Eskimo

Not much between the GFS 06z & 12z at 120h. Even if its wrong, you have to admire the consistency.

So let's look at the models for Christmas Day ICON GFS ECM UKMO All over the bloody place - this is not resolved in the slightest. Can't get rid of the two images below, annoying bug this forum has. Ignore.

Probably already mentioned but at the moment I can't keep up. However... Although quicker with the low coming in, the UKMO shows a southerly tracking low for Boxing Day as well, so the GFS is not completely on its own.

I mean, the models weren't showing double digits until well into the mid-morning hours of tomorrow anyway. In fact, all models show the Peak District at about 4-5C by 9pm. Bang on. By 9am...double digits!

Looks similar to the GFS in terms of the lows placement at 120h

The word 'zonal' sounds absolutely terrible...however you can get a southerly tracking jet with a zonal pattern...and it's that set up that produces the greatest snowfalls. A zonal pattern doesn't always mean 'mild and wet'

I try and keep the lounge to about 16-17C - that's where I'm comfortable enough. We have an old wooden framed conservatory tacked onto the back of the house that nearly gets down to the outside temp because it's got shutter windows at the top and consequently its draughty. The living room window looks into the conservatory and unfortunately that's also wooden framed and single-paned so we can't retain as much heat as we'd like in here. The kitchen also looks into the conservatory, however we replaced the old wooden framed windows with modern uPVS double-glazing due to a break in and that makes a huge difference there.

MetOffice maps show a period of moderate snow (grey) for the morning before obviously turning back to rain. Transient in nature, giving a few cm in parts on frozen ground before rapidly thawing.

Instead of screenshotting, you should be able to just touch and hold the image with your finger, a popup box should come up and you can save it to your phone that way.

Anyone know why it takes models to eek out frames of data over a period of x-amount of time? Why does it take the ECM, for example, nearly an hour? I'm not complaining, it adds to the drama but just wondering.

We'll cope between me and my partner as we have decent-paying jobs (at least to me they are). We don't have children and we don't have a particularly high mortgage (for now) as we saved hard for years to get a 20% stake in the house. My partner works afield so stays in hotels so there's only me at home most of the time so energy consumption is about as low as it can be. I do genuinely feel for those that will struggle significantly. Particularly older people with pittance-pensions, vulnerable people and young families - if they struggle then we will all struggle. The knock-on effects of low spending and hunkering down will cause further problems to our economy down the line.

I've noticed with these hot spells this year it just hasn't felt humid which makes our heatwaves typically unbearable. Is it the parched ground across western France that the air can't 'moisten up' before travelling to us?

Dropping here in Birmingham now and looks as though places further east are now topping out.

Crazy. We'd be salivating (well, some of us) at that temperature as a max. It's bloody 11am!

It's not just the ambient temperature but the combination of that and when the sun is at its strongest. 12-3pm will feel much hotter and affect you more than at 3-6pm.

35.2C here in southern Birmingham. Not an official recording mind but I've positioned/shielded it as best I can.

Needs to be moved to shade to be honest. It's of little value if it's in the sun.

28.1C here. 3C rise in the hour.

ICON was showing 39C MAX for a few days leading up to the day.

Just got a chance to check the models today. 26C 850s - good lord!

Feels like early autumn here today. Brisk wind, showery and cool.

Yes the cloud bases are very high!

Easy. France still in the hottest 850s with clear skies, Wales sitting under thick cloud and rain in much cooler 850s. I do, however, think 45C is overkill but completely believe 12C for Wales.

Seem to be thankfully shielded by winds here. Squall came through but other than the intense rain, nothing much with winds.

Icon not interested away from highests hills.