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Froze were the Days

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    Essex Riviera aka Burnham
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    30 Degrees of pure British Celsius

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  1. I can only remember the 'odd' October with a frost towards the end of the month in the last decade, they are certainly becoming a rare thing. Novembers back in the 80's and even 90's had air frosts (not just ground/grass frosts)...I use to practice golf down the local driving range in the late 80's after the season had drawn to a close and quite often in the evening being wrapped up well with a frost developing on the grass whilst hitting balls, don't see that now in these parts (certainly not in the evening).
  2. Simply don't follow the GFS with it's 4 runs a day (one which we all know is more than a giggle) and hence 'less' let downs. I haven't even noticed a northerly on the ECM which I have only been following since the Spring.
  3. To quote a Supertramp song 'It's raining again'...why shouldn't I be surprised.
  4. White Christmas?...almost laughable now, it's been so long since a proper white Xmas anywhere, more chance of a BBQ one.
  5. If only we could bin it like garbage!...even though the rainfall radar shows no rain here in these parts currently outside the skies are just leaden, some brief sunshine yesterday afternoon but the last 72+ hours have been shocking. I think in my area it has has been one of the 'drier' areas in the region this month but have still totalled near 40mm.
  6. Agree...but not so quickly, its gone from dry to wet within a week or so. Vitamin D will be on the shopping list next week.
  7. Utterly foul day here and it continues!...dull during the day, rain on and off and quite windy for a spell. Raining tonight...grim!
  8. Be interesting to see how accurate GloSea5 and other world models were for the period of May/June/July this year and if they picked up on the very -NAO for that period a couple of months out?...maybe that is more of a gauge how models have are performing of more recent times.
  9. It was winter 08/09 the models/MetO got it wrong, I remember as it was the only winter I haven't recorded since 1983 (yes due to illness and other factors)...at that stage I was really starting to lose faith as a few winters before this Philip Eden kept mentioning a cold winter was overdue and then we had that run of colder ones. Weather can make fools of us all.
  10. and it's been going on yonks! with only the odd brief pattern change...
  11. I think we might have become accustomed to some drier and sunny October's of recent years certainly in this neck of the woods, I remember going round in a t-shirt for the first 2 weeks or so last October and then we had those 2 very mild/warm Halloweens in 2015/16 (I think), so yes a bit more Autumnal.
  12. Saw that the other day - only a passing shot of very cold air and don't forget the city of Denver is at a high altitude (near a mile up) but that is what can happen when you're in the heart of a large continent.
  13. All pretty boring stuff watching the ECM output at the moment, high pressure to the south low pressure to the north or north west and that's about it...
  14. Can understand the case put forward if we have our 'typical' winter that we have experienced of recent years which has no doubt been exacerbated by warmer sst's and other factors producing less sunshine/mild/rain/less frosts etc. but to me the variation of possibilities on the table is greater in the winter season than any other season we just need things to work in our favour again which hasn't largely happened since 2013. Sadly for me the expectation and anticipation always exceeds what we experience a good 8 times out of 10.
  15. Lets be honest only 2 of those -NAO months have impacted on this country, May and particularly June. July, August and September have not (this largely due to higher pressure over Greenland and that is it)...to me it has felt that depressions in the Atlantic have been more 'active' since July and more active than recent summers. So far this Autumn I'd say the same with the pattern not changing that much with abundant high pressure over Europe with all the action in the Atlantic, all this talk about -NAO it certainly had me fooled since July that's for sure!...if I hadn't seen the thumbnails.
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