Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

DartmoorSnow

Members
  • Posts

    4
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Haytor
  • Interests
    Snow
  • Weather Preferences
    Snow Thunder Snow Wet Snow Dry Snow

Recent Profile Visitors

2,545 profile views

DartmoorSnow's Achievements

Rookie

Rookie (2/14)

  • First Post
  • Ten years in
  • 30 days in a row
  • Dedicated
  • Week One Done

Recent Badges

6

Reputation

  1. You were referring to charts ( that are changing hour by hour ) over 6-7 days away. I simply disagree with you.
  2. ( Roger J Smith just posted this in the main thread !! UPGRADE ALERT checking out the latest updated charts aswell ) I'm going to continue to beat the drum for potential blizzard conditions in south coast counties on Sunday night into Monday, the low is taking what seems to be the ideal track to interact with bitterly cold winds forced to a cyclonic path across the Channel, and the similarity to the Jan 1881 historic blizzard set-up is noteworthy. I have the feeling that some are underestimating the potential of this dynamic situation. You have extremely cold uppers racing south and meeting this Atlantic moisture head-on. Temperatures are still 8-10 C all across the Channel region and can't be suppressed all that much before the storm sets in. My prediction is that a severe snowstorm will develop rapidly across most of southern England on Sunday night and some amounts will be large with this, not just on the bleakest part of Dartmoor either. Yes, a sharp northern cutoff somewhere around or south of the M-4 with other unrelated areas of heavy snow from the North Sea inland. Not much time to wait now. This is coming, you won't get these very cold uppers in play without a big snowstorm. Channel Islands will be included eventually, may start as rain or sleet with thunderstorms then change over to snow. IOW may actually jackpot in this set-up although inland Dorset to east Devon looks favoured also. And I think at present the chances are greater than 50-50 that this would spread into at least the southern half of greater London and most of Kent-Surrey-Sussex, however, there will be a sharp northerly cut-off and north London may see much less.
  3. Like This Glacier Point Today, 11:51 I think we need to start to plan contingencies for a potentially sustained and very severe spell of wintry weather, of which Friday could just be the start. NWP is presenting a number of potential snow events next week, which could well provide substantive accumulations. The longwave trough migrating eastwards off the eastern coast of North America is consistently being modelled by ensemble means as cutting through a developing mid Atlantic ridge mid to late next week. That provides an eddy in the flow which is likely to enhance the easterly flow off an already frigid land mass to our east and north-east. Thereafter, the ridge could retrogress towards the NE Atlantic and Greenland bring in another surge of Arctic air from the NE. That would give us a sustained period (with snowcover for much of the UK) of below normal temperatures. I've grabbed the 06z GEFS at day 13 which depicts the synoptic pattern with a trough firmly ensconsed over Europe and high pressure to the north.
  4. What a past few days model watching ! Knew the ECM was on the money just needed to keep the faith ! If them channel lows come off then we will be looking at feet of snow not inches !!!!!
×
×
  • Create New...