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Dan the Man

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Everything posted by Dan the Man

  1. Constant rumbling here - how quickly this cell popped up is quite something.
  2. Forecast soundings suggest the potential for MLCAPE on the order of 1,000-1,500 J/kg generally, but perhaps locally 2,000 J/kg where higher dewpoints exist, with cloud tops potentially to 40,000ft (-60C or colder). While flow aloft will be fairly weak (~15kts at 500hPa, for example) a reasonable degree of low-level wind shear is evident with slightly backed near-surface winds. Despite limited shear, the magnitude of instability may be sufficient for the strongest cells to become better organised with potential for some transient supercell characteristics. This is a ramposauras-rex. I'm actually flying out of Heathrow at 4pm today, heading SE - could be a little interesting!
  3. Did anyone catch the BBC Look East and national weather forecasts about an hour ago - it could not have been more different two forecasts just 2 minutes apart! How are the prospects looking for Bedfordshire?
  4. No lightning that I've seen though - pretty intense rain which I was caught in. A nice drink for the plants.
  5. Just seen a picture of someone from Thaxted, Essex reporting 3cm hail.
  6. Its been rumbling here in C Beds for a good hour or so, but no lightning visible or rain yet... I don't suspect it'll be too long.
  7. Minimal snow here in Mid Beds. A light dusting overnight and some 1/10 dandruff falling right now.
  8. So rather than trawling through a million posts, what are the current indications for the west of the region? I know it's more of a nowcast scenario, but do I expect in Bedfordshire to gain more than 1-2 inches? Or is the system tracking any further north or west?
  9. What is the expectation for the west of the region for the rest of the day? Around 2-3cm here so far at least.
  10. After being stormed and snow starved for most of the last 12 months, finally...
  11. Going to be some speedy trips across the Atlantic looking at that jet...
  12. Is that major blob going to remain electrical when it comes this way?
  13. Must be plenty happening around the STN area - lots of aircraft have just broken off their approaches and sitting in holding patterns.
  14. Thunder now here in mid Beds, but doesn't seem to be many sferics from this system at all.
  15. Decent light show now here in mid Beds after the previous cells this evening seemed to pass us by. A number of aircraft in a holding pattern away from LTN too right now because of the lingering cell over the field.
  16. Those echoes north of Luton - well I'm pretty much directly underneath and it's producing nothing?
  17. Looks like the weather isn't far away from The Rose Bowl in Southampton.
  18. Lots of weather avoidance going on, on the STN and LTN approaches. Virtually nothing in the sky nearby at the moment.
  19. Storm becoming more pronounced over the last 10-15m here in Mid Beds. Still not more than a 4/10 at the moment.
  20. Good morning everyone - terrible nights sleep. Loving the cooler and fresher conditions this morning - its a godsend! Conditions prime once again, but more towards the South Midlands and South & East England today. If there was an additional windshear ingredient...
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