East_England_Stormchaser91
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Everything posted by East_England_Stormchaser91
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End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Heading off towards Leicester and Birmingham. Decision made. Time to hit the A47 -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Indeed you're right! I'd say you're in an ideal spot should they hold out. -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Feeling very warm here 23c. signs of convection too with growing Cumulus. -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
William buddy, it isn't them that produce the goods, I'd be more convinced if it was a humdinger of a CB exploding over the channel, then I'd be wetting my pants! As AJ has said mate, a sense of realism and open approach to the nature of storms is needed. I don't want you getting upset I case nothing actually comes to fruition, or everything shifts off to the east etc. We have all summer yet. If this was in July, it would've been no doubt substantially better. Patience. -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Very cloudy William. Let's hope it hasn't chucked the spanner in the works for things later on. I wouldn't be having my hopes up too much in all honesty, this is looking quite mediocre to say the least. Hope I'm wrong. -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
All eyes on tomorrow evening then in southwestern areas and Wales etc, then the possibility of some decent homegrown stuff over the midlands into the northwest over the weekend. South East and east Anglia looking more interesting now for the start of next week, subject to change however. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A lot of uncertainty come midweek. Latest GFS hinting at sustaining the warmth and thundery conditions with a much slower departure of the euro troughing, and then a possible return of high pressure and a potential reload of another plume. Best thing will be to concentrate on the weekend and early next week before any kind of conclusion can be made in the more long term scenario. -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
This time tomorrow is when the analysing will begin. Hi res outputs is all I'll be observing. Good luck everyone! Feels good to have you back convective season! -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Where would you say would be best to chase this weekend. I'm thinking of getting on the A50 and heading west from Derby towards Stoke? Seems like a decent spot to be judging by the charts at the moment! -
End of the week & weekend storm risk
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
similar setup to May 2008 this up and coming period. Remember the edge of this system hitting East Anglia. Worth noting that this was about the best we got all that summer too :/ !! This thing was tremendous on the other side of the water. -
Lack of sufficient wind shear looks to be the problem. Back in July last year, we had a raging jet surging up from Portugal and the Spanish plateau, we haven't got that here. Really is looking to be a messy setup and one which I'm not going to get my hopes up until I see something. Remember that bust early on last year Will? Lol. I don't want you wanting to sue the met office again !
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Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Probably because there is a decent fetch over the heated landmass, destabilising more and more, the further it travels over the land. The southwest will only really do well with elevated storms, given the fact that the English Channel is still cool at this time of the year. If anywhere is going to see decent sferic activity, it will be the Southeast into E England + Midlands as this is where the highest temps and highest instability will be. Plus the real heat to tap into off NE France and Benelux. -
Pretty much every shower over the last few days has dodged me or died over me! Hopefully will get something in a bit. Would rather be in somewhere like Arkansas right now where the entire state is under a huge MCS as we speak. Can't wait for a bit of warmth over here too. This weather in late April just doesn't cut it for me.
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Last summer was decent. Full of extremes, 36c recorded, big storms here and there. One of the more exciting summers that's for sure. Hope this one turns out fairly similar.
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Really enjoyed today. Been quite easy chasing these storms, just following the convergence zone northwards! Was interesting how the one over Huntingdon developed. Actually watched the updrafts brew it up and then all hell let loose!! Started off as rapidly rising small cumulus with very strong winds as they passed over me, deviating very quickly to gusty SE winds preceded by inflow type northerlies.
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Just driven through marble sized hail after seeing an incredible multiple bright white fork striking less than half a mile ahead! Astonishing stuff! But quite scary. A1 at alconbury. Just witnessed what sounded like a bomb went off in sawtry 10 mins ago too. Alarms going off and fire brigade out!! Knocked the 3G network out along with it aswell. What a day this is turning out to be!
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sat in Cambridge services. Skies looking menacing to the south now. Pity I've been busy otherwise I'd have been heading to east Anglia. Saw the beauty happening there rising up to the east going along the A14 earlier on. Believe this may be the convergence zone kicking off. Getting pretty black now!