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Suburban Streamer

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About Suburban Streamer

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    Barnet/south Herts border 130m asl
  • Weather Preferences
    snow, thunderstorms & all extreme weather

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  1. Snow tomorrow dependant on timing. midday fax is promising, if we can get it into east anglia/home counties towards sunset, then game on. Also later in the night another band likely. Timing key or it'll be sleety shame it gets milder on friday, but still some snow falling without needing the lamp post would be pretty marvellous to see
  2. Yeah i did that one very quickly. Just to highlight the potential further south more than anything. Of course nowcast all the way
  3. tomorrow night will come down to luck of the draw with shower tracks, but away from coasts and lowest ground, some snow falling looks a decent shout. Then late weekend into next week is all to play for, no need for any doom and gloom, as we enter a period that brings the biggest chances of snow so far this winter. Here's my map for tomorrow night, but of course it'll be a nowcast thing, fingers crossed and best of luck to all
  4. hi everyone, my winter forecast is available here (too long so i wont copy the whole thing into here) fingers crossed for some decent wintry spells http://londonwx.wordpress.com/winter-1415/
  5. East anglia and north up the east coast looks fairly promising tomorrow in terms of instability, and none of that convective inhibition we have seen today. my chances in north london dont look as good but fingers crossed as always
  6. far too cloudy to trigger any storms unfortunately. at least its stopped raining with just a few showers remaining Weekend looks horrid i put together a little forecast for the weekend http://tinyurl.com/forecast-weekend HP mid-end next week? yes please!
  7. theres a chance, but south coast is favoured. i think for you and i, best chance for storms looks like Thursday. Hope so PS i know exactly what u mean! i think its just teasing us
  8. LOL at two weeks, more like 3 days. Here's my bank hol forecast. (Perhaps a touch premature). Ignoring details, at least the general theme of dry with temps recovering looks decent enough tinyurl.com/ku322bu High pressure looks likely to topple pretty quick by monday, but after a relatively unsettled 1st week of May, i have recently been looking at some signals that suggest high pressure in our vicinity. These signals being a very strong spike in tendency relative angular momentum as a result of a strong global mountain torque. This idea is gaining credence somewhat with decent agreem
  9. hi all totally agree about the cold - i'm quite a hardened snow lover but also a keen gardener so all im interested in now is when can i put the veg out! Some interest tomorrow with nmm modelling some decent CAPE / LI values for inland parts of East anglia/SE eng and e mids friday afternoon. Lets see if we can get lucky
  10. This is an interesting article. Read something about this last year. Teleconnections in noctilucent clouds: http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2014/16apr_teleconnections/
  11. now cue the easterly bursts and the LA nina predictions Tongue in cheek of course, but i stay firmly on the fence with this enso hype!
  12. this is an interesting read. Not a term i recall coming across before, but apologies if its already been posted Mechanisms for the Holton-Tan relationship and its decadal variation: http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=holton%20tan%20relationship&source=web&cd=6&ved=0CEkQFjAF&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.researchgate.net%2Fprofile%2FHua_Lu10%2Fpublication%2F260079132_Mechanisms_for_the_Holton-Tan_relationship_and_its_decadal_variation%2Ffile%2F3deec52f525b6cb7c5.pdf&ei=HMcZU4K4GYO2hQfqv4CYBw&usg=AFQjCNG-pS_vGvf9O3NShQyhaJsLzHkwDg&bvm=bv.62578216,d.ZG4 Long lin
  13. doesnt quite work like that but only 3 SSW's in 30 years worth of WQBO winters is telling! Not that this winter was entirely devoid of any strat warmings. There was wave activity and warming a plenty but not quite official SSW status and with the PV consolidating quickly soon after. Winter 2014/15 looks like being EQBO which will help avoid the development of such a strong PV and likely to be el nino which is known to create warmer polar strat conditions. SSW's more common in EQBO winters, as with both enso phases. So a more promising outlook for next winter, though how the uk will fair, is o
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