smhouston
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Must admit I'm quite despondent this morning. NW just don't deliver for me snow wise usually so not expecting anything at all. Pretty annoying as I was quite confident that low to the NE would shift a bit to give us a N/NE and thus plenty of activity from north sea I'm getting to the age now where I want it to snow otherwise I'd rather get to the spring warmth
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Are people just forgetting this isn't a high just sitting over us? That is a very juicy low in the NE pulling from an extremely cold pool over a warm sea...it's almost impossible not to have anything generated from that. Then you have the addition of what the Atlantic sends our way too The precipitation charts are useless until a lot closer, like within days of occurring very good again this morning, everything heading the right way so far with regards to have a period of colder weather
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
smhouston replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The white patch right bang of the middle of the UK with no snow is where I live so bound to be true In all seriousness I'm not going to worry about the finer details like precipitation yet. It's clear though things are going back on track with the ECM steadily improving. Very positive day to be honest. Still think there will be twist and turns and will be compromises at some point, but at least the date in question is still the date things are revolving around Get the cold in, and in these sort of setups the snow will definitely follow. These next few days model watching are going to be fascinating and tantalising -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
smhouston replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, but just take FI with a huge pinch of salt though, with FI being T96+ when cold is suggested. I know sometimes it's hard keeping that excitement in with some of the charts produced, we've all been there. Things have gone Pete tongue before at T48 despite cross model agreement though There was a lot of over excitement yesterday at things too far in advance, some of the comparisons to past years was way OTT. Cross model agreement means sod all, get the first incursion of cold in first, which we look to start doing next week, then see what comes next Not good output so far for a decent cold snowy spell but things can easily swing the other way, models really struggle with these situations. There are still the other background signals the more knowledgeable posters have been saying too which I'm sure won't have suddenly changed As ever in model watching, more runs needed -
To be honest, I'm not expecting anything substantial from this spell (from my location view). Easterlies are always classed as a holy grail yet they rarely come good for us in Yorkshire. NE / N is where it's at for us usually Sure it'll be cold, easterlies do deliver that for us, but except a few showers it'll be relatively dry. No doubt I'll be proved wrong though Does look like it's going to be bitter. Not good for me currently suffering from man flu
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Ended up having a nice walk yesterday evening to try take it in. The main roads was pretty clear and it was clear the snow was melting to some degree, this was at around 6pm - 8pm. Been out this morning and thankfully the snow is still here and there was a nice crunch to it this morning. I'll try post some pictures later. Unfortunately I couldn't get that many scenic ones because it was a bit too late / dark last night Lovely to see snow again
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You're not far from me (Chapeltown) but ours is only showing light snow for the rest of the afternoon Must admit, I'm a bit surprised we don't have more depths here. Don't get me wrong, this isn't a moan, I'm delighted that I've got some and I'll be going out in it after work. However, it's been snowing constantly since about 7:30am and it was already settling come 8am so I thought we'd have more of a build up. We're probably at 1-2 inch but footprints left on my road from early this morning are still clearly visible. Just curious as to why that may be