CanadaAl
Members-
Posts
275 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by CanadaAl
-
Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
CanadaAl replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
From a personal perspective I'm curious to see how next week comes off. I'm landing in London on Saturday (14th) and it could be messy if there ends up being widespread snow on Friday. Watching closely. Far from a "typical" December pattern coming off. -
Model output discussion - late November
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes what a terribly ironic twist of fate. The only day we really don't want to see widespread snow. I was hoping for a cool, clear and frosty election with minimal disruption so everyone can get out and vote safely. Perils of having a December election I guess... -
Model output discussion - late November
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah i'd semi agree with that too. Difference was December 2012 started off a lot more promising. I was thinking Dec 2014/Dec 2017 as being more similar personally -
My biggest concern is that it's not really interacting with the PV as it does in some other runs. Ideally we want it nudged away from the pole and even better if we can see a split.
- 3,859 replies
-
- 1
-
- stratosphere
- winter
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
Model output discussion - late November
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-8 Uppers over a good swathe of the country by 11 Dec. Of course it's just for fun but it makes for interesting viewing nevertheless -
Model output discussion - late November
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree. If we can get enough negative tilt on that low SW of Greenland it could be game on for some WAA going up Eastern Greenland. One can hope I guess lol! -
Honestly, seeing this backtrack in the models again and I'm not surprised. Unfortunately there's so much down to luck even when you've got SSWs, Wave activity, low sunspots and all that. This year it seems it's Eastern North America and Eastern Europe's turn. Unfortunately there's just too much energy coming out of the US to allow significant heights to the NW/N/NE. Until that lobe shifts further west over the Hudson Bay, it's curtains on any long term potential. Hoping i'm proved wrong, still a couple months left.
-
The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
CanadaAl replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I was about to say the same thing. I feel for the newbies being thrown from pillar to post -
The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
CanadaAl replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Encouraging to see slight improvements. Nice to see lows ejected S.E now becoming a form horse. Got to see those heights improve around Svalbard if we want any sort of long lasting Scandi High. Progress though -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ECM still keeping things interesting from 11 onwards. Is this a trend? tune in next time. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'm doing the same, following every so often. The impression I'm getting is that the 10th is the pivotal date for colder weather -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
-
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thank you for being the voice of reason, Steve. Give it a few days and the pot of coffee will begin to boil so to speak -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What was on Twitter? EC46? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I know so little about this sort of thing but i remember the same happening in March 2013 but the jet stream didn't ramp up. What was the reason that caused it? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'm not getting hung up past this weekend. We've already seen huge improvements from 1 January onward. Give it a few days.. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thank you. I'm thinking 28/29 onward we will get a slightly better idea. It's going to be tough though since the Jet might be getting ramped up by the deep cold in the US and Canada -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Bringing back memories of 2012/2013. Starting to see the signs of a change. We're about a week ahead 2012/2013 so I agree that 7th Jan onwards will get interesting. I know no two years are the same but I'm crossing my fingers! -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think you're right but a lot of people aren't buying it and seem to think it'll be like this until the end of Feb. It's easy to get gloomy but there's a lot around the corner -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I wouldn't say flat as a pancake. High pressure in charge for the foreseeable. I can't really find cause to complain. We could be seeing 950mb lows coming our way -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'm actually looking forward to it. Crisp, clear nights and sunny days. Things starting to get interesting from 29/30 onwards. I'll take it over rain lol! -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'm honestly happy with a HP Xmas followed by cooling down into early Jan. Sick of this rain. Edit: Xmas chart -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Couldn't agree more, mate! If i can't have a white christmas, a @frosty one is better than a zonal one! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It's encouraging. Hoping for a low to drop s/sw across the channel like seen in the runs a few days ago. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
CanadaAl replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ICON being a filthy tease with this chart: Maybe giving us a few flakes before the fun really begins around xmas/new year