leicsnow
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Posts posted by leicsnow
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I haven't been following this forum much at all recently (probably because things have been so uninspiring). I'm mostly a lurker now anyway so you probably don't know who I am.
I was wondering, is there any chance this winter will end up completely snowless (i.e. no days of lying snow)? For a lot of locations (namely my location) anyway?
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I'm pretty much still a newbie in this forum... I used to post a couple of years ago but went back to lurking since then so I guess I'm fairly unexperienced... so from what I can tell it was looking good for a cold spell from the 6th but now we are within a week of it it only looks to be lasting just one day is that right??
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4.8, same as last year.
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Save your head. You're dealing with half-wits who wouldn't know mild weather from a teapot. As I have said a few times already. In the great words of Bishop Brennan an 88/89 winter would soon teach these fools what mild weather is.
I'm not totally convinced it would. Before 2009, people had given up on cold winters, not because they had experienced one extremely mild one, but because they had experienced a long run of benign winters throughout the 90s and 00s. If an 88/89 were to happen again, people would simply be back cold ramping the next winter.
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I have to say I was becoming pessimistic about the prospects for cold but since yesterday I've become rather excited!
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i done that last year in feb and i went to bed when i awoke in morning it was snowing and it wasnt forecast
Same with me in December 2011. Many areas were forecast snow on the night of the 15th/16th, including mine, but I got none. Two days later, I was pleasantly surprised to wake up to a covering on the 18th.
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As mentioned over in the model discussion thread, the CFS is showing some great charts tonight. 18th January looks particularly nice.
Still throwing up some cracking charts, heres hoping for a beast of a winter! I seem to remember CFS got the severe cold of December 2010 from months in advance...
That's good to know
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Normally I start getting them in my house late July onwards, but only had a single one this year, in my kitchen at the end of July. Although I have started to see a few knocking around recently, albeit small ones but I guessed it's because it is September and that is when they are known to be notorious.
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Is it me or has it been "colder and wetter earlier in the period" and "warming up towards the end" for the last month or so now?
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Thanks for the answers guys. To be honest, I'm rather surprised that maxima can be as low as 12c during a sunny June day.
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Hardly the height of summer, but I remember a spell in early or mid March 2010 - near the equinox - having maxima of just 2-4c across the Midlands despite a moderately strong sun for the time of year and clear skies throughout. I believe minima were widely around -5c.
I bet it felt more like 10 to most people!
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I've been wondering, what would you say is the lowest possible temperature under crystal clear skies (or just virtually cloudless) during Summer in the UK, and under what conditions? Does anyone have any experience of strangely low temperatures under sunny skies? I'm talking maxima by the way.
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Not reaching 20C in April is actually pretty common here, only 10 Aprils have reached 20C here since 1981. Im not sure about Leeds, but Id wager its not too dissimilar.
As for the max this month, its still 14.8C (recorded on the 1st), which is the lowest on record. The closest are 14.9C in 1986 and 1989, so that is very much exceptional.
That's exactly what I recorded - 14.8 on the 1st. However, I fear Monday, which just happens to be the last day of the month, could ruin that.
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I think early to mid month could potentially bring a decent warm spell but I also believe the second half will be much more unsettled.
Therefore, 11.6 for me.
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At this stage, it remains quite unclear regarding the upcoming Summer, but I have to admit, the prospects look distinctly better this year than the last few had. Or is it just me?
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Heavy snow at 1.5c, turning sleety as it hits the ground
no lying snow
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Recent GFS runs seem to be starting a new trend, predicting next to no rainfall over the next two weeks or so in the drought areas. The drought could well continue...
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At the moment I'm expecting an average or slightly above average summer, the best overall since 2006, but probably no lengthy exceptional hot spells. However, this is just based on gut feeling and the current background signals.
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Today's two updates are exactly the same!
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2009 was pretty good in the southeast but nowhere else. 2004 was wet but warm. 2005 not too bad.
2008 was relatively wet and warm too - particularly at night and towards the end.
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One of the mildest Winters for some years?
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
That would be an accurate description of this winter so far. According to wunderground.com for my location there have been no days yet (in December or so far in January) where the temperature has failed to reach 6c. And we didn't even get an air frost in December at all. You could say that some haven't even experienced a proper 'cold snap' yet.