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  1. August 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

    15.2C please
  2. Ah ok so if the control and op are different then ensemble spread is most likely to be caused by resolution, whereas if they are similar the ensemble spread is most likely to be caused by starting data. Think I've got it. Thanks!
  3. The GFS control run is more amplified than the OP this morning. I read here a few days ago that the control has the same starting data as the op but with lower resolution. So is the control meant to point out possible errors in low resolution? For example today the low resolution version of the same starting data is more amplified, so should we expect the ensembles to be biased towards amplification this morning?