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Everything posted by karlos1983

  1. That’s a stonking Control run on De Bilt ENS toward the end. Lets hope we can see a decent det run on the 12z and get more members joining the cold clustering!
  2. Eesh, not what I was hoping to see 12z 00z Finely balanced! Somethings got to give soon!
  3. Yes, probably the BOM anyway I’m off to get my bodyguard for the record, it wouldn’t surprise me if we had Stella runs back by the 12z!
  4. Has the NAVGM had an upgrade this summery hat I’m unaware of or something? All of a sudden it’s king pin (I wonder why) . Any possible return to less cold conditions (if indeed that happens at all) does look short lived on the ECM ens graph as we dip again after the 24/25th
  5. That’s the hope although it’s prone to temp inversion as well, been -4c here in the Minster but at the top of the hill closer to 0c on some occasions.
  6. Up the hill to L’Matravers. Could never move away from the region, unless it was abroad! Too much on our doorstep!
  7. I’ve got 2 weeks to pack the house up for the move, but bed feels sooooo good and it’s miserable outside
  8. I wouldn’t expect any model to be “spot on” at D9 though would you? It’s a pretty damn good match! The GFS on the other hand.. It’s good.... but it’s not quite Carling. more Euro high than sceuro, trough distruption in the Atlantic not happening...
  9. ECM 12z on the 8th December for today ECM +0 today not a bad match for a poorly performing model. I shan’t be recycling this run, not wise. Although the last 24hrs have stepped away from the deep cold being modelled, I don’t think we can grumble at the overall NH pattern, ECM at D10 is not to be sniffed at if you are looking for a possible route to cold.
  10. That’s slightly skewed because of the few outlandishly mild runs. I don’t think anything’s nailed one way or the other yet and this most definitely will not be resolved by tomorrow, not a chance.(imo)
  11. As has been stated, operational runs tomorrow could be anything from very cold to not so cold/mild in the D7+ range, the ENS show that quite nicely. I’ve seen a lot worse
  12. Oh my! How’s that for a Stonking set of ENS Some pretty cold runs in there! On balance there are a few rather mild ones as well, somewhat of a split from around the 27th, but majority look cold to me...?
  13. Worth noting the ICON performed superbly last March when the Beast(s) were being modelled days in advance
  14. Yes, one does worry for humanity in there sometimes. (That was with my posh telephone voice styley)
  15. felt very mild today. I’m going to puke in a minute, I actually think some people would go and jump off a cliff if certain posters told them it would bring good weather! Seriously get a grip! Rant over
  16. It’s good to see, but I’m not sure I recall one of those D7 outputs ever verify, especially when there’s been any disagreement between the models at that range. cheers for posting though SS, I’ve lost the link
  17. It’ll struggle, it only goes out to Day 10 all in all a good evenings viewing so far, I like the UKMO and GFS is mighty, ECM good enough for me considering it’s Mid November * I see your cheeky little edit @abbie123
  18. 2mT’s look pretty good on the EC ENS for London. Mean hovering around or just below 5C from around the 19th/20th with some pretty cold members in there too. Mean would probably colder if it wasn’t for the 2/3 very mild members towards the end.
  19. Cracking Pub run And.. The ECM was on the mild side of its ENS
  20. It’s good, but it’s not quite Carling 🥶
  21. Good grief, just when I thought it wouldn’t get any better the GFS goes and does this! Gob-Smacked! come on ECM, play nicely we’ve all had a good day