[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

10 minutes ago, Yarmy said:

All the models subdivide the atmosphere into a grid of 3D cells. Each cell in the grid is a cuboid (or icosahedron in the case of the ICON) sharing the same properties: temperature, pressure, etc. The smaller the cells, the higher the resolution and (hopefully) the more accurate the model.

 

thanks. And thanks for the others that replied.

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

May I please ask what the levels of vertical resolution refer to?

 

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

I am very much an amateur but avid watcher of this thread. Is the inconsistency and constant ups/downs/flips etc. due to how the models are handling the record breaking SSW?

 

[Meto Uk Further Outlook]

That's last night's update. This afternoon's hasn't been published yet.

[Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 8th July onwards]

There's currently a line of storms running NE to SW from northern germany to southern France about the length of the U.K. Producing an extraordinary amount of strikes. I've been sat on a balcony in germany watching it. Strikes every few seconds for hours. By far the most spectacular I've ever seen.

 

 

[Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards]

Do people think that London will miss out? The current radar is showing nothing. I am a complete novice,to bear with my stupid questions.

Is it possible for things to bubble up from nowhere later on?>

 

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

Lovely snow coming down now and from the look of the radar the blob's intensity is increasing and heads straight for us in London

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

It's snowing!

 

20p size flakes. 7 of them. They're following me home......................hold on.........................one's just settled!

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

Unfortunately then met office seem to be downgrading the snow forecast for my area every time I check (about every 20 mins at the moment!)

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

4 minutes ago, snowray said:

12z out. Unfortunately that hole in Saturdays PPN just wants to get nigger over the SE. Was thinking best place might be up towards Buxton, might go for a drive up that way.

You may want to edit your typo

[Model output discussion 25th Jan - The final third of winter beckons..]

4 minutes ago, Southender said:

Not really no.

The wind needs more of an EENE element to it and stronger. Plus pressure to be lower amongst other things. Perhaps things will look more favourable as we head into the cold spell. I for one am hoping we can squeeze a streamer event out over the next week or two.

Thanks

[Model output discussion 25th Jan - The final third of winter beckons..]

A bit of newbie question, so apologies if a little off topic (thought best to get it in while it's quiet between runs).

Does what's being modeled at the moment show the kind of conditions where a Thames streamer like 2009's might occur?  If not, what needs to be different?

 

Many thanks.

 

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

quite heavy snow in the City of London

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

I'd be interested to see how quickly temps drop once the cloud clears.

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Just sitting in my car

wintry splodges on the screen !

sure it's not bird $h1t?

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Gritters have NO chance this eve

rain to snow means the rain washes away the grit & when it snows theres not enough time to recover anything other than major roads = Chaos

looking out the window here in Eltham pondering the journey home @615 secretly hoping to get stuck

if not a snow drive to bluebell hill !

I'm (deliberately) walking home from the City to East Dulwich. Might delay my journey slightly to hopefully make most of the conditions

[SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->]

Met office forecast has just reduced to perhaps an hour of snow

[Model Moans, Ramps and Banter]

God I'm glad we have a moaning thread.

 

I love snow, I mean I adore it, am fascinated by it and if it was feasible would put myself in Siberia and leave myself there.

 

However, I have the worst luck when it comes to getting some.

 

I live in South East London. The Thames Streamer of 2009 which dumped enough snow on my locale to stop all buses and trains, meaning I wouldn't have been able to get to work, happened when I was travelling back from an area of Germany that usually has loads of snow (it had none). So not only did I miss the fun, I was travelling back from Stansted that evening, heavily delayed because of the weather.

 

My locale seems to be the only one that missed out in March 2013.

 

This weekends PM from the North West happens a few days before I head to Cumbria. The forecast for when i'm there is dry at the moment. But of course there are now possibilities of a blinkin easterly, which could well affect my locale, when i'm not there. Because i'll be in Cumbria, where they'd have had snow the week before I go!!!!!!!!!

I'm going mountain walking in the Cairngorms on the last weekend of January. If there isn't snow there/then, i'm making that move to Siberia.

 

 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

22 minutes ago, Mucka said:

Well it is Christmas!

Chestnuts roasting on an open fire

Jack Frost nipping at your nose...

I strongly recommend no fellers roasting their chestnuts on an open fire. The risk of short n curly singe is very high.

 

apologies mods.

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

9 minutes ago, warrenb said:

You are correct on this occasion, but when dealing with High pressure, 850's are not a good guide for ground temperatures.

Understood, cheers.

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

9 minutes ago, warrenb said:

I wish people would post correct charts, above is a t2 chart posted with 850 temp chart. Very misleading, as we alll know. If posting a t2 chart at least post the t2 Ens chart as well.

 

It tells the same story though no?  The 2m chart and 850 chart both show cold (ish) on christmas day. Or am i reading them wrong?

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

5 minutes ago, Banbury said:

Nothing I have read or seen in the daily update really suggests a battleground , I'm beginning to think its just folly following LRF ....of course just my opinion

 

UK 6-30 days

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

 

UK Outlook for Saturday 24 Dec 2016 to Saturday 7 Jan 2017:

There is a good deal of uncertainty for this period as the UK remains in a battleground between higher pressure across the near continent and lower pressure in the Atlantic. The exact orientation of these will dictate conditions across the country. Currently 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

Hi Banbury,

For a newbie like me that reads as a very bold statement- would you mind showing some charts to back it up?

 

thanks

[is it autumn or is it winter?]

Autumn

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

2 hours ago, Frosty. said:

Arctic incoming, Iceland taking a pounding from snow showers and northerly gales..come to the uk  meridional

Frosty, i've never hoped that you and the models are right more!  I'm off to Iceland on the 24th. I want two days of heavy snow followed by completely clear skies for the old Aurora Bozza-arlis

 

Sorry for going off topic mods.