Gavin Hannah

Lets not get too carried away now. That video still shows a chart over 2 weeks away. Given the current synoptic setup and the next 10 days of charts, I struggle to see how the atlantic is going to ruin Christmas.

Week of the 5th will really come down to what happens to the Altantic low. If the HP holds out and sends the LP north west towards Greenland, then we could be game on for another cold shot with perhaps even snowier weather than this week. Will enjoy the weather this week and not get to carried away for the next week just yet.

Good summary. The ridge starts to take form over night tonight. This lasts the week and should continue to bring cold nights and days. Scotland looks good for further snowfall, esp on the high ground. Would expect fine settled weather everywhere else. The end of the week sees slightly milder temperatures. But should still be fine and settled. The HP has parked itself to our west. Further into FI, it goes for a mega reload, but takes a full week to get there. As mentioned, the Atlantic is a no show. If we can keep the Atlantic shutdown, then this could be the pattern this month. If we get a few reloads of this ridging, all it takes is for it to setup just right and it could put us in the freezer for a prolonged spell. Roll on winter!!

That is a stonker of a chart. That would bring serious amounts of snow to quite a few locations! Not just on the mountains.

Glencoe Summit this morning. Snow all the way down to the bottom and beyond!

I remember 2009 when we got that easterly (or was it greenie) on the 24th December. I'm in no way disappointed with whats coming, but if it was happening only 3-4 weeks from now. Boom! What I like about the models just now is the consistency for a sustained cold setup. If this lasts all the way to Xmas, then it will be one of the best Xmas lead ups I can remember. Even if low levels don't get the quantity of snow of 2009 / 2010, it would feel truly festive compared with recent years.

4 weeks I will be back in Scotland for the Xmas period! Waxing the snowboard as I type this....ARgggh I don't know if I can wait that long! lol

I have heard several comments like this on here, but having seen nothing really worth talking about since the winters of 2009 and 2010, and so many heartbreakingly close but no cigar moments, what we are lined up for is by far and away, the best thing since sliced bread. If you will pardon the anaology. Temperatures are already dropping everywhere and we have probably had more snow on the mountains in the last few days than we did the entire of last winter. , with more on the way, which is great for those of us who like to ride the magical white powder.

The GFS going back to amplified northerly feed by middle of next week after this weekend. Whats that now, 3 days of models trending to a cold and wintry solution for the next 7 - 10 days. And a dumping of snow on the mountains in Scotland! Game on!

The setup atm is far better than at any time last year. How often did we see eye candy charts at just past the reliable only to seem them disappear a day later. At least we have some consistency in the near term to focus on.

Banked!

Having a look at the evolution for the next 2 weeks, can I just say how nice it is to see some proper wintry weather being modeled as we head into December. The last few winters have had myself and many others peering from behind a sofa as the models trot out their output. Even though a ridge may not be able to sustain itself to create a long lasting Scandi or Greenie wedge, lack of southern incursions means that each topple introduces air mass from the north west before attempting to reload the HP. Far better position to be in compared to seeing a Euro block to our east.

Current snow sitch at Aviemore

That looks rather nice and healthy... hope it translates as forecast.

Lets see how this actually turns out. I wouldn't be surprised if that site was doing the opposite of a daily express. Plucked on run out of several rather than looking at the trends.

Annnnnnnd....... I'm Back! A month later than usual, but strapping myself in for the Great British Annual Snow Hunt! I say it every year, but this year is the one... Another 2010 on its way!

This has been a consistent feature now for a few runs. The migration towards Greenland could produce wonders next weekend and beyond.

Compared to the dreary muck the last few winters, these charts are indeed 'spoiling' us.

Post this weekend, majority of members close to -5 on that chart all the way to 25th January. Great starting point. A few runs required over this weekend to really see if it can hold on to these sort of outputs beyond next weekend.

Potential Greenie HP developing. I mentioned earlier, the HP of Greenland slackens off next Tuesday / Wednesday. The setup is primed for it. Keep touching wood!

To everyone feeling gloomy today.. all I can see on the models is bags and bags of potential within the 7 day time frame. Compared to last year, I'd rather be looking at lots of potential rather than lots of Atlantic weather.

We are in a far better position compared with last year. Ok Decmeber was a let down, how things have change quickly this past week. Oddles of potential coming up, and all it takes is a gentle nudge from the weather gods in the right direction.

The charts I posted are the 850s, this is the 500. The blob of yellow and orange needs to be tad further north though. My point is, it's got potential.