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Froze were the Days

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Everything posted by Froze were the Days

  1. Ends with some HLB but doesn't look particularly strong...but there's potential there at day 10
  2. Are you sure about the 90's winter months of at least 1c below average? that doesn't add up. I live in Essex and have winter records going back to 1983, off my head I can think of at least 6 (maybe more) 90's winter months that were in that category: Dec 1990, Feb 1991, Dec 1995, Feb 1996, Dec 1996 and January 1997 so I'm sure if Essex had these cold months that Hebdon did in Yorkshire too. Could also scrutinise 2010's 1c below - to my knowledge only Jan and Feb 2010 and Dec 2010 have made the grade (so 3 in all) and Hadley Centre backs this up! The winter mean average temp for '2010''s undoubtedly skewed by the very cold month of December 2010...on the whole I would say the 90's in more southern Britain undoubtedly were cooler than 2010's but there will be variations around our Isles.
  3. First snow of the winter here (at bluddy ruddy well last) - a light dusting and about 1c outside!!
  4. I'll think the potential at day 10 and thereafter will be unbelievable on the ECM tonight so much in fact that I won't be able to sleep until tomorrows 0z ECM which will leave me in even greater expectation until eventually April is here and that full on easterly arrives! Full on brace position currently...
  5. Slug going no where even on the GFSP - occasionally tapping into some brief cold air either from the north or east but it's transient in nature, the slug is king here. Just watch the Azores area in future runs and if there is lowering of heights in the vicinity then we're in business!
  6. But what do they have in common?...yes the Azores slug will stay there but just oriented differently, some chilly days ahead but certainly not the Freeze the majority of us want...the models will drive me to drink (ah Ladyboys).
  7. Personally don't see it...Azores slug will stay in situ, and just watch that Canadian PV lobe extend itself!
  8. What I've read over the last few days...the down welling continues to affect the trop as it has been a very slow response and will continue to into early February so not sure Mr Petagna's remarks above will have much influence over the coming weeks on the what we'll experience. Please correct me if I'm wrong.
  9. There's been 'hope' since November reading these and particularly the 30 dayer's...
  10. Differences at around 140 between the 0z and 6z with increased WAA up the west coast of Greenland which doesn't occur on the 0z which is more progressive, in turn the 6z presents greater heights round the Greenland area which in turn with heights near Scandi presents us with greater chances of a cold North easterly thereafter, 6z & 18z runs seem to be bringing out what we want to see but are they credible?. The ecm det keep on churning out rather underwhelming runs (though okay for Scotland on the latest 0z).
  11. straight out of Hollywood that!...too late for the oscars this year, just. Let's terminate the Atlantic!
  12. Here we go again, using my face again but generally don't mind as long as it's not associated with Halloween...
  13. Never in all my time on this website have I seen so much interest in the model thread over 2 months and the word 'stonker' used so often without anything actually happening...I have my feet planted at the gate and will not be going up the garden path unless that Raymond Briggs snowman leads me up it!...and Christopher Dean and Jayne Torvill with their skates on.
  14. Late December and the first week or so of January 1996/97 had a very cold spell with some snow and Ice days!
  15. Nice to see some chillier sunny days with some air frosts the last couple of days but if this is the best it will be this winter then let's face it will be one BIG disappointment! 1, Low solar minimum 2. Many global seasonal models showing northern blocking Jan/Feb 3. SSW event forecast since December (occurred New Year).
  16. Huh!?! ...Phil NW showed me a chart of the down welling yesterday that showed it continues and peaks around 1st February but this shows nothing of the sort...(and replied saying so) confused.com
  17. Into February it is...so everybody getting excited about getting cold in the heart of winter was for nothing, next stop cold into the second half of February.
  18. Nice post - sounds like you've had your share of problems/bereavements over recent years so that explains why we've heard less from you. Tomorrow I have my fathers funeral and have largely following the models closely to see if the day was going to have any weather impacts but hasn't looked that way really for the last week.
  19. -1.6c minimum this morning in Burnham and according to moogyboobles further inland in South Woodham by 7 miles -4c - seems like a still relatively warm North sea having it's effect on coastal areas?
  20. Lovely to see a good air frost, down to -1.6c here on the Essex Riviera and still frost on the ground which is something we have not seen enough of this winter. On another note potential building in lala land for another attempt of decent cold air, anybody got enough energy for another chase?
  21. 8. One for the 'street' that's come up this winter is 'it's all good in the hood' - always make me chuckle!
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