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Mixer 85

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  • Gender
  • Location
    Co. Meath, Ireland
  • Interests
    Music, Weather, Surfing
  • Weather Preferences
    Severe weather, thunderstorms, snow

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  1. Extremely frustrating how cold seems endlessly pushed back beyond the day ten envelope and never seems to get within the reliable. Only hope is that the signal is there and IF the forcings do finally take hold then we could see things counting down. Granted the roller coaster is all too familiar and reminiscent of a typical winter but it’s worth reminding ourselves that there’s nothing typical about the current atmospheric state. It may or may not work in our favour but it’s certainly enough to maintain interest and watch with fascination as everything unfolds. Personally, I’ll be maintaining optimism so long as the likes of G.P, Catacol and B.B 1962/3 are blowing the cold trumpet. Last year seemed dead in the water until out of nowhere the boom charts started appearing, then as we were all expecting the watering down of cold potential it instead came forward with upgrade after upgrade. Phenomenal stuff!!! Micheal
  2. Quite right Rochey. Everything seems to be shaping up nicely. Also worth noting @mountain shadow SSW was never progged to have an effect over the Christmas period. The delayed strat/trop response due to downwelling means that if we’re on the lucky side we likely won’t see any effect until early Jan at best. The potential cold over Christmas is to be driven by other teleconnective forcings (far beyond my ken) which the models will likely struggle with so expect plenty of flip flopping in the coming days.
  3. Jeez what a day!! Totally agree with Neiller22 with regard to dropping of the cold signal for Christmas only to gather pace again in the coming days. It’s always unfolds this way as the models struggle to make sense of the volatility. I just wish that people in the MAD thread would realise this and acquire the ability to look beyond current output. It’s tiresome wading through the doom and gloom “it’s not gonna snow until March “ rubbish! I’m by no means convinced that it’s going to happen but I’m certainly aware of the potential and with that comes great enthusiasm and excitement. For many years I’ve stared at flat zonal charts with E Canada farting low after low at us. Well this year appears to be different thankfully and I expect lots to look forward to. So much so that I left two spare wheels with the local garage man, with instructions to have snow tyres on em before Christmas Worst case scenario they’ll gather dust in the shed but hopefully over the coming weeks I’ll be out in the snow with my fingers falling off as I grip the wheel brace Anyway nice to come in here and see a lot of positive realism. Keep the faith folks. It’s that glimmer of hope that has us here after all. Micheal
  4. Hello all. Haven’t popped in here for a while, so was pleased to find a few pages of very enjoyable content. I’m quietly confident with regard to potential cold during the festive period. Paying attention to certain folk on the mod thread/strat thread whom I wouldn’t consider to be typical rampers has me believing that we may be on the cusp of an exceptional winter. Teleconnections looking favorable for renewed blocking around Christmas, with hopefully enough oomph and in a location that would deliver the goods. With a bit of luck the models will start showing stronger signals of this in the coming days. Following on from this, there’s a lot of musings about a wave 2 SSW later in January which could certainly deliver the goods for a good lengthy period. I keep thinking back to a post from GP back in early November I believe “think of it like a lorry about to jack knife” (wrt to the polar vortex)....well to that I say YES PLEASE!! and hopefully the icy load comes spilling down on top of us!! Anyway, still all to play for and plenty of time to play too. Hope you all are well and feeling festive. Micheal
  5. Hey Rochey, glad you’re enjoying your trip to Kerry. Any thoughts on how we’ll fair out with regards to thunderstorms? Will missing the extreme heat leave us under damp cloudy fronts or would our proximity to the low have us under the battleground sector with lots of beefy storms to enjoy? Thanks in advance
  6. Like the last easterly I wonder if we’ll see further upgrades as we get nearer to T0? Kinda over cold now and would like to see some pleasant spring warmth but then again, extraordinary weather events are the reason for my interest in weather so won’t be complaining if we see an extraordinarily cold event for the time of year. Interesting times to say the least
  7. Aye, it’s getting to that time of year where the Convective Discussion thread will be in full swing. Hopefully after a winter reminiscent of old we’ll see summer follow suit with long hot sunny periods and earth trembling thunderstorms a plenty!
  8. Made it for a stroll up the local hill today (Louchcrew Cairns) The snow depths made it very tough going, walking on top of the snow one second then ending up waist deep. Brought a surfboard too which was great craic! My friend had a make shift sleigh which we repeatedly went over an 8ft ledge of a snow drift on. Fun afternoon but totally wrecked now. The views were absolutely stunning, like a beautiful painting.
  9. According to Met Eireann, temperatures remain close to zero over Ulster with a band of rain moving northward across the country. Hopefully that will lead to further snowfall up north. I’m hoping to get some snow out of it here. Fingers crossed
  10. Delighted to see you guys are finally getting a good pasting. Hopefully it keeps for a while
  11. It’s utterly awful what went on in Dublin tonight! Can’t help but feel ashamed of the scum that are painting such a disgusting picture of our country, given that it will undoubtably be on international news. One would imagine that during such an historic weather event, a banding together of people and a sense of community would prevail, not the complete opposite!! Can’t imagine that sort of thing happening back in 1947/82
  12. What’s the chances of the heavy stuff in the Irish Sea moving west? I haven’t followed models or forecasts at all today, think I’m burnt out after being glued to it for the past couple of weeks. Would be great to see a further top up as I plan a climb up Sliabh na Cailleagh tomorrow. Highest point in Meath so should be pretty spectacular up there. I’ll take plenty of pics to share with all in here.
  13. Friend sent me these from outside Oldcastle
  14. Sister sent me these from Carlanstown Meath
  15. My brother just sent me these...