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    anticyclonic unless a snow storm

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  1. I agree! As much as I am looking forward to record breaking plumes, a favourable ECM chart at 240hrs pleases me a lot more! GEFS at 240hrs paints a similar story.
  2. Darren Bett likes his warmth, for sure. Here he is in full flow on the kids' Newsround program.. https://www.bbc.co.uk/newsround/48729450
  3. The first half of June was mainly rubbish with the amount of rainy days, but if we can grab 70-80% of days in the 2nd half at slightly cooler daytime high of 18-21C - dry, breezy with sunny intervals, I will be more than happy with that. It is much easier to sleep and work in and I'm saving money by not having the AC in my garden office on full blast like I did last year. Take a look at page 2 of The Environment Agency's Weekly rainfall and river flow summary on the link below, to give you an idea of just how wet last week was compared to just a few weeks ago. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/808920/Rainfall_and_river_flow_summary_5_to_11_June_2019.pdf
  4. I remember Feb 1998 when it hit 18C. I drove around with the window down with my arm out of window. Amazing. I usually hate winter (apart from heavy snow), but this winter has seemed quite tame. Very dry and now incredibly mild. It really is just a game of chance. My brother in the US has had weeks of sub zero temps and the schools there in Nebraska started off issuing snow days but it has lasted so long they have given up and called the kids in, even during a recent day of -20C wind chill and heavy snow. We live in a world of extremes. Just so happens this year is our trim for extreme dry and mild.
  5. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-46835677 Plenty of snow not so far away. My feeling has altered now. We will get hit.. hopefully this month, by a widespread big fall. Keep faith folks.
  6. 2019 will be yet another year of extremes. I am confident, going on past trends over the last 10 years, we will see plenty more records broken for record high daily CET figures, intense and prolonged periods of rain, long stretches of little or no rain. This winter looks like one where we largely miss out on the cold that will mainly affect central and eastern Europe, but we will probably see some snow in Feb/early March. It will probably not be as warm as 2018 was, but I will call a top 15 warmest CET summer on record.
  7. Like many on here, I would love to see a snowy episode like Feb 2018 repeated this year. However, the prolonged high pressure we are experiencing right now is more preferable than a convoy of low pressure systems that we frequently get locked into. My luck may be about to run out on that score next week..
  8. I am calling for some cold shots in the 2nd half of the month. Will fall back to 8.9C after a very mild opening week.
  9. If we carry on getting continental blocked weather patterns, it is only a matter of time that it will get colder. Give to a couple of months and I predict a cold December if the pattern we have seen through much of 2018 continues.
  10. You're not wrong there. That was incredible in Oct 1921. The 8C isotherm was over England for most of the period! The middle period of Oct 2018 is looking very mild though. Some daily records could come under threat. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?mode=2&month=9&day=16&year=1921&map=3&hour=0&type=ncep
  11. I went to Provence in early June and it predictably warm ( mid to high 20s). What I didn't realise was when I came home, it continued in this vein week after week. After a week of uncomfortable sleeping, I pitched a tent in the garden and stayed there for 6 weeks! Incredible summer.
  12. 13C. The first half of October is heading into warmest on record territory..
  13. How close are we to this September being the sunniest on record? Does anyone have a link to the sunshine record for September in the UK, and if Sept 2018 if anywhere near beating it?
  14. I see Drought 2018 post is similar to this, so you can delete this thread if you wish.
  15. So we have just gone past the midway point of the Meteorological summer. How is it faring against the legendary summer of yesteryear (1976, 1983, 1995, 2003, 2006)? For instance is June/ July 2018 close to 1976 in terms of temperature and rainfall up to the middle of July? I am going to stick my neck out here, judging by the extended forecast and say 2018 will be drier than 1976 up to the end of July. I think it may fall short on temperature.
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