Allseasons-Si

have you lost your decipherous tongue TI

Maybe THAT cherry will come to bite us next

You where saying!!! give the model a chance first before making a prediction.

I think those nesh men over there are going to need one of these ...and on a more serious note,ok we missed the first bite at the cherry and we loose the easterly next week but this protracted northerly looks more realistic in terms of getting those height's hopefully up into Greenland. cpc days 6-10/8-14 and eps at day ten http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/500mb.php http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/500mb.php https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2018111712&fh=264 AO still looks to tank into neg prob due to the downwelling of the wind reversal from strat to trop as i mentioned the other day but i would like to see the NAO do the same ecm/gefs means look good at day 10 to me we may have to suffer a slightly milder blip but the outlook looks cold after that.

Yes wasn't expecting snow here this evening,i guess evaperative cooling played a part in the heavier burst's was surprised,

Yes that cought me out,was thinking that was it tonight altough ppn dying out as it reaches here,what's with all that ppn over west Wales,was that forecasted?

Monday night/tuesdays take on the snow pushing NW>SE with cold air cutting in behind the cold front. http://www.myweather2.com/synop/player.aspx?synop=2

Oh please fv3 c'on,another trough ready to drop under at 300>360. i am happy with tonight's outs brings a tear dripping to freeze on inpact.

Working mens club having none of it!!! never go there anyway. FV3 at 276 is well,textbook again,that reload i mentioned...

GORGIOUS!!! it seems these FL charts all lead to Greenland heights after that initial Scandi one and always a good thing that as it resets the pattern for reloads from the N/NE.

No disrespect snowy36 but could you post the chart you are refering too i have found it 120 hrs arctic high evident there

The fv3 upping the anti,trough undercut incoming and a better profile with more height's to our north though the 12z wasn't bad neither,

That is a "v" good short set of ens there,90-95%,maybe pushing 97% below -5.

I have highlighted the red arorrow and a red line on the colour chart at the bottom.

Do you have a time machine! don't you mean the 12z

yes @Ice Day sharper trough into Europe,better heights east of Greenland and ESB winter storm held back further west at 96.

Reversal of winds to an easterly downwelling from strat to trop.

Can someone wake me up!!! lol attack from the SW and later from the NE with a perfect hp cell over greenland,this is crazy and on par with the 12z gfs I HAVE NO NAILS LEFT!

Well the 18z is an upgrade to me but i am not going to say BOOOM!!! yet until nearer the time that N Scandi trough is there again which i commented on on the 12z from 150> but coming in earlier and more potent and penetrating the uk this time giving a better easterly at 180 ,good model viewing.

It was raining here firstly then started to turn to sleet then eventually snow with the first batch,then the second batch came through and was much heavier and all snow,it was quiet a whiteout for 5-10 mins.

Powder snow blowing about here now,that fine veriaty but lots of it Edit:it's settling quick.

Thats a relief,the mean still flatlining at -5 all the way,op an outlier.

The mean is ok at 144 peeps...RELAX. at 240

At home where my profile states

Full on snow here now