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Dan the Man

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Everything posted by Dan the Man

  1. Gust front going through Canterbury? The players have to come off here - its dangerous out there, without lightning hit yet.
  2. Now a derecho is a real humdinger. But they need to travel 200 miles (am I correct?) to be classed as one.
  3. Just had a look at the jet forecast - don't think there's much shear available, so any tornadic potential in these storms look limited. Straight line winds only it seems.
  4. What is the current jet stream / wind shear forecast? Obviously that will have a big factor in the type and power of these storms.
  5. My apologies, however CAPE values in the 2000s+ are unlikely to materialise, especially in the areas predicted. That is not far from being "off the charts"; conditions that would spawn a severe thunderstorm outbreak and possibly strong tornadic activity. Having just been on the other side of the world (and "fortunate" enough to have had a tornado warning) in conditions are far more likely, its still extremely hard to pin down severity until about 24-48 hours before and even then there are downgrades. That said, values around half that would provide quite a lively light show anyway.
  6. That is something I've never seen before. Not sure how they can predict something like that though.
  7. Its suddenly turned into 10pm outside. Gone very dark.
  8. Well I've just lost my TV signal... something imminent? Within 5 seconds I get lightning!
  9. In comparison, the 'derecho' storm that hit the Midwest USA last week produced only 13,000 in a longer timescale, across a similar area.
  10. Dont think theres any tornadic potential with this? No shear just straight line (probably damaging) winds and large hail, caused by the jet.
  11. That same dangerous bow echo that started in Denver, has now travelled 1000 miles - now down in N Alabama. Incredible.
  12. My area had a tornado warning about 3:30 today - quite a surreal situation, something I've never experienced before. The eventual funnel hit a school about 15 miles away.
  13. 1300 strikes of lightning so far in the severe t-storm warning area.
  14. Just watching TWC's coverage - Omaha is totally hidden in a wall cloud.
  15. Omaha NE is probably not a bad place to be. CAPE going off the charts, around 1500-3000. TORCON of a SEVEN. Wow. Seriously dangerous day ahead - stay safe folks.
  16. "Significant" tornadic activity for the Midwest tomorrow
  17. Looks like a severe outbreak to hit the Midwest around Sunday onwards - steadily moving eastwards across the early part of next week. Detail still a bit patchy however.
  18. Tornado warning for SW of the Houston Metro area.
  19. Sunday-Monday onwards, looks to be the next 'severe' event after today.
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