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Gavin Hannah

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Everything posted by Gavin Hannah

  1. Ok, so I posted this over in the chat thread too. It is at t.192 but, it does have a flavor of 2010 about it.
  2. What I will also say is that IMO, the cold has been getting upgraded the closer we get to T.0. At least where I am, having watched the models lately, we seem to be getting slightly colder that forecast and more snow to lower levels than forecast.
  3. You can definitely see and feel the buzz in the air as it looks like another stonking winte "could" be just around the corner. The past week and a half has given us a wee taster!
  4. Ok, so now i'm back after my month off and just to say, the setup is looking perfect. And with the MET looking towards an easterly even more, I'm def getting excited. So to the models, some very good reliable output on GFS with cold getting upgraded the closer we get to T.0. Very pleasing to see. So while what I'm posting is just out of reliable range, it does have Dec 2010 written all over it and ties in with the METs toughts. The ski resorts are open or opening up this week which is good news. Winters of 09/10' and 10/11' saw the resorts open before Xmas and stay open with very healthy snow cover which was a rare occurrance pre 2009. It looks like 12/13' is going to make it 3 out of the past 4. The current snow and ice situation. Ladies and gentlemen, we are looking so good right now. I would say it's time to strap in and enjoy the ride this winter. While I'm not going to predict Jan or Feb, I have been saying to everyone I know that this Dec is going to be cold and at times very snowy. Another all white UK satellite snap this year??
  5. Scottish mountains are accumulating a decent cover with Cairngorm and Lecht ski centre's going for a Saturday opening. More frequent snow across Scotland overnight tonight with some down to low levels. I would go for a punt at 200m ASL. Interesting to note that there is a brief westerly front blowing in from Sunday with the cold following back in from the N.West on Monday. Could bring some very good snow but as of yet, the BBC weather isn't modelling anything in that time frame. One to keep an eye out for.
  6. NH cover looking very good indeed. I think I've only been in here twice this month and the change looks dramatic indeed. Very positive stuff! Tomorrow marks the start of winter and I would guess that it's all looking good for a really good winter here in the UK. Temps here have been below freezing for the past week and it looks like remaining cold for the next week at least on the models.
  7. I believe that the snow is making progress west. I have been deliberately been keeping away for a while and checking in periodically to see the progress being made. It makes for better viewing this way. It's all looking good and the charts for the coming cool down look very promising.
  8. We've had so much rain that I'm actually mutating into a fish man!
  9. Natice. The noaa link is natice.noaa.gov/ims I've been calling it IMS (Bad habit)
  10. It's amazing what being away for a couple of weeks can do when looking at the Snow and Ice charts. IMS looks sooo much better!
  11. It's hard to argue against what is starring us in the face, literally. The winters of 09/10 and 10/11 were during a solar minimum and the next set of solar cycles are expected to see pretty much a long continued solar minimum with subsequent maximums blending in with the minimums. Interesting times lie ahead. With the exception of the white numbers, this is petty much what the sun looked like during those last winters. Spotless Days Current Stretch: 0 days 2012 total: 0 days (0%) 2011 total: 2 days (<1%) 2010 total: 51 days (14%) 2009 total: 260 days (71%) It can't be long until we reach zero sunspots? As mentioned, the Laymans count has already recorded a zero spot count. http://spaceweather.com
  12. Well the sun is certainly in snooze mode. The sunspots that are visible on the sun are just minuscule specks compared with a solar max sunspot. I do think, if I was going on gut instinct, that we have indeed passed solar max as mentioned above.
  13. Could need a decent supply of fuses this year. Obv, it's only one run and deep in FI, but the GFS has been good at picking out trends so far this autumn. It's had enough of all the hot air being blown about, and going on holiday lol. That would suggest the PV just isn't going to really get going.
  14. The one crumb of comfort is that 08,09,10,and 11 weren't as bad as 07. So fingers crossed, that we wont see anything as bad next year, or for a few more yet.
  15. Ok, I don't know how sunspots are measured, but if it was a few hundred years ago, I'm sure todays image would be recorded as having 2 or 3. Not the 35 posted on http://www.spaceweather.com
  16. I'm in GP's corner, only out of preferential outcome of course. Out of curiosity, does the fact that the sun is nigh on asleep have any influence on the upper atmosphere temp profile?
  17. The refreeze looked so promising only a couple of weeks ago.
  18. The ski resorts suffered badly last year as any snow that fell was wiped out within a day or two. This year however, we seem to be gradually building up the amount of snow on the peaks. Unlike last year, any milder interludes look short lived (less than 24 hours) which means we should see a decent ski season in the UK this year. Cmon the Snow!
  19. Ah thx SS, it shuld be .info. My bad. All the webcams looking gd.
  20. Saw 2day a decent amount of snow on Ben Lomond and the eastnrn Campsie hills on my way in to glasgow. Looks amazballs!
  21. I wonder if we will get to Zero sunspots this year. It's certainly extremely low atm.
  22. Yes, a tad optimistic GTLTW haha. Some really good cover building on the peaks up north. http://www.winterhighland.net
  23. Well, looking at that, we're not far off of Iceland linking up with Greenland. That's something to keep an eye on. The Alaskan/Canadian side will take care of itself as we progress through Nov.
  24. Snow accumulating on the hills up north. http://www.winterhighland.info/ Very eerie!
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