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Froze were the Days

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    Swaffham, Norfolk (4 bedroom house, detached) - wintering in Burnham
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    30 Degrees of pure British Celsius

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  1. Froze were the Days

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    It's all positive and upbeat again in the MOD thread due to a U-turn by the GFS and a better UKMO run, now for the ECM to ruin everything and Prozac time again.
  2. exactly!! - my bet says no with this models consistency, looks like it's following ecm but a day late - the waxes and wanes continue.
  3. Froze were the Days

    Met office 16 to 30 day outlook

    Strikes me as a slight upgrade in the wording from yesterday...but they seem to be waxing and waning a little but one things for sure the window is slowly closing if we get through the next week without any consistency in the models. GAME ON!!!
  4. Froze were the Days

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    Being sarcastic - another dull miserable day to add to the many!
  5. Froze were the Days

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    Sadly that doesn't mean much...before this winter 'kicked off' we had many background decent signals - solar minimum, global models showing positive signs for cold weather in this part of the world and then a SSW showing up in December and to date this winter has been forgettable. Saying this I'd be very surprised if the rest of the winter was as bad as the first half but doesn't mean we'll get a decent snow event.
  6. Froze were the Days

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    I thought with so many new posts (without going into the thread) every minute the ramping had moved up a notch from last night...how wrong I was! shows you how desperate many are to see something decent this winter, as so far it's been a write off. Notice another bright and sunny day out there
  7. With so many posts every minute (without viewing this thread) I thought the ramping had moved up a notch, how wrong I was!...seems to be a theme when we do get an upgrading on the models in the evening (particularly ecm) the next morning we get downgrades this winter...still interesting model watching but it seems to have been generally like this since November with diddly squat to show, yes somewhat colder weather on the way but not to noteworthy for the foreseeable.
  8. Froze were the Days

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    Doesn't mean anything at that range (192 onwards)...as a senior poster just mentioned the ecm is the opposite to the gfs and tends to go 'overboard' with blocking and easterlies at a certain range but then went onto say that with the SSW signal a possibility of a greater chance of a similar type scenario occurring and a northerly blocked snow event before the month is out.
  9. Froze were the Days

    Met office 16 to 30 day outlook

    Reading into it feels like a 'watering down' of any cold to be honest...for a continuation the MetO 30 dayer was wording cold conditions with frost, fog and snow (certainly in the north) and as we've got nearer to that period (last 10 days of January) it looks like it is veering away from it to a degree. Doesn't surprise me as the MetO 30 dayer has been poor this late Autumn/Winter with regards to forecasting cold or other weather, so who knows we might see an upgrade again in the coming day or week or so but I have little faith in these 30 dayers. So don't get hung up on them!
  10. Froze were the Days

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    Wasn't he married to Joan Collins back in the 60's? or have I got the wrong one
  11. To be fair the ecm46 height anomaly signals for blocking back in late December only grew stronger from January mid-month onwards, firstly with weakish height anomalies near Greenland/mid-Atlantic week 1/2 (which have struggled to materialise) with a stronger signal in the Iceland/Greenland area through to week 3/4 - so hopefully it's just delayed but on track?. Correct me anybody if this isn't accurate (just going by memory).
  12. I don't think they'll show much to be honest but they do seem to suggest east or north east winds so probably convective in nature and I don't know how accurate the model is for convectivity?
  13. Not sure where we go from there but if we did get anywhere near that day 10 point you can see a secondary low develop on it's eastern flank which would move north towards Scandinavia so probably more of a northerly developing and colder uppers being thrown into the mix.
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