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AutumnMists

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Everything posted by AutumnMists

  1. At the end of the day, it's all about if this and if that ... it's pretty understandable not too make a decision at this time and therefore there is no point telling us to drown our hopes out, likewise it would be stupid for someone to tell us we're in for deep cold for the next few weeks. Some of it is common sense ... but everyone understands where you are coming from and digging out information is always useful.
  2. Another thing I should add, No one has been suggesting deep cold or anything like that before day 14.
  3. trust me, there is never any consistency for anything beyond day 5. It's pointless digging out the mild pictures when you are ignoring a greater amount of colder or average pictures as you are simply saying that all models agree with each other. Anyway, if temperatures are to get to average at best in the next 14 days, you can't ask for much more? Deep cold doesn't come every year
  4. The last few months has almost been slight copies of 2008 I liked December 2008, brought in a decent cold start and lots of snow for Northerners
  5. Apparently now on -4.0. -2.5 here fluctuating because of the indecisive clouds.
  6. Don't be disappointed ... we don't usually get any type of cold like this at the start of December.
  7. We are already in for a cracking start in my opinion (based on the fact that, on average, the daytime temperatures should be at 7-8'C.)
  8. Well, not the best day of model watching for some ... although these last few model runs have been the cause of much discussion over what's going to happen as we head out of the first week of December. Here's hoping for another day of fun twists and turns tomorrow
  9. Down to -0.1 here ... unwelcomed overcast coming in but should clear before Midnight leaving a clear night.
  10. Perhaps he was getting confused between 2009 and 2010? Seems most likely especially given the timeframe.
  11. Hopefully a sign of things to come ... at least until Monday.
  12. Yesterday was an awesome day in terms of models and the day before was horrible. Based on this correlation .. will that mean we are all smiling with excitement tomorrow? It just goes to show how fun it can really be studying the models, unfortunately we have all had the experience of that devastating run that causes shock and havoc like many runs have done today. At least one thing, no models show mild
  13. Very cold more or less everywhere in the North of England now and with clear skies for most ... I would have those scrapers ready for the morning. As for this weekend ... slow and steady as she goes ... nothing much different compared to last night
  14. I suppose in your location you get a lot of cold snaps which don't quite make it to your region and the one this weekend looks to be following that ... On a rather more fortunate note though I would definitely expect frosts and all round Wintry temperatures until at least Monday. The uncertainty continues, however
  15. ECM doesn't provide a brilliant one ... but more of a sigh of relief in that it certainly doesn't catch up on ANY sort of milder than average conditions for it's whole lifetime. Hence, neither does it show deep cold obviously ... Uncertainty continues .. all those saying it's over are just being stupid if you think about it. Short term anyone?
  16. Snow has been in the forecast for some for about a week now (for this weekend). Usual places receiving the falls ... a huge amount of uncertainty though
  17. Anyone remember April 2008? Goodness me, that was perhaps the most surprising snowfall for me ... here in the North we did get forecast clear skies and a 'late' season frost with temperatures at around -2'C ... when we woke up the next morning it was quite astonishing (and localizationing ... I remember it being around 5 cm and down the valley about 7 miles away it was very green). Always a problem when 'cloudy skies with very light flurries' is forecast .. in that you simply don't know what's going to happen and before you know it you may well have a coating. Yay, a person with some common sense! All they are doing over there in the MOD is talking about the 'mild' that is to arrive in two weeks time (that didn't seem plausible last night) ... despite the fact we have a whole weekend of Winter to look forward to.
  18. Was down South on holiday around that date and I recall it, just. Thanks for the memories as always!
  19. That's the basic thing people need to understand ... we were never in for a deep freeze and probably still aren't until at least Mid-December, unfortunately. Here's for localized snowfall though
  20. Based on the way things have gone this week; This time tomorrow, the models will be showing something very cold and exciting In reality though, I think todays models just about paint the picture ... a relatively cold weekend but average or just below average next week and very wet, rain for most ... but it would be stupid not to rule out anything Wintry especially for the North ... It is very unrealistic and silly to dismiss cold next week ... average Max for early December is round 8-10'C and the models are showing nothing of the sort ... more like 4-7'C. As for mid December, it is far too early to be making a conclusion on that yet just on one particular run ... I can guarantee you now, that link you have posted will show a massively changed chart about another 20 times before we get to Mid-December. Let's stick to what the models are really showing ... and not concentrate on the double figures in the South next week .... Low single figures in the North, East and Scotland is FAR more important.
  21. Hopefully. That's going to worry me for days and days now! Hopefully it will slip away soon ... seems pretty implausible I suppose ... But then again it could be a killer
  22. Needs watching though. You wouldn't say that about something coming in from the opposite direction.
  23. Still masses of uncertainty, and as others have pointed out, Durham in particular may suffer from a poor snow cover given the daily Max's. We'll just have to wait and see
  24. Although when most of it consists of rain and cool, it does get tiring.
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