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snowstorm445

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Everything posted by snowstorm445

  1. Plenty of snow across Ireland for Friday on the latest GFS and UKMO runs, the former bringing in a thaw quicker though it has to be said.
  2. True that actually, was just looking at the pressure charts. Also very cold uppers still holding on in most across the northern half of the British Isles.
  3. GFS seems very consistent in bringing the low straight up towards the UK. Almost no change on the 6z
  4. ICON at the end seems to have a battleground type scenario forming with the Azores low southerlies running up against northeasterlies moving in. This is towards Sunday mind. The low on Friday seems to be further south meaning cold(er) uppers for longer over Southern England.
  5. If I remember correctly bits of County Waterford (around Dungarvan) saw very little snow at all, especially later on (the Comeragh Mountains probably shielded them). Also while West Cork did see a bit of snow (even relations of mine down on the usually very mild Beara Peninsula got a good few inches if I recall), the extreme south coast (around Kinsale) was also snowless I think.
  6. Scandi High in late FI, bringing -8 uppers across the UK and Ireland
  7. Snow over England north of the M4 corridor and Northern Ireland. Rain for Southern England and Southern Ireland.
  8. Very much expecting downgrades at this stage, obviously you imagine that you will be wrong eventually but after six years of waiting for even the most watered down snowy spell you know the same thing will happen every "winter". Maybe wet snow showers on a few days if we're lucky, lying snow maybe for an hour or two even! Particularly grating for me as having been abroad (mostly) for the snowier winters of the late 2000s, I fully expected to see something similar when I moved back home in 2011. How wrong I was, nothing since then. We've obviously witnessed a real paradigm shift in win
  9. GFS certainly remains very chilly towards the end of the run, although the Synoptics are a bit of a mess with a very weak Greenland high setting up alongside the Azores high.
  10. Both the GFS and UKMO are good in the short to medium term but are consistent with the High sinking southwards, GFS especially so.
  11. High pressure sinks over British Isles in the ECM this morning, bit of a change from yesterday’s runs.
  12. "Damage" is a tiny bit over the top. Synoptics are still great, a lack of immediate northeasterlies doesn't make the run a disaster. We'll see where this takes us.
  13. 20 minute heavy snow shower just finished here in Cork. Didn't stick though.
  14. Easterly fails to really even get started on the GFS. Disappointing run overall. We shall see how this progresses tomorrow.
  15. I have to say it is eerily reminiscent of "that" infamous ECM (early December 2012). In case anyone needs reminding: Still, the background signals are there, and we have much to be hopeful about. Lets hope the GFS and other models wake up and smell the coffee.
  16. Even if the 6z isn't as good for our part of the world as the previous run, the story is the same regarding the PV. (http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014110706/gfsnh-0-192.png?6?6) Completely in tatters, above average heights over the North Pole. Amazing stuff for this time of year.
  17. Ah, so that's where Maddan gets his forecasts from...
  18. 2011. Horrible year. Apart from some warm(ish) weather in April, nothing really noteworthy. Very mild end to winter, a washout of a summer, and an extremely boring Autumn; ridiculously mild right into November, with non-stop rain (although not particularly windy IIRC). Ramped up zonal weather in December, with some wet snow events but hardly noteworthy compared to the year before. Overall very disappointing, especially with regards to winter. 2012 wasn't great, but some serious flooding in Cork in late June. I can recall the end of May being quite warm as well. A much more seasonal Aut
  19. Agreed. I can distinctly remember Northern blocking being written all over the CFS this time last year, and it obviously never materialised. Why people pay it any heed when it comes to actual long-range forecasting is a mystery to me. Proof if any more was needed that attempts at forecasting weather accurately months in advance are fairly pointless. "OMG, CFS forecasts mild winter in October, winter's over!"
  20. I'm not following this referendum that closely but its interesting to see it from an outsiders perspective; as in outside of the UK. I don't particularly support either viewpoint but IMO, Scotland could do very well for itself in the long run if they go independent. There will of course be an initial shock, economically and politically, but I fail to see why an industrialised nation of 5 million people should not function and prosper as a sovereign state. Its particularly interesting from an Irish perspective, given our own history and the conflict that took place between those who sought ind
  21. Both the Euro4 and GFS suggest wintry showers tomorrow night into Saturday for most of Ireland, especially on higher ground in the North and East where it will be coldest. Dew points shouldn't be a problem, and temperatures are expected to dip to freezing in most parts: Dew points: Expect accumulations on higher ground, but snow itself should reach most low-lying areas, mainly after midnight: This will be a very marginal event, btw, so don't be too disappointed if it falls as rain. I can't see many areas near coasts getting much in the way of snow, particularly here in the south, and
  22. A couple of wet snow showers last weekend, some of them quite heavy, none of it lying though. Apart from that, only a bit of sleety weather around late November/December (I think?). Last year was quite good, we had a number of snowy mornings from January through to March, some of which accumulated to a few cms. The year before that was probably worse than this one, nothing but some brief wet snow in December. Some snow is forecast here on Friday night into Saturday. Its likely to be very marginal, obviously, but any snow is better than none!
  23. Incredibly gusty down here, winds in excess of 100km/h across the south coast, and something like 120km/h in Waterford about an hour ago. Plenty of downed trees in places around the city, and lights have been flickering here for the past few hours. Hope everyone's OK.
  24. Indeed, the cold air continues to be pushed eastward. Very brief window of opportunity across Ireland, although -8 uppers are still decent for this time of year.Could be very chilly and potentially wintry across Scotland and Northern England this weekend.
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