karlos1983

I personally hope it does.

10.7mm of rain since midnight imby. Pressure 995mb Off to the mighty Emirates tonight, hopefully don't get to wet, one of the downsides to having tickets 6 rows from the front!

Oh here we go, I see the Daily Express are at it again, storm of the century coming apparently. One if these days they will fluke it and get it right! Hopefully not in this occasion

Bring it on!!!

Just averagely yuk day here, nothing to really write home about. was expecting a lot more than the 3.1mm of rain I've registered today. currently 16.6C DP 15.5C Humidity 93% 1003mb and falling 3.1mm of rain

Yes, we had 8.4mm this morning and then a further 10.7mm this afternoon in the big downpour. I would imagine places in Hampshire had some big totals today.

Wow, that's some statement, the end of November is some 40 days away, I don't know of a weather model on the planet that can get to grips with +144, never mind 40 days away.

19.1 mm of rain today Max temp 15.6C Pressure currently 1005mb

indeed, 00z also shows same potential at +120 does it not?

I quite like the look of the UKMO @ +144 http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=1&ech=144&carte=1021 Should bring the potential of cooler weather at least!

let's hope not...

I've just got mysf an Oregon WMR-88, it's perfect for all that you mentioned. £119.00 delivered from Amazon

GFS is not a million miles away from where we need it to be http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0 No support though http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=168&mode=1&map=0&archive=0

I think we have been very spoilt this early on with the intense cold to the north and teasing early models, the models have not quite gone our way if you like cold, if we are still seeing these charts modeled next month and the PV stays where it is,it will get pretty exciting, in the mean time, Typical autumn weather with not so typical conditions to our our north and far east can only be good signals for Winter. I look forward to sharing many moments with you all in the coming months, who knows, November 2010..........

I'm always up for a Gale, we don't get them down here like we used to. The 90's were gales gales gales. I cant remember the last proper storm down south of note in the last 10 years. 80-90mph gusts were not infrequent in Autumn/winter.I'd rather a Blizzard, but that is a 10 year event at best imby, so a deep low is a good 2nd best as far as I'm concerned. Anything but benign boring weather........Zzzzzz

Agreed Frosty, if it can't be cold I want it wild, big seas and torrential downpours.

Well not great charts for cold fans in the foreseeable future on this mornings runs. ECM fl cold has dissapeared as well.

They change their outlook often, they seem to be pretty good at sitting on the fence IMO, until it's fairly nailed on they won't stick their neck out.

May have to hang on for the pub run tonight following the ECM's last few frames! How's that for positive thinking ;-)

From personal experience, it's because we have seen much better model outputs at +72 hours out, beast from the east imminent, for it to disappear the next morning which is sole destroying, all because of a pesky shortwave (not that I'm bitter about it). No amount of positive thinking will change what will be. A sense of realism is best practice.looks good though for mid Autumn

Yes,but it's the GFS, it'll probably shift it to Mexico come tomorrow morning :-)

Here it goes, this is my outlook on the last frames of the ECM. 240 is a stunner in my eyes, euro heights shifting east, which pushes the low over Eastern Europe off to North Russia, which in turn allows the Heights over Greenland to extend a bit further south, opening the door to North/North Easterly cold? Now I know ithas little chance of verifying so far out,but just what I'm seeing on the "current output" http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=240&mode=1&map=1&archive=0

No idea how to adjust that, I've off set the reading to fall more in line, but that's only evident on Cumulus, station still reads 1009, even after a rest. #annoying

oh ok, thanks i'll investigate

It is just 1 run, could easily flip the other way tomorrow morning, and of course the ECM is yet to roll out.