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Robbie Garrett

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Posts posted by Robbie Garrett

  1. 8 hours ago, Daniel* said:

    What are you talking about, have you forgot about May 2018? Beastly late May period.... sure recent years haven’t been good but there’s been some real crackers in last decade in London / SE.

     

    Yes that was a good setup, coming in via Kent. All home grown as far as I remember.   But @Harry will tell you, what we've seen down this way is nothing compared to the 90s and very early 00s.  I honestly don't get why we don't get those setups anymore, but probably something to do with the way the Azores and Atlantic currently setup?

    But yeah we've had a few crackers. 

  2. 51 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    It always seems to be the North that get all the epic plume storms in this country anyway. York supercell two years ago, 22nd August 2015 , 1st July 2015, 19th June 2005 (what a mad day that was), and July last year also. 

    The rest of them normally end up being Kent Clippers or busts due to lower Dew points and drier air further South, despite higher temps, but not sufficient enough to overcome CIN. 

    36 minutes ago, Oliver Wyndham-lewis said:

    I beg to differ the S/SE has had some epic storms from plume events too. July 2014 was very active, 1st of July 2015 there was also an amazing thunderstorm overnight in London, so much lightning I remember that one well. Then we had June 2016, very thundery round here. End of May 2018 was incredible across the south and then even last year we had a countrywide thunderstorm event on 24th/25th of July when a big MCS went straight through the heart of the country which was almost the length of the south coast as it travelled north

    Wasn't there a study done on this exact thing.  We haven't had anything down here like this for absolute years, early 2000s at least.

     

     

    Does anyone have any weather charts for this day???

    • Like 3
  3. 3km into my 5km interval run, look at that beauty moving away into Buckinghamshire. 

    20200617_180812.thumb.jpg.8cd60211fc2ce3114459b3dc5622a5b2.jpg

    5 minutes ago, Harry said:

    Finally seeing across Benelux what this ‘possible MCS’ is all about...been a steady flow of rain spreading into the Channel all day (but decaying thankfully) but now there’s some more active storms racing westwards

    20 minutes ago, Harry said:

    Handful of very localised but RAPIDLY developing deluges kicking off in my locale. No thunder sadly.

    4 minutes ago, Oliver Wyndham-lewis said:

    Cells popping up again in the SE now

    FE7B4132-B13C-46AC-B515-F308D00BCB9F.jpeg

    Yes - cells rapidly popping off and becoming electrical now. Cells back-building over that one over central London.   Watching from my Living room view.

     

  4. 39 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

     Please tell me your kidding right ?? The Met Office although not my number 1 fan did put the warning in the correct place just their timing were out due to the Cap holding longer than planned. You are in the perfect position for today and your dewpoints promote thunderstorms, and tomorrow and wednesday as well.

    Update on the MCS for the SE which maybe would have been our saviour is rapidly going downhill with it staying the other side of the channel and hardly any models going for this now.

     

    3 minutes ago, Jamiee said:

    There was modelled convergence for parts of N/NW Kent but it doesn't amount to much on the models. Just showers really.

    Keeping an eye on that stuff over Le Harve/Rouen

    image.thumb.png.389e0e9329ce23c0e3d6975e38e88c51.png

  5. 2 hours ago, Harry said:

    Whilst models have generally backed away from much of any rain here in the SE, the weather app by contrast has gone the other way - from 30-40% chance indicated yesterday, to 80-90% around 2pm today! Suffice to say there is literally not one cloud in the sky here at the moment. 

    I am not too concerned, the outlook this June looks fairly good.   I suspect July when the heat ramps up in Europe and heads this way we'll be in with a shout of a classic 1990s style MCS/MCC.  Bigger than this 

    800x500.jpg
    WWW.STRATUSDECK.CO.UK

     

    MO_Master_W.jpg
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Met Office 5 day weather forecast map for UK including weather warnings, temperature, rain, wind speed, cloud, and pressure.

     

  6. 23 minutes ago, Yarmy said:

    Can’t speak for the rest of the country, but round here it’s baked dry and the latest top dog ECM suggests little relief in the near future. If this carries on we will be in Californian mega drought territory come August.

