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kar999

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Everything posted by kar999

  1. Possibly just coronal streamers visible there. I cant find any reference of any CME's on 24th 745 might give us something but at the moment it will probably only be C-Class.
  2. Current Forecast: Looks like an interesting sunspot might possibly liven things up. Space Weather Outlook 23 March - 18 April 2005 (SWO PRF 1542 - 22 March 2005) Solar activity is expected be at very low to low levels. A region on the far side of the sun produced a CME at 21/1448 UTC. This region may increase activity levels when it rotates into view on approximately 24 – 25 March. A greater than 10 MeV proton event is not expected. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at High levels on 27 – 30 March, and 03 – 08 April. The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. Coronal hole high speed wind streams are expected to produce unsettled to active levels with occasional minor storm periods on 26 – 29 March, 02 – 06 April, and again on 10 April. Quiet to active conditions are expected on 12 – 13 April due to a weak HSS. Otherwise, expect quiet to unsettled conditions.
  3. Sun finally breaking throught the mist, 14c
  4. From Spaceweather.com Something exploded on the sun yesterday. We couldn't see the blast itself because it happened behind the sun's eastern limb. But we could see the hot magnetic cloud it hurled into space. The dramatic twisting loop soared some 240,000 km high, 20 times the diameter of Earth. What exploded? Possibly a sunspot. We'll see soon enough: the sun's rotation should carry the site around the bend and into view later this week.
  5. Current Forecast. Space Weather Outlook 16 March - 11 April 2005 Solar activity is expected be at very low to low levels the entire forecast period. A greater than 10 MeV proton event is not expected. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 17 – 19 March, and 03 – 06 April. The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. Coronal hole high speed wind streams are expected to produce unsettled to active levels with occasional minor storm periods on 16 – 17 March, and again on 02 – 06 April. Otherwise, expect quiet to unsettled conditions. Nothing exciting there..... however....
  6. One more from spacew.com Green (NIL to low levels of auroral activity) to brown/orange (low to moderate levels of activity) to red (moderate to high levels of activity).
  7. Real time data for monitoring potential Aurora activity I hope you find it useful. [Aurorawatch UK direct linking not allowed from Spring 2011] Other useful indicators (credit NOAA SEC) This map shows roughly how high the Kp index needs to be for you to possibly see the Aurora at your magnetic latitude. (Clickable Version here) KP Map
  8. Hi MN0NDX, I'm not sure how magnetically complicated 743 is, but it looks a decent size. 742 might have some potential if it keeps growing. One of those, or even 741, has kicked out a C4 flare this morning. The previous C1.8 on the plot was from 741. It sometimes pays not to take your eye off the ball, as these guys in Northern Ireland found out when unexpected Aurora were visible on 5th March. I hadn't received any warnings either for that day. http://eaas.proboards31.com/index.cgi?boar...&num=1110053710
  9. Some nice diplays live in Alaska at the moment 09:16. Obviously this may have gone by the time you access this. http://www.aurorawebcam.com/webcam.php?page=aurorawebcam
  10. The images I posted above are updated in real time and, now half hour later, show a weakening situation. Scotland is not covered at all now. Here's the latest forecast anyway. Updated: 12:00 UTC 09 March (7:00 am EST, 09 March) Geomagnetic and Auroral Activity Update Effects of a well placed solar coronal hole will begin subsiding over the next 12 to 24 hours. Generally active conditions are expected during the next 24 to 72 hours, becoming notably quieter by the 12th. Solar Activity Update The background x-ray flux is very slowly increasing as new active regions rotate into view around the eastern solar limb. C-class flare activity is possible.
  11. Too true... Check out the met office webcams for Aviemore and Aboyne. I'm assuming that is light polution I can see although the stars are visible. I'm using my 1997 laptop and the graphics are a little 'weak' to say the least!
  12. Received an amber alert tonight at 19:01 and some of you may have received similar. B) This is due to an ongoing solar wind stream reaching 700+km/s. The KP index has recently reached 6 (now subsided.) Unfortunately this alert is unlikely to cause any activity in the UK.
  13. Current forecast. Again, nothing to get excited about at all. Space Weather Outlook 02 March - 28 March 2005 Solar activity is expected be at very low to low conditions the entire forecast period. A greater than 10 MeV proton event is not expected. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 07 – 12 March and again 17 – 19 March. The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. Coronal hole high speed wind streams are expected to produce unsettled to active levels with occasional minor storm periods on 06 – 09 March and again on 16 – 17 March. Otherwise, expect quiet to unsettled conditions. (SWO PRF 1539 01 March 2005)
  14. 08:00 light snow flurry -1c Now stopped. Blue skies appearing. (Break out the factor 12)
  15. Light snow flurries at 07:30am producing a dusting at 0c Heavy snow at 09:00 sticking well but temperature +1c
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  19. Here's me belly-aching about snow that never settled.. These folks still only have a few ways in and out... The roads were blocked by 15 foot drifts... update as at 18:35 this evening. Alston Moor Road Update
  20. Yesterdays snow all gone except in isolated pockets and higher ground. Currently 2c with light snow flurries.
  21. 1c Fine snow falling 2cm blanket Sky overcast but not heavy
  22. Next weeks Forecast... Nothing to get excited about here. Space Weather Outlook 23 February - 21 March 2005 Solar activity is expected be at very low to low conditions the entire forecast period. A greater than 10 MeV proton event is not expected. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 22 February – 03 March, and 07 – 12 March. The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. Coronal hole high speed wind streams are expected to produce unsettled to active levels with occasional minor storm periods on 24 – 28 February, and 07 – 08 March. Quiet to active conditions are possible on 17 March due to a weak high speed wind stream. Otherwise, expect quiet to unsettled conditions. SWO PRF 1537 22 February 2005
  23. 07:30 -3c 1016 N wind light Occasional snow flurries.
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