March Blizzard
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That's true, despite it only being last year I remember hardly anything about it; I've got far better recollection of the 3 Springs preceding it. 2014 really was a shocker, very forgettable bar the Jan/Feb storms.
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http://windowseat.ca/sun/ We are now at an equivalent strength sun to summer.
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April 2015 CET Forecasts
March Blizzard replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'll go for 8.0, thanks. -
Getting a bit breezy out there...
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Yeah, I'm thinking April might take a while to warm up. While the models are hinting at high pressure exerting more influence, I'm not sure I believe it will, or not to any great extent or for any significant period of time. For my location the BBC are currently not going for a daily mean above 7.5C for the first week of April, and the first 7 days average just 6.6C. As it happens April 1986 was very cold, at just 5.8C in the CET zone!
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The changing daylight hours thread
March Blizzard replied to Boydie's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Just 3 days of pre 6am sunrises here before the clocks change, plunging us back to a 6:50 sunrise on the 29th. It's not until April 20th that I see pre 6am sunrises again after Sunday. -
Good chance March will pass by without seeing 20C. Not really unusual. Despite the recent sunny days we have fallen way short of that benchmark, topping out at around 11/12/13C in the warmest spots. Just shows that if the air source isn't favourable then the sun still hasn't yet got the "bite" in it. March, as a whole, straddles the middle ground in terms of annual sun strength and intensity, with most of the month falling in the weaker half of the year.
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http://windowseat.ca/sun/ We are just over a few weeks away from Summer strength sunshine. For those interested set a reminder for April 11 - a date that has the same sun intensity as August 31st.
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Frosts in March? Who'd have thought it? It's all very normal, and a weather type I personally enjoy. Fresh, invigorating, bright and clean. Beats mild, cloudy murk all ends up. Long may the morning frosts continue, especially if they are part of some big diurnal ranges. My idea of Spring heaven.
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And so are the countless charts shown in the model forum over the last two weeks suggesting 20C temperatures and the Azores high being slap bang over us are just around the corner. We hit the dizzy heights of 17.5C earlier in the month and it has literally been downhill since then, in terms of temperatures. The reliable has granted us typical March weather really, with arctic blasts just as much in FI as a taste of summer.
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In the North West we occasionally have a south London fashion designer presenting our weather, this is on the BBC by the way. I'll eat every hat ever made in Stockport if she's a qualified meteorologist... Anyway, apologies for being off topic.
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It's not just the time of year, but the fact we have seen such a mild European winter this year. March 11 2013 was plenty cold but that was coming off the back of a cold(er) UK/European winter so the chances of wintry weather appearing on our shores was greater regardless of the time of year. Of course I get what you are saying, though. Your best chance of cold is probably always in January, all things considered.
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I knew this would happen. We go through the first half of March with mild and benign synoptics and then the second half of the month starts showing conditions that would have been far better to see in the first half! Even March 2013 sort of did that, though the cold had already got going by now.Note to the weather gods: swap the order around next time! (Or better yet just drop the mild entirely!)
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Quite an abrupt temperature gradient in the north midlands/northern England border tonight, with 1/2/3C widely just above it at 6/7/8C widely just below it.
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Clear and frosty start, then clear and fairly mild, then wet and fairly mild, then wet and cool and now back to clear and cold. Bit of everything today.
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How uncannily similar to the start of March 2013... 17.5C recorded on the 5th at Trawsgoed in 2013 17.5C recorded on the 7th at Murlough in 2015. A potentially potent easterly has shown on the models with some consistency over the last few days... ...surely not, right?!
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Such is often the case in March. A different season in each corner of the country, at the same time!
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This Is What Humanity's Impact On The Planet Looks Like
March Blizzard replied to knocker's topic in Space, Science & nature
It's probably telling that one of the most well know naturalists, Sir David Attenborough, is a supporter/patron of organisations that advocate population control. If anyone has seen first hand how humanity has affected the natural world, it's him. -
While the models don't support my thoughts, I can't help but think that the Monday/Tuesday unsettled "blip" may become more than just that. While it's looking likely that HP will re-establish itself I personally wouldn't bank on it. There's still enough time for a different trend to emerge, and the outlook could look rather different in just a few days. Unlikely? Probably. Possible? Certainly.
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At least they had a good winter in Iberia...
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March 2015 CET forecasts
March Blizzard replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What is the reason for doing it that way? Surely a midnight to midnight method would be less hassle, and entirely representative of the temperatures recorded on the day in question. The current method essentially encompasses two days worth of temperatures for one, with the window for the minima mostly on the previous day (although the likely lowest temperature will typically fall on the "correct" day, between midnight and 9am). -
October seems like such a long time away from the start of winter for any patterns experienced in it to have an effect. There's an awful lot of water to run under the bridge between Halloween and December 1st. Surely an NPI (November, obviously) would make more sense, as it directly precedes winter? By no means am I rubbishing or dismissing the OPI as a legitimate forecasting tool/method, I'm just not sure about how effective it's capable of being, bearing in mind the mountain of variables.
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That's the thing, Simshady - I wouldn't want a cool summer. An average British summer is fine by me in terms of temperature, and I'm not anti-spring warmth either - Just not in the first half of March, please. In my book it's simply too early, we are still in pre 6pm sunsets for goodness sake!
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Crystal clear blue skies here and cool and fresh, invigorating weather...country miles better than the inevitable cloudy, mild, stagnant nothingness set to arrive courtesy of high pressure in 3/4 days. The early to mid March cold window ruined yet again by sodding high pressure coming too early in the year. March 2012 repeat? Maybe, but I'll laugh my t**ts off if we consequently get an April 2012 repeat.
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March 2015 CET forecasts
March Blizzard replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Is the minimum not just the lowest recorded temperatures in the zone on the day, regardless of when they occur? Seems odd that there is a "cut off" time for min/max temperatures? Surely that's not correct? I suspect I'm missing something...