    Not particularly what you want during a Pandemic. Slightly worrying really.   Then there's the issue of when the rains come, the surface will flood again.

  7. 10 minutes ago, Stabilo19 said:

    115614500_londonmapinfected.thumb.png.11b99a2b6894e9211871151376450370.png

    Infographic of the spread of London cases (8 boroughs in the UK top 10).

    Central/NE seems to be worst affected at the moment. The areas don't really correlate to higher population or higher population density, so other factors playing a role here. 

    See my above post. 

  8. 2 hours ago, Stabilo19 said:

    A growing number of rumours spreading now that London is heading for a lockdown, no doubt enhancing panic buying across the capital. 

    Given all of the past measures were leaked to the media prior to being officially announced, then this London lockdown story is probably true. 

    TELEMMGLPICT000228096381-xlarge_trans_Nv
    WWW.TELEGRAPH.CO.UK

    London is braced for lockdown as the Government prepares emergency legislation to prevent the spread of coronavirus, The Telegraph understands.

     

     

    2 hours ago, Astral Goat Juice said:

    I dont know what truth there is to this, but my mate is quite high up in the Army and they have been ordered to cancel all exercises and return to the barracks for further order.

    And at the same time I heard Boris will address the nation tomorrow and tell the UK he is putting us on full lockdown for 15 days, with the army being deployed to protect from looters.

    Could be BS, could be true, but most of my Army friends are on their way back.

    Operation Broadshare.  Essential services only, and must have a reason to be travelling or doing something.   Speaking to a few in the know. 

    21 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    A breakdown of the data from PHE is now available 

    Local Authorities top 10 with the most confirmed cases

     

    1.  
    2. Southwark - 70
    3.  

    Does make you worry, but then having lived in Southwark all my life - the people here are disgusting.   Spitting on floors (yesterday), coughing without a care in the world and not covering mouths and people sneezing without doing it correctly as advised.   I just am not surprised. 

    • Like 4
  9. 1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

    Was expecting a drop this is alarming something is going wrong...

     

    I think what I've highlighted below.

    Just now, Summer Sun said:

    Some more data from Italy

    • 14,363 in hospital with symptoms
    • 2,257 in intensive care
    • 12,090 in home self-isolation.

    But then it could just be how many have ended up in Hospital.

  10. 2 hours ago, Wiltshire_snow_lover said:

    London is braced for a lockdown as the Government prepares emergency legislation to prevent the spread of coronavirus, The Telegraph understands.

    Sources close to the mayor’s office say they expect a shutdown of the capital in the coming days. Legislation in the Coronavirus Bill would give the Government emergency powers to “close premises” and “restrict or prohibit events and gatherings” that includes restricting transport networks.

    TELEMMGLPICT000228096381-xlarge_trans_Nv
    WWW.TELEGRAPH.CO.UK

    London is braced for a lockdown as the Government prepares emergency legislation to prevent the spread of coronavirus, The Telegraph understands.

     

    Seen a few pictures of the Army on Twitter.  Rumours spreading from people of a friend of a friend.   Wonder if the easiest way is not to announce it but to do it overnight?

    44 minutes ago, Saint coolio said:

    The way 2020 is shaping up, my money is on the comet

    I said this the other day, but I am sure we can't discuss this on an open forum!?

  11. 2 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

    I’m not blaming Johnson in particular but he is PM and will always be held responsible by the public , that’s part of the job .

    My issue is with the  CMO and his team who should have known that herd immunity is not something you try and deliver and should have advised the PM accordingly.

    Its a result of many things often outside of the control of governments .

    This was indeed policy trying to be too clever for its own good . Relying on a host of assumptions that had never been proven or even tested before .

    The only priority all along should have been stopping an NHS crisis , trying to think too long term isn’t possible in the current circumstances.

     

    I am wondering if this was all just a plan to get people to stay at home, and prevent people from actually spreading this further.  Everywhere was a ghost town in London this evening.  

    • Like 2
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