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wimblettben last won the day on April 18
wimblettben had the most liked content!
Profile Information
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Gender
Male
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Location
Brongest,Wales
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Interests
I am interested in the weather and find the wind and thunderstorms my main interest. I also find temperature and the way in which heat is transfered quite interesting. I was also diagnosed with High-end functioning Autism back in 2010.
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Weather Preferences
Stormy autumn, hot and sunny summer and thunderstorms all year round.
wimblettben's Achievements
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TonyH Thats not true, we were under a yellow warning for Wintry conditions not just snow. And besides the point, even some of the Amber areas didn't get much so our points still stand. And to add to this, i think the real ones to blame are the weather models because the forecasters can only at the end of the day tell us what they are showing for the general ordiance who could not understand such things. Just look at what the models were telling us Winter would be like months ago only for loads of people on this forum including pros being led up the garden path for the thousandth time.
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Agree with most people about how poor of a forecast this has turned out to be. Was sure i had woken up to a different day when i woke up and looked out the window as to have yellow and amber warnings of ice and snow to only give the usual mild atlantic rain is quite something.
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Got pretty much what I expected last night with a max gust of 44.9mph. There was an hour or two hour period where I was getting lots of gusts in the 30’s mph so I suspect it was this that made it more noticeable than Isha even though Isha gave us much stronger gusts. Isha seemed to be gustier but stronger and Jocelyn was weaker but more constant I would say.
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Based on the predictions i am expecting max gusts of 35-45mph this evening and tonight considering that its suppose to be a step down from Isha's winds which gave us max gusts of around 55mph. But even if this is all we get there could still be some damage as even though normally winds around 40mph just give very blowy conditions with maybe some twigs coming down these winds are going to be hitting trees and structures that would have been weakened by Isha's 50 or 60mph gusts so we still will probably have some issues.
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XC weather is currently showing wind gusts for inland areas tomorrow that are almost the same as what ended up happening yesterday. Gusts anywhere from 50-60mph is showing up from 6:00pm and 12:00am. For reference i had a max gust of 56mph on my handheld anemometer while up the local road at the peak of yesterdays storm so if these predictions come true then it will be virtually the same strength again at least for inland areas here.
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I still think storm Arwen back in November 2021 is the worst winds i have seen since moving here as that must have had frequent inland gusts of 50-60mph with peaks possibly being 60-70mph. There were a lot of proper big trees down from that one and i had never seen that before then. Normally its always weaker trees or ones that are shallow rooted. I can say having been out in Isha last night that it wasn't at the level of Arwen like i thought it was going to be but still bought two gusts in the mid 50's which to me reminds me more of a storm we must of had in the early hours and morning sometime in the Autumn or Winter of 2019. Overall the max gusts last night were probably the same as Arwen but were far more shortlived and gustier so its this that probably makes it feel like it was less severe.
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I think for a lot of areas away from Ireland, Scotland, coasts and inland hills it was a bit less then predicted as originally even gusts inland were suppose to be getting up to around at least the 70mph range but going from a lot of reports it looks like it maxed out more at around 55mph with a few isolated spots maybe getting to 60mph. When i went up the road here after 4:00pm i was already getting gusts in the 40's so just assumed it was a sign of an extreme night to come. But then i was getting the odd 50mph gust and i could see the odd power flash in the sky from time to time. It actually dropped back to 35-45mph for a bit before the peak between 7:00pm and 9:00pm where i got a gust of 55.0mph and then another at 56.8mph probably another 10 minutes or so later. Still a decent blow though and tends to be the max we get every 1 or 2 years where it causes the power to keep going on and off for a short time before staying on and being ok again. Twigs, some branches and weak or shallow rooted trees seem to be most affected from these sorts of winds along with possible minor property damage.
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No way, definitely at least a 1-5 year event as even the deepest lows in the winter only normally bring gusts of 40mph or 50mph inland at most.
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Well for reference those wind gusts are usually the max you get on the coasts and hills in most deep lows in the winter period when inland areas get anywhere from 30-50mph gusts so if those gusts come off it will be quite an experience for us inlanders.
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First set of photos were taken yesterday after the brief sleet and snow showers in the early hours. We had a light sleet shower around midday that then cleared to sunny spells for most of the afternoon. But then a heavier sleet shower came over in the very late afternoon which would later freeze and compact during the night hours as temps fell below freezing leading to lethal icy roads. Then these were the scenes we had this morning as we walked up our local road after the temperature had reached its lowest value of -7.5C. Really not good that the roads were not gritted as several people had been stuck around our hamlet for most of the day as they haven't been able to drive back out.