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East_England_Stormchaser91

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Peterborough, N Cambridgeshire
  • Interests
    Spanish Plumes, Heat, Thunderstorms, Snow, anything else that is extreme!
  • Weather Preferences
    Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy

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  1. Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards

    Certainly some convective activity knocking on the doors of Devon and Cornwall now! Looks like a last ditch plume effort from the BOB, quite a few strikes showing there.
  2. Will be very interesting to see how the models deal with this current projected northern blocking set to happen over the coming days. The line is fishing wire thin as to whether we see mild SWerlies or that low managing to slide away and bring the cold down over the country..
  3. Before we get too carried away, I'll await the more reliable timeframe and solid agreement from all the models! Its usually I'm afraid to say it, the most pessimistic run is usually the most accurate and realistic. Great eye candy however!
  4. All I can say is that cold spells wherever I have seen them crop up have always been at quite short notice, with a sudden flip. How anyone can take forecasts seriously with months in advance, I'll never know. I personally didn't foresee January 2013 and then march being as snowy as what they were when we was in December 2012. It was just a continuous endless zonal train! All it took was a rise of heights midway through January and then the goods were delivered spectacularly. The models at the beginning of the month did not show it at all even at a week out. With the sun now approaching minimum activity, La Niña conditions and a possible E QBO, id say there is a greater risk of northern blocking.
  5. Even if we do miss out on the northerlies, they are prepping up cold pooling to our east, which would then be a vital ingredient further down the line if the patterns open up a scandi high and an easterly shot. So many easterlies have failed in the past due to lack of sufficient cold pooling over the near continent.
  6. Dangerous drive into work this morning. Numerous big branches down in S Lincs. A lively start to Autumn, but it's now dying down a fair bit thankfully.
  7. Very flat calm here. Almost an eerie feel to things!
  8. Hurricane Jose

    Will be anyone's guess as its set to become a proper 'floating hurricane' if you like over the next few days. Another interesting watch is over the other side into the eastern Pacific, where for a couple of days now, GFS has shown runs with a tropical storm/hurricane trundling up the gulf of California between the Baja peninsula and Mexico. It would be one for the history books if a hurricane made it all the way up into California!
  9. Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards

    Epic thunder in March, Cambridgeshire! And extreme rain
  10. Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards

    Not bad for the last portion of our storm season. Tomorrow and the rest of the weekend could deliver some more too hopefully!
  11. Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards

    Yes! Been hearing some very decent booms from this thing. Saw it brew up over Stamford, now off towards holbeach/kings Lynn
  12. Hurricane Irma

    Unfortunately, no matter what we do, these events will continue to happen regardless. I do think it is a bit far fetched to believe that all of these recent disasters are to be blamed directly on supposed global warming or 'climate change'. Who knows what may happen in the future. It will be interesting to see what happens during this solar minimum fast approaching. Anyhow, we are where we are and unfortunately it is looking pretty bleak for Florida and the Bahamas right this minute. How are they going to cope with this projected storm surge, and will the new building codes pass the biggest test possibly yet to date since Andrew in 1992.. The short timeframe will soon tell.
  13. Hurricane Irma

    They seem adamant that Irma is going to weaken down to a cat 4. With waters touching nearly 32c, that is a very conservative shout in my opinion.. I hope everyone does the right thing and evacuate this one. It isn't looking good now
  14. Hurricane Irma

    I can't see how this hasn't got the capability of sustaining category 5 throughout. Nobody predicted that this would explode into devastating 180-185mph winds at such short notice, and the forecasters were calling GFS out about how it wouldn't be realistic.. they were wrong! If this monster is moving into ares with higher SST's and stays away from Cuba, then this has catastrophe written all over it from my view.
  15. Hurricane Irma

    Now that is some frequent lightning!!
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