Eskimo

April 7

Off to prague this coming week and then off to Cyprus in May. I cannot stand anymore of this weather so having to seek sun elsewhere.

March 27

Anyone got current precip stats for March? Got to be nearing or over the average for March especially for Southern UK?

March 10

I have to say I'm really starting to struggle with the lack of sun. Really struggling.

March 1

All models bring through showery rain/sleet/snow around the centre of the low tomorrow through the Midlands. Looking at the data - dew points hovering between 0-1C will likely mean sleet/snow in heavier bursts 100m+. Generally snow anywhere 200m+ looking at the freezing level. Looking like mostly rain below 100m.

Unlikely any settling snow will last below 300m. Can't rule out temporary accumulations if precipitation is heavy enough but ultimately it will be another dreary damp day for most.

GFS well out on it's own with the band of snow for Sunday.

February 28

41C coming off a plane in Qatar at 2am

February 10

Love snow, but as Winter nears Spring I become less interested in it. Don't really enjoy the snowfalls you get in March/April where it melts by mid-afternoon as per last year. Prefer the early Winter dumps where the snow becomes crunchy underfoot and makes you feel like you're in the baltics for a few days.

Mind you, it is pretty seeing colourful crocuses pushing out of the white blanket.

February 8

Heavy settling snow in Leek.

February 8

Really bad over the peaks. Was travelling over to bakewell and nearly went into the back of an Ocado van. Turned back and now safely in Leek.

Don't drive a performance car on snow!!

February 8

It wasn't meant to be. No entrenched cold before today, temperatures haven't gone below freezing for most places, ground temps are higher than normal after a very mild week and dew points were about on the line as you can get.

You had to question the models over the past few days that it predicted anything other than what we see today.

February 7

Walsall Wood Snow no frost because of the cloud cover. Below 0 is possibly a bit low. 2.2C here.

February 7

Got a day off tomorrow so may drive up towards the peaks with the mrs. Bakewell is the target.

February 7

Metwatch

Looks about right based on what's being modelled across the board. Obviously a chance there will be temporary 1-3cm accumulations across lower areas but realistically most areas away from 200m+ will just see transient snowfall and slushy deposits. I'd be happy to see snow fall, just not looking forward to seeing it turn back to rain.

February 6

markw2680

That's not strictly true though, air temperatures still need to be conducive to allow that to happen. I've seen plenty of snowfalls where the opposite occurs because the conditions aren't right. One of them being last March.

The reason snow settles on wet roads is because the atmosphere becomes favourable eventually, like due to evaporative cooling or a change in the direction of air as examples.

The Met Office clearly see this being snow to sleet/rain with little accumulation for most places below 200m (where conditions above that in the air are conducive of significant settling snow).

February 6

Can't see much settling on roads and paths. Temperatures above freezing between now and thursday for most after a very mild period of weather. Ground temps are so warm I'm seeing daffs appearing.

February 6

As a side note - the ARPEGE has corrected south by nearly 100 miles between yesterdays 18z and today's 12z.

February 6

Won't stop what's coming towards us on Friday though which will be a horrid cold and damp sort of day unfortunately.

February 6

Big difference actually when it comes to the dew points - degree or so down on the last run for the same time. A shift of about 30-40 miles southward which indicates the cold is undercutting a bit more than originally forecast.

Incredible thermal gradient though. 10-12C along the south coast 0-2C across the Midlands. Spring to Winter in about 150 miles.

T2 Temps

February 6

Any significant snowfall will rely on evaporative cooling. Most models drag the dew point down from positive values to near freezing as the band moves across - the heavier the precipitation the more this will have an impact on conditions at the surface and the longer we all see snowfall.

Most models lower these dew points to near favorable conditions but many are just on the wrong side of the border.

February 6

MattStoke looks like settling snow for just the Welsh mountains and peak district on the second chart. If so, MetOffice warning area is correct.

February 6

Isn't it entirely possible that many of us will see falling snow but very little of it will settle? Hence the warning moving north into air where settling is more likely?

February 5

Snowline very similar on latest GEM but flattens the low more so than the GFS. Who knows what's going to happen.

February 5

GFS still blowing it up like a balloon though which has been pretty steadfast. Any snow across lower ground of Wales and England will melt quite quickly.