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Robbie Garrett

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Everything posted by Robbie Garrett

  1. Staying in St Neots and just had a huge hail shower. This one is now passing through.
  2. Does @Glacier Point still frequent these forums? His views on the models were awesome
  3. Part of the long-range forecast not updated yet; Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Sun 12 Nov 2023 Normally done by 1500.
  4. I saw this posted on Twitter earlier; a tripole anomaly in the Atlantic clearly shows a band of cooler waters sandwiched by warmer waters to the north and south. The cold winters of 2009/10 and late 2010 were characterised by a similar tripole pattern in the North Atlantic which produced a negative NAO.
  5. Interesting 06z run - goes for height rises to our SW/W from the Azores. Jetstream starts to buckle Semi reliable time-frame - wonder if further runs will start indicating this? Somewhat similar to the UKMO line of thinking. A cut off low below the high in the Med Wonder what's causing the height rises and the evolution of a Scandi high over the UK towards Mid-End of November.
  6. Considering this is how November 2nd was in 2010 It's not bad 2023 Things can change very dramatically. End of November 2010
  7. GFS in FI now hinting at what the UKMO was suggesting on Long-range forecast... 360hrs NH 384hrs EUR
  8. Something happening Biggin Hill way, these aircraft are holding and then changing it's pattern very quickly. Must be explosive development.
  9. Lightning and booming thunder to my SW (London) out of nowhere.
  10. Few cells firing over London behind that main band. Presume nocturnal cooling. Sporadic pulse cells it seems.
  11. Rinse repeat maybe? But definitely a hint from the UKMO long-term of settled weather.
  12. SIGMET Showing TOPS at FL400-FL430 in those two cells. Almost tropical.
  13. Gotta report you now to the SAOFIB - Storm actively off Investigation branch
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