A lot more convective than forecast. Just has a decent thunderstorm, ball bearing size hail and lightning, two claps of thunder.
More bubbling up in the distance.
I saw this posted on Twitter earlier; a tripole anomaly in the Atlantic clearly shows a band of cooler waters sandwiched by warmer waters to the north and south. The cold winters of 2009/10 and late 2010 were characterised by a similar tripole pattern in the North Atlantic which produced a negative NAO.
Interesting 06z run - goes for height rises to our SW/W from the Azores. Jetstream starts to buckle
Semi reliable time-frame - wonder if further runs will start indicating this? Somewhat similar to the UKMO line of thinking.
A cut off low below the high in the Med
Wonder what's causing the height rises and the evolution of a Scandi high over the UK towards Mid-End of November.