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Convective

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Convective last won the day on May 19 2014

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Interests
    Aviation, shipping and of course weather ;)
  • Weather Preferences
    Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!

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  1. Looks like we’re still on for something good around these parts. Keeping a close eye on the charts but certainly promising at this range.
  2. Big storm going up southeast of Worcester by the looks of things.
  3. Current TAFs for tomorrow sound very promising: Manchester (heavy rain showers, thunderstorms and hail): 231106Z 2312/2418 09009KT CAVOK PROB30 TEMPO 2318/2412 12015G25KT PROB30 2400/2410 8000 TEMPO 2413/2418 7000 SHRA BKN045 PROB30 TEMPO 2413/2418 3000 +SHRA TSGS BKN014 BKN025CB BECMG 2415/2418 15015G25KT= Birmingham (heavy rain showers, thunderstorms): 231106Z 2312/2412 08012KT CAVOK TEMPO 2402/2408 9000 PROB30 2403/2408 BKN006 TEMPO 2408/2412 6000 SHRA PROB30 TEMPO 2409/2412 08015G25KT 3000 +SHRA TSRA BKN011CB= Cardiff (heavy rain showers, thunderstorms): 231106Z 2312/2412 07010KT CAVOK BECMG 2315/2318 VRB04KT PROB40 TEMPO 2320/2409 SHRA BKN045CB BECMG 2321/2324 07010KT TEMPO 2409/2412 6000 SHRA PROB40 TEMPO 2409/2412 08015G25KT 3000 +SHRA TSRA BKN011CB=
  4. Lots of new TCu cloud showing over West Midlands and through Wales now. I'd imagine something is going to give shortly.
  5. Convective initiation in a couple of places around Central and Southern Wales by the looks of satellite imagery.
  6. First of hopefully many this year. My take on this evening's potential.
  7. Next week it looks like there is a possibility of low pressure developing over northern Iberia, or the Bay of Biscay hence the energy being pushed northwards presenting the risk of some storms. However, it looks as though the energy will follow more of a east-west transition rather than being pushed from south to north. With a bit of luck, that will change over the next few days meaning that the northern half of the country can join in on the potential fun.
  8. There's going to be some high rainfall totals to the east of London by the end of this evening! Hoping for some better convective prospects to appear in the models soon. The weather is great here at the moment, but the one thing that would top it would be to have some more continental energy injected into the mix!
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