Froze were the Days
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Posts posted by Froze were the Days
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It's the bulge out into the Norwegian Sea which is the primary pain in the butt for not keeping the cold going though UKMO makes less of it and orientates differently...on the GFS it's weakening the GH all the time.
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1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:
Is that WAA around Newfoundland heading north?? Open the block back up!!
Nope! looks to rounded...here's hoping anyway.
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3 hours ago, Stabilo19 said:
Satellite image of the Dec 22 snowfall across a large part of the South courtesy of wanstead meteo. Not just localised to Kent for the record..
Very insightful!...got lost on me probably due to living on the Essex snow shield coast! - fairly similar synoptics maybe next week?...did that snow come from the northerly or from frontal stuff coming up from the south/south west?
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11 hours ago, throwoff said:
Met4cast still quite positive he’s not missed a beat this winter so far, called every event.
what events and what range?...
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That low is a smidge further south on the 12z...
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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:
UKMO 144 - 168
If that comes to fruition you'd think we're slowly becoming more entrenched in the Scandinavia cold...further down the line better for Atlantic battles certainly at least starting off as snow, not a bad chart at all.
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7 minutes ago, Ice Day said:
Just a quick one from me as off out, but the GEM at 180 is looking really good.
Still showing the same pattern as GFS and UKMO but about a day or so later...a lot of the real cold uppers to the north moving south westwards (the bulge causing this) though the GEM does have the trough somewhat more south so maybe more scope for cold continuing here.
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UKMO 144...interesting where it will go next but better than the 12z GFS, if that pattern was 500 miles further south then bingo!
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CFS monthly current run - showing a blocked start to early February.
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13 hours ago, moogyboobles said:
It's my birthday on the 16th, not had birthday snow in a while. I am trying not to get my hopes up too much!
Fingers crossed!...current models showing cold and dry for that date (subject to change). I really believe we'll see some notable white stuff in the coming weeks simply because we're so over due! but not sure the weather Gods think like that?
Happy 30th by the way for the 16th
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3 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:
Could push North into Scotland and come to a halt then push south again
No chance of that happening!...but if the ECM is fairly accurate it wouldn't surprise me that some northern parts/Scotland get a real dumping. A bulbous low pressure won't keep moving northwards against some form of northern blocking and will come to a halt somewhere.
Check out 8th-16th January 1977...similar circumstances/synoptics that not many people remember. Snow to rain in the south and central parts, Scotland and particularly the Highlands a real snow fest.
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8 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
Is that the blizzard of the century heading in at 216
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Nope! not a slider...snow to rain affair pushing northwards through southern UK I would think, but the ECM is a good run (better than expected)
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Just now, Drifter said:
I think that’s ok and would probably improve afterwards?
That shows signs of where the GFS is heading thereafter...GH block weakening to the north
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15 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:
I think you may be pleasantly surprised.
Let's hope so - ECM has really been scrooge like in handing out mouth waterers even if they aren't correct!
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Just now, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:
beautiful
BFTP
You're a bit late...not so on the next run. I'd be very surprised to see the ECM model something similar tonight.
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Latest in MAD thread: UKMO - stunning (lots of tongues hanging from mouths, smiling heart shaped eyes emojis) - GFS - 'bin it' 'what's it doing' (just the other day posters salivating over it). You couldn't make it up...could be GEM's turn tomorrow for much love as UKMO is given the boot!
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Be aware MetO updates can be off the mark in the medium /long term - remember 2018/19 Winter, the cold that never transpired!
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43 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
yes if ever there was such thing as pointless snow we had it yesterday
and a nuisance...seems like of recent years when snow chances do pop up they're either marginal (as per Jan 2021) or on such a small scale only part of a county or coastal areas are effected. Roll on for a massive memory making dumping! If I'm still alive
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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
I think it's the first time they've mentioned disruptive snow ..
It's got to be an upgrade, hasn't it ?
I take it that must be from that low moving in from the south west against the Am airmass?...that's 8/9 days away!
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9 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:EXETER UPGRADE ALERT
The amount of times I've heard that the last few days...then looked and been underwhelmed.
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This January HAS to deliver the white stuff...yesterday was such a microscale event! graupel and hail doesn't do it for me, 2013 and STILL waiting.
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1 minute ago, Rob 79812010 said:
Alert!!! Net weather monthly update through to 6 Feb one of the best I've ever seen!! The models are certainly onto something
Who does the updates?
Moans, ramps and banter
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
So much for this 'dry' spell of weather...just the same as December i.e. dull, cloudy without the rain but colder (which is always a nuisance without any frosts/snow) had some drizzle yesterday. God! our winters are useless...