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Froze were the Days

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Everything posted by Froze were the Days

  1. If that comes to fruition you'd think we're slowly becoming more entrenched in the Scandinavia cold...further down the line better for Atlantic battles certainly at least starting off as snow, not a bad chart at all.
  2. Still showing the same pattern as GFS and UKMO but about a day or so later...a lot of the real cold uppers to the north moving south westwards (the bulge causing this) though the GEM does have the trough somewhat more south so maybe more scope for cold continuing here.
  3. UKMO 144...interesting where it will go next but better than the 12z GFS, if that pattern was 500 miles further south then bingo!
  4. Latest from MAD thread: ECM - rubbish, GFS - great I might just go old school and follow the MetO Fax charts (out to 6 days I think)...no stress, to many models makes one go crazy!
  5. Fingers crossed!...current models showing cold and dry for that date (subject to change). I really believe we'll see some notable white stuff in the coming weeks simply because we're so over due! but not sure the weather Gods think like that? Happy 30th by the way for the 16th
  6. No chance of that happening!...but if the ECM is fairly accurate it wouldn't surprise me that some northern parts/Scotland get a real dumping. A bulbous low pressure won't keep moving northwards against some form of northern blocking and will come to a halt somewhere. Check out 8th-16th January 1977...similar circumstances/synoptics that not many people remember. Snow to rain in the south and central parts, Scotland and particularly the Highlands a real snow fest.
  7. This ECM run is a bit like the GFS run of yesterday (was it the 06z)? when we had the runner across southern parts and then another low moving northwards from the south west...strange how the EC does seem to be picking slight patterns from the GFS 24 hours later...
  8. Nope! not a slider...snow to rain affair pushing northwards through southern UK I would think, but the ECM is a good run (better than expected)
  9. That shows signs of where the GFS is heading thereafter...GH block weakening to the north
  10. Let's hope so - ECM has really been scrooge like in handing out mouth waterers even if they aren't correct!
  11. You're a bit late...not so on the next run. I'd be very surprised to see the ECM model something similar tonight.
  12. Latest in MAD thread: UKMO - stunning (lots of tongues hanging from mouths, smiling heart shaped eyes emojis) - GFS - 'bin it' 'what's it doing' (just the other day posters salivating over it). You couldn't make it up...could be GEM's turn tomorrow for much love as UKMO is given the boot!
  13. Be aware MetO updates can be off the mark in the medium /long term - remember 2018/19 Winter, the cold that never transpired!
  14. and a nuisance...seems like of recent years when snow chances do pop up they're either marginal (as per Jan 2021) or on such a small scale only part of a county or coastal areas are effected. Roll on for a massive memory making dumping! If I'm still alive
  15. I take it that must be from that low moving in from the south west against the Am airmass?...that's 8/9 days away!
  16. The amount of times I've heard that the last few days...then looked and been underwhelmed.
  17. This January HAS to deliver the white stuff...yesterday was such a microscale event! graupel and hail doesn't do it for me, 2013 and STILL waiting.
  18. Back to the SSW again? ever since the beginning of December...that certainly waxes and wanes.
  19. Strikes me it's still an evolving picture (other than UKMO - steadfast)...Big bulbous vortex over Scandinavia with the coldest north easterlies well to the north and the Am airmass not digging southwards and the dastardly Azores low wanting to make it's presence felt. As Bluearmy said picking up on a theme at D8/D9 might not be good...lots of wriggle room to go pear shaped for the majority of the UK (gem) or snowy nirvana for the south/central parts (GFS).
  20. One thing I've noticed over the last day is how the vortex over Scandinavia has become one large bulbous organised structure rather than smaller cells...it seems to want to stay now well to the north (on GFS/ECM) and on this run pushing westwards which in my mind keeps the real cold air away...and opens the door further south for low pressure.
  21. Glad some places are doing alright (looks like Kent/Sussex) always microscale events in the south east! Just plain old polystyrene balls here illustrated by Dougal...
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