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Bevbrighton

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    South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Marie said:

    It’s very odd as EML lives just down the road from me , I cleared my car today as needed to go shopping , it’s snowed most of the afternoon and my car is now covered again , plus my garden and now pavements are covered again . We don’t live near city centre , we are close to the South Downs ?‍♀️

    Peacehaven had a great hour of snow 4 to 5 this afternoon which bought us most snow we have had for whole event...finished now but lovely to see

    • Like 2

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, EML Network said:

    Lmfao what a let down so far. 

    All the PPN seems to magically vanish about 15 miles North of my location on the radar, but looking at dew points mothing would be settling in any case.

    Guess it will be a day of radar watching but im not hopefull.

     

    If we miss out AGAIN from this I think i'll hang my hat up as a snow lover and just become a sun worshiper instead.

    I’m going to be so disappointed like you been excited for this for last week surely we can’t fail to at least see some falling snow in next 24 hours, but up and down all night hopefully checking 

    • Like 1

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    21 minutes ago, EML Network said:

    Trying hard NOT to get excited down here (erm that sounds very wrong !!!) 

    But over the last 24 hours at least for us snow starved south Central / South East coasters it is looking more and more promising with each passing run that we MIGHT see some snow over Sunday and Monday and possibilities right through until Wednesday.

    The issue with a warm sector seems to have lessened over the last 3 or 4 runs it's still there but it looks like the warmer uppers have been mixed out and replaced by uppers easily supportive of snowfall now. 

    Control run shows this quite nicely. 

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    Wedge of ''warmer'' uppers is still there even on Monday morning, but it's around -3/-4 as opposed to the close to 0 it was showing this time yesterday, but it's plenty cold enough given the direction of travel.

    I'm not expecting to see all that much falling from the Sky here on Sunday, but no doubt others further North, such as  Kent, North Surrey, London, Essex, Norfolk and Suffolk in particular, well you guys look like on Sunday at least you might be buried and im happy for you.  seems like you've been almost as unlucky as we have down here on the coast over the last 4 or 5 years. 

    My eyes are now being drawn to Tuesday as there is a staggering number of runs that have a quite localised area of PPN forming around Kent, Sussex, Surrey some of this is as a result of the low heading through North France and others show this as a feed from the east, but it seems we might be lucky here and whichever direction this comes from...east or west anything that does fall out of the sky would probably be snow...so going to show the various runs picking up on this from the 00z GFS from around the 96-120 timeframe, but because there are soooo many I'm literally just using the runs going up to run No 10 else i'll be here all day.

    Anything beyond 120 is too far away given the current set up tbh regardless of what it's showing so I'm not going to include anything post 120.

    Control (+120)

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    Run 2 (+120)

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    Run 3 (+108)

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    Run 4 (+108)

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    Run 5 (+114)

    spacer.png

    Run 7 (+108)

    spacer.png

    Run 8 (+96)

    spacer.png

    Run 9 (+108)

    spacer.png

    So from the first 10 runs + the control run I.e 11 runs that I've looked at 8 of them are showing this feature which is statistically significant and it's in the relatively reliable timeframe as well so if any of you do miss out on Sunday there looks like being another bite at the cherry at least for us south of London on Tuesday. 

     

     

    I’m in peacehaven so used to missing out but am still hopeful of a few hours of light snow Sunday, sounds like your not hopeful? 

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