Froze were the Days
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Posts posted by Froze were the Days
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Finally starting raining here at about 5pm...so not far out
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Another accurate forecast for today from the BBC website...as of Sunday they had today cloudy with continuous rain throughout and outside...
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A Face like Thunder Well you could look at it like this...the weather that followed was a lot of wall to wall sunshine from what I can remember from April to July and fairly warm.
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ECM going the route of 'the only way is the Norwegian Sea' and the effects of heights over the near continent just too much for any low pressure (saying that has been the way for some time)...my money is on the ECM being closer to the mark and the first run of late GFS has gone to sustain heights to the north from the shorth northerly.
Roll on Spring I say...who wants cold now?
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sundog This was mentioned a number of weeks ago...BUT the North Atlantic hasn't been particularly warm in fact closer to normal with a slight tripole.
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I'd just like to congratulate everybody who said 'Winter was over' after the mid-January cold spell/snap - yes they were correct! (myself included)...also I made a post early February after seeing a few of the det charts saying if the weather we experienced was anything like the models were showing we could be 'staring down the barrel of the warmest February on record' and hey ho!...of course greeted by no likes in the model thread or completely ignored unlike some experienced/pro posts whom couldn't get it more wrong if they tried.
By the way it is considerably easier now days in the 'large teapot' to predict mild conditions over cold...
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My take on this Winter:
December: Other than the first few days more like November, wet, dull and mild. Xmas period in the run up to and to the New Year one of the worst I can remember.
January: Started the same as December (Unsettled) then huffed and puffed with some blocking and a colder/cold for 10 days or so but yet again no snow (11January's running now without). Finished with the same old garbage.
February: Like a Spring month, still rainy, mild basically like a March or early April. Only 1 ground frost.
2.5/10 for me as a Winter, we've experienced worse i.e. 2013/2014 but at least we did have some frosts/cold beginning of December and January.
30 seconds of proper snow falling.
0 days of snow lying (again).
Sadly I wouldn't expect much better next Winter either.
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Nice to see the BBC website as accurate as always - just last night showing cloudy with sporadic rain and 11c for today, in reality at 11am we have bright spells just the odd spot of rain in the wind and a very warm 15c! Sort of typifies this Winter...
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Had to laugh at the home page and scene of deep frost and rime 'Polar Air Mass bringing a drop in temperature' headline - the reality is particularly for us down south is probable cloud, damp/rain (cold version 2.0) and if we're lucky a bit of a frost (the 1st one this month).
I think that's NW pushing the boat out a bit on that...saying that they could on my back lawn currently.
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I'm bored senseless with this Winter...be done!!!
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cheeky_monkey Not a chance...certainly not towards the south east, the beeb presenter (forget who it was) was talking as a whole for the UK and this was before mid-month.
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Polaris Snowflake presenters? BBC forecasters should bow their heads in embarrassment at the their lack of knowing what max temperatures should be for the time of year country wide as an approximate, a week or so back they were saying that 9c was the average at the time...hhmmmm no.
As for the continued bore-fest of Winter 2023/24 is anybody else just wishing Spring (real Spring not faux) would get a giddy-up?
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Hotspur62 Read the post above yours - not many posters I read last month mentioned a strengthening El -Nino (largely a cold party pooper) all I read was AAM that, MJO phase this, SSW that etc. etc. also Iberian Heights have been relentless the last few weeks, if you think it's been bad here just look at the near continent. Not sure about the SST's either as they've been close to normal with a slight tri-pole in the North Atlantic which can be inducive to a more southerly tracking jet stream but other than that it's always a struggle.
I'm always set up to be disappointed before December arrives most Winters now but 2023/24 has been on another level, the worrying thing is I feel there will be worse winters which will give us small hope of any cold spells (as per mid-January) just around the corner...
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30 minutes ago, kold weather said:
As for the winter forecasts, the moment I saw el nino go strong as it did I thought we might struggle.
When did it go strong?...I asked about if El Nino had developed back in December and replied back that it hadn't developed no where near as much as expected and was weak to neutral, not that I put that much trust in such things.
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lassie23 I'm sure there are many in the MAD thread who will not give up on the Winter and as we have an extra day in the month will see it as a 'bonus'
Lets be honest not only has the Winter been fairly shocking certainly in terms of 'signals' (if you believe in any of them or there worth now days but equally bad forecasts from seasonals and some of the more experienced 'pro' posters on here, as I've always said can they forecast ahead any better than you or me?...if so they wouldn't be on this website but making a living from it.
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If the models are correct the 2nd half of February is shaping up to be grim!...cloud and lots of rain, no surprise there - we can add that to the grim months of July, most of October and December of recent times. Shocking Winter.
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Blessed Weather Thanks for the reply...I'll look forward to another March then that offers possibly more in the way of wintry weather than January but please no cold rain!
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So were are the effects from this decent split SSW? as posted on Thursday by a couple of members...it's gone all very quiet in here!
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BLAST FROM THE PAST That's put that to bed then...another failure.
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Gowon and it's always the 06z bringing the fun...what would we do without it?
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Yep disgusting weather and not for the first time this Winter...been raining here since about 6/7am. December and the Xmas/New Year period was about as vile as I can remember.
Doesn't take long after a brief dry interlude the last week or so to start pelting it down again. Roll on Spring.
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Drifter Yes to further disappointment down the road...just to cap this Winter off. D10 chart if we get remotely close to it a prime example of anything or everything stopping the real cold getting to us from the north east.
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Banging on about a decent SSW in the MAD thread now....they're like a dog with a bone.
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frosty ground Neither day 5 or 15 is...but better than the bilge from the previous det runs, he said 'stonker' by the way.
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SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on
in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by Froze were the Days
Holy mackerel!...very squally with a big rumble of thunder, cold conditions are always more interesting now days than warm ones. Just hope the little Robins in their nest are okay.