suspect we will be waking up to a confirmed Cat 1 tomorrow morning.
  19. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Not looking good. 31c sea temps this will be tapping into. Enough to blow up a tropical storm into a major hurricane in very quick time. The only hope is that this can accelerate quickly to shorten timespan over that rocket fuel water.
  20. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Very intense downpour with thunder and gusty winds just zipped through here. Absolutely biblical rain!
  21. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Big rumble to the SW!
  22. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Just heard thunder on the Bournemouth v Spurs game. The crowd even cheered it!
  23. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Convection really getting going now.
  24. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Some real nice CB’s going up already here. Showers breaking out countrywide now too! Soon as midday hits and the updrafts gain a bit more strength, the sferics shouldn’t be too far away.
  25. East_England_Stormchaser91
    Seeing distant flashes to the NE from that storm off North Norfolk! Looks pretty active. Looking forward to tomorrow, slack winds underneath cool air aloft across the board. Could be a beautiful day for some CB cloudscapes. Wouldn’t rule out funnel clouds near local convergence zones, ie near the coast from sea breeze convergence and storm outflow.
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