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Everything posted by Froze were the Days
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June 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Froze were the Days replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yet another very warm summer month...wake me up when something different happens! -
Thought the rain was over for today and it would be nice sunny day - wrong! a heavy rain rogue shower presently (again) on top of last night and the early hours. By George we've had some rain over the last 6 weeks...looks like a BIG pattern change ahead though with the first signs of the famous European heat dome taking shape...I'll stab at a very dry period coming up from late April through to god knows when.
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March 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Froze were the Days replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I can only go what I observed but the 7th the first day of the impending cold spell was only marginal whilst waiting for a nagging LP cell to clear off south eastwards and less cold uppers thereafter dp's dropped like a stone as the wind tuned more ENE and for a week the warmest daily max I recorded was 0.5c so hardly any thaw (the coldest daytime week since Dec 1996/Jan 1997 cold spell)...snow was a bit of a disappointment with a max of 2 inches here although up the coast near Clacton and the Suffolk had nearer to 5 to 6 inches, amazing variabilities. Snowfall from this event effected a small area with largely eastern Essex and Suffolk in the best areas...always amazes me the size of the UK and such micro events. I believe this was from the effects of a displaced sudden stratospheric warming. -
March 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Froze were the Days replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Worrying thing is the models have been pretty good the last few winters in predicting the marginality/rain events on the east coast (4 I think) other than Feb 2021 when dp's and temps for once clearly low enough which doesn't happen often. -
March 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Froze were the Days replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
One of the few very lucky ones then!...I've seen one or two wet snowflakes all winter, I remember the days when the east coast use to be the place to be for good snowfall, not anymore. -
March 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Froze were the Days replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
You obviously have no recollection of BFTP (Fred)?...he comes out with forecasts largely of the cold to very cold variety on the MOD thread and elsewhere and not just on this thread and has been doing so for years, lets say he is to forecasting cold weather what Berni Inn is to fine dining He does seem to not take it to heart so good on him but like a broken watch he'll get a forecast right sooner or later. -
March 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Froze were the Days replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
How's Fred's close to record cold going for the month? -
Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Froze were the Days replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
So much for Fred's (BFTP) forecast of close to record cold for this month - WRONG once again!!!! but that doesn't stop the many likes from posters at the time, if only they knew! -
Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Froze were the Days replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep! had weeks and weeks of bland nothingness weather from last week or so in January to early March though there were some sunny days and dry and now thanks to the SSW we've got continuous rain and cloud cover... -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
Froze were the Days replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ecmt850 1.webpecmt850.webp Well we know who the 'culprit' was...who has a laughable track record when it comes to predicting cold weather. The Arctic air mass locked in place to the north of Scotland and there it stays... -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
Froze were the Days replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes agree! very little has been happening over much of Europe during this SSW - sign of things to come I'm afraid. -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
Froze were the Days replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you're talking about Northern Scotland or northwards as the UK (nothing new here)?...I'm quite amazed how consistently there seems to be enough low heights to the south over the UK stopping the advancement southwards of the Am airmass considering these probably are still the effects of the ongoing SSW but then again synoptically and hempisherically (not sure if that's a word) speaking how underwhelming I've found the last week or so. -
Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Froze were the Days replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'll believe the 'cool' summer bit when I experience it...even the unsettled summers we have experienced in the last decade have still all been warmer than average, cool the summer of 2023 it won't be! -
Yes strangely that week in Feb 21' was a very cold one by day, limited snow here (2inches max) but Suffolk/NE Essex coast did quite well and that was from a true easterly with low dp's which are becoming as rare as seeing bigfoot on a motorcycle...but that was after missing out on several cold episodes that Winter. Should also be stated that easterly effected relatively few further inland and towards Norfolk, so not a large wide scale event.
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Obviously from somebody who hit the jackpot today (but elevated parts of Wales was predicted to be in the firing line)...as mentioned by another poster northerlies not much use in this location and pot luck with back edge snow with fronts moving into the air mass, certainly in this area. By the way you'd be moaning too if you had the misses over the last few Winters in my location (and going by some others posters locations towards the south east)...the east coast ain't what it use to be in days gone byes Winters.
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I listened...got what was expected but didn't the BBC (MeteoGroup) only yesterday have graphics of precipitation (snow/rain) along the south coast about far north as London for today? it's been raining all day and certainly not lasting this duration? Give me a true easterly which are becoming rare as hens teeth to these northerlies (which we seemed to be having of late)...