[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

Just now, Chasbrown said:

Can people remember the biggest cold fail in the models ie when an expected cold spell failed to materialise?

December 2012 That ECM

[Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023]

Thunder & Lightning in Liverpool

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

3 minutes ago, minus10 said:

Wow...its quite a loner at the moment..

Certainly is 

 

 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Boom!

 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Like a sauna here west of Dublin with the sky alive with convection, but nothing happening here, all just my north

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

All bark and no bite I’d imagine 

 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

[Hurricane Idalia]

Eye looks a little more elongated now. Perhaps a stall in intensifying, couldn’t be better timed. Regardless a whopper of a storm.

[Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023]

Wind warnings issued for over here. Might see some sporadic lightning 

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Fantastic storms here near Dublin today with another large funnel 

https://twitter.com/kildaremet/status/1672998343331414022?s=46&t=pAeFdPErY_gS4sy1Jk49Vw

 

 

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Quite a nice light show here just west of Dublin the last while. Mainly elevated though.

It made it across the sea anyways 

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Hasn’t a prayer crossing the Irish Sea 

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

Hopefully hot and thundery will continue to be the trend

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

10 minutes ago, Howie said:

What are the chances that this is just a phantom signal, would like the settled weather to continue 

I’d say 50:50 this time around. Still going to remain very warm and humid though which is good news! 

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Big flash over L15 now after a lull

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Gone so dark in L15 before the rain poured down again

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Constant flashing coming in over The Mersey

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Very loud thunder in Liverpool and pouring rain 

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

West is best for storms too now is it?

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

1 minute ago, mb018538 said:

These persistent low pressure and associated rainfall anomalies across southern Europe are really exceptional. Yet more serious flooding issues on the horizon over the next couple of weeks.

Is this the new summer norm now?

[Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat]

It can Snow in March no problem 

 

 

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

We need the ECM to stick fully with its signal throughout today and not have even a hint of the GFS 

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

‘That ECM’