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Suburban Streamer

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    Barnet/south Herts border 130m asl
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    snow, thunderstorms & all extreme weather

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  1. Here's my forecast for 15/16. Too long to post in here properly, here's the link https://londonwx.wordpress.com/winter-1516/
  2. i was born in an easterly and -10c upper air. A novelty that still hasn't worn off 36 years later!
  3. Decent ozone anoms, particularly over the North Pacific & North Altantic. Tropical strat temps still a little high, no way near the temps we saw last Autumn, though the wqbo is likely showing its hand here to at least some degree...?
  4. Snow tomorrow dependant on timing. midday fax is promising, if we can get it into east anglia/home counties towards sunset, then game on. Also later in the night another band likely. Timing key or it'll be sleety shame it gets milder on friday, but still some snow falling without needing the lamp post would be pretty marvellous to see
  5. Yeah i did that one very quickly. Just to highlight the potential further south more than anything. Of course nowcast all the way
  6. tomorrow night will come down to luck of the draw with shower tracks, but away from coasts and lowest ground, some snow falling looks a decent shout. Then late weekend into next week is all to play for, no need for any doom and gloom, as we enter a period that brings the biggest chances of snow so far this winter. Here's my map for tomorrow night, but of course it'll be a nowcast thing, fingers crossed and best of luck to all
  7. hi everyone, my winter forecast is available here (too long so i wont copy the whole thing into here) fingers crossed for some decent wintry spells http://londonwx.wordpress.com/winter-1415/
  8. Sylvain has just confirmed to me on twitter that the new gfs will be running in parallel from some point in the next two weeks
  9. despite the relative enso hype earlier in the year, caution was indeed correct. Going to be interesting to see how this one develops
  10. East anglia and north up the east coast looks fairly promising tomorrow in terms of instability, and none of that convective inhibition we have seen today. my chances in north london dont look as good but fingers crossed as always
  11. far too cloudy to trigger any storms unfortunately. at least its stopped raining with just a few showers remaining Weekend looks horrid i put together a little forecast for the weekend http://tinyurl.com/forecast-weekend HP mid-end next week? yes please!
  12. theres a chance, but south coast is favoured. i think for you and i, best chance for storms looks like Thursday. Hope so PS i know exactly what u mean! i think its just teasing us
  13. LOL at two weeks, more like 3 days. Here's my bank hol forecast. (Perhaps a touch premature). Ignoring details, at least the general theme of dry with temps recovering looks decent enough tinyurl.com/ku322bu High pressure looks likely to topple pretty quick by monday, but after a relatively unsettled 1st week of May, i have recently been looking at some signals that suggest high pressure in our vicinity. These signals being a very strong spike in tendency relative angular momentum as a result of a strong global mountain torque. This idea is gaining credence somewhat with decent agreement on MJO phase 1 and NWP does seem to now be toying with this idea, albeit in FI. Fingers crossed hey Great pics back there Tams
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