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Froze were the Days

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Everything posted by Froze were the Days

  1. Well drier weather is on the way so thank God!...as for the models and 'possible' cold spell mid-month I'm seeing the same ol' delaying from the models and EC det certainly isn't playing ball re: Greenland High, GFS dets now looking muddly up to D10 but still throwing out FI eye candy runs (we've been here a number of times) - new year but some things never change! Keeping open minded but far too early to get excited...
  2. I wouldn't like to guess as I'm not sure what D11 would look like but with a long sea track probably -8/10 Scotland -4 Southern England...all conjecture of course.
  3. On the Norwegian coast...evolution is further north, be interesting to see what D11 would be like?
  4. Slower evolution by a day than than the GFS but not miles away...on the GFS 12z at D10 the -5 thermo line is through almost all the UK, now just need to get to this point (not asking for much)
  5. That's if the UK high doesn't stay put or a SW doesn't pop up (which has happened before)...much to be decided yet.
  6. Looking very different at 216z compared to the GFS 12z which showed a very clean evolution (which personally I'm not sure is right)...
  7. There's always at least 1 GFS det run that goes off on one in such scenarios...and here it is! does the GFS out perform ECM on GH's? EC is showing some retrogression to Greenland at D9/10 but certainly looks more west based...good eye candy but that's about it, we've been here before.
  8. Getting a feeling of 2018/19 winter when there was a lot of optimism backed up by BBC and MetO outlooks and in the end we had a few chilly days with some frosts at the end of January...some of the posts in there are way way over the top...makes me wonder if a few in the MAD thread are a bit dislodged up top.
  9. Some are setting themselves up for a HUGE fall if this cold spell doesn't come off in the MAD thread...reading through a few posts - 'northern blocking galore' 'ensembles are amazing' etc. etc. and we're talking near 10 days away from the majority of charts being shown for anything significant, still to pin point where HP settles at the weekend. I'm getting some giant Pat Jennings size gloves to catch the toys so I can pass them onto my grandkids next Xmas
  10. Also in the MAD thread....in a few days high pressure priming the ground with frosts for later snow that will settle (at 306hrs) - chortle! where do these posters come from?
  11. Happy New Year all and lets hope for some white stuff in the next few weeks...top song Tom, well chosen! U2 - New Years Day video - Central Sweden (Salen) December 1982.
  12. Even that on the latest EC det isn't...get set for another kind of tedium - that of anti-cyclonic boredom (probably of the cloudy kind).
  13. Well looks like a pattern change on the way...after maybe a brief colder easterly in the south east a period of high pressure lumped over the UK, and we've been here before - this could last for 10 days or so! could add to further tedium to this already boring Winter. Only crumb of comfort is becoming drier.
  14. In an ever changing world you can guarantee the MAD thread will be the same...if you don't want to be confused simply keep away from there!
  15. How typical that the last day of the year here experiences some heavy rainfall...sun out now but for how long? Happy New Year everybody and lets how for something a bit better meteorological wise than 2023 (it wouldn't be difficult).
  16. Don't think I can remember such a consistently mild, cloudy and boring Xmas period as this...January really needs to give us something different, even some more frequent sunny days even if not cold wouldn't go a miss.
  17. Couldn't agree more!...January's since 2013 have been awful so you'd think it's about time for a change particularly after this rotten month, doesn't mean will see something different but by the law of averages. I'm very pessimistic (and realistic) when it comes to snow and cold in this country but I get a feeling we might experience colder conditions and at very least some frost and fog and hopefully a decent easterly/nor' easterly from a genuinely cold source on top! Fingers crossed...in hope rather expectation.
  18. Really? been there on and off since November...all we experience is flipping low pressure!
  19. And there lies the problem - easterlies becoming less and less common, warmer sst's aiding short waves becoming of note of recent years.
  20. 14.5c outside!!...this month in general seems to have got milder as it goes on, either way it won't be remembered for anything but gloom, rain with a bit of wind!
  21. This month keeps on giving...that is grim, dull and wet conditions - if this is all Winter 2023/24 can do then roll on Spring!
  22. Yep!...after 5 days of not seeing the sun and being dull it's great to see the current bun out, really puts a spring in ones step!
  23. Can't remember that?...just looked at the historical charts and it was all a bit of a storm in a tea cup, the snow/wintryness he was referring to occurred on this date (chart below)...over in a day job and can't remember any snow falling here - Xmas was of a westerly regime. I've been on here about 20 years too...joining after the BBC snow watch ended.
  24. 2 hopes for Xmas wintryness in this area...no hope and of course Bob! trying telling that to the lot in the MAD thread.
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