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Relativistic

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About Relativistic

  • Rank
    Give me snow

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Currently Birmingham, but sometimes Chelmsford.
  • Interests
    Studying for an integrated Master's degree in Theoretical Physics. Other interests include mathematics, meteorology, coding, walking, fishing, juggling/ unicycling, and just learning stuff!
  • Weather Preferences
    Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.

Recent Profile Visitors

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  1. March 2013 really was remarkable. With a CET of 1.9C, the second half of the month (defined as 16th-31st) comes in at joint third since 1772. Astonishingly cold for such a sustained period given the time of year.
  2. Pretty sure the late-April 2016 cold blast was a direct northerly.
  3. Was about to say the same thing. It would be totally idiotic to change anything based on that particular study.
  4. Love it when it's dark by 4pm. Gives me eight hours of darkness to enjoy before I go to bed. It's great.
  5. I think you mean 13 weeks and 6 days, and 14 weeks and 3 days, respectively.
  6. Pah, I wear shorts year-round.
  7. We've entered the month of most loss of daylight; my most permanent location, Birmingham, loses 1 hour and 57 minutes of daylight in September. Meanwhile, the Isles of Scilly lose 1 hour and 46 minutes of daylight over the course of the month, and Lerwick loses a whopping 2 hours and 38 minutes!
  8. August 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

    Ended up below all recent averages.
  9. September 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

    I tend to go for well below average regardless of what everything else indicates. And I've been entering this competition long enough to know that early indications often (but by no means always) mean absolutely nothing.
  10. Summer 2017 Discussion

    I'm seeing some patches of yellow in the trees already, perhaps due to the severe lack of sunshine.
  11. Having studied a variety of physical systems, my intuition tells me not to be so sceptical (it's good to be sceptical, but a level of open-mindedness is also needed). I'd like to make clear though that when I say it's plausible I don't mean it's likely, necessarily, just that there could be some kind of connection (unlike the Moon landing hypothesis!). I haven't carried out a full-blown analysis (and neither have you I suspect), but if the data show some kind of correlation, then to me this "link" isn't to be discarded (I fancy having a look at some point, could well find that such a link is weak at best). Goldbach's conjecture holds up to all numbers less than 4*10^18, still 0% of all even integers, but most mathematicians don't simply discard it! As to your last point, I actually wish I'd referred to the climatic state as whole, and not simply teleconnective states. Unfortunately, I think our picture of the climate is so far from being complete that such a test would be meaningless (because there is so much we're not accounting for). This is where analogue forecasting fails, IMO.
  12. The problem with this reasoning though is that it's totally inconceivable that NASA's Moon landings were affecting the weather; on the other hand, I don't see it as inconceivable that weather events at one time of year can in some way be linked to weather events further down the line. You sometimes see in physical systems that one state has a very high probability of evolving into another state at a later time, and it seems entirely plausible to me that these "links" may well be consequences/manifestations of this. If very warm Junes are a manifestation of a particular teleconnective/climatic state, then it may be that this state has a very high chance of evolving into another teleconnective/climatic state six months later which is conducive of wintry weather in our part of the world.
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