Summer Sun

8.7c to the 19th 4.9c above the 61 to 90 average 4.3c above the 81 to 10 average

BBC said it's turning chiller later in the week. They then show temperatures ranging from 7c in the north to 10c in the south. That's not really chilly for late winter.

Saturday 24 Feb - Monday 4 Mar It will remain rather cool and changeable over the weekend with further showers or longer spells of rain in most areas, but perhaps more especially in the south of the UK. It's also likely to be windy at times, and there is a small chance that it could be quite stormy, so probably worth keeping an eye on the forecast. A generally unsettled pattern is most likely to continue through to early March bringing spells of rain across all areas at times, wettest in the west and northwest, where it'll be windy too at times. Temperatures generally around average though some short-lived colder interludes are possible. These more likely in the north which may allow snow to fall to lower levels at times. Tuesday 5 Mar - Tuesday 19 Mar A continuation of unsettled conditions is most likely in this period with low pressure systems likely to continue to cross over or close-to the UK, with mostly short-lived spells of drier and brighter weather between times. Temperatures are likely to be near normal overall, with occasional night frosts, but values will fluctuate as weather systems come and go. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.6c to the 18th 4.8c above the 61 to 90 average 4.2c above the 81 to 10 average

A very mild and dry night with patchy cloud and calm Temp 8.0c

Friday 23 Feb - Sunday 3 Mar Unsettled on Friday and over the weekend with showery conditions across the country and windy at times. Showers likely to be heaviest and most frequent into western areas. Any snow will be resticted to hills, mainly in the north. Temperatures will be around average for the time of year, possibly rather cold in the north with overnight frost most likely here. A generally unsettled pattern is most likely through to early March bringing spells of rain across all areas at times, wettest in the west and northwest, and occasionally windy too. Temperatures generally around average though some short-lived colder interludes are possible. These more likely in the north which may allow snow to fall to lower levels at times. Monday 4 Mar - Monday 18 Mar A continuation of unsettled conditions is most probable for early March with winds tending to be from the west or northwest. Temperatures generally around average though with some short lived colder interludes possible. Confidence typically lowers towards mid-March but there are signs that conditions may turn less unsettled and drier as higher pressure has more influence. This also increases the likelihood of some colder spells but overall temperatures are mostly likely to be around average. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.4c to the 17th 4.6c above the 61 to 90 average 4.0c above the 81 to 10 average

Thursday 22 Feb - Saturday 2 Mar Conditions remain unsettled on Thursday with some early showers from the west displaced by longer spells of rain from the southwest spreading across the UK through the day, some hill snow possible in far north UK. Toward Friday skies clear with showers then pushing in from the west though the day for a day of sunny spells and occasional showers, blustery across coasts. Temperatures around average for the time of year though edging cooler in north-western areas. From Saturday conditions expected to remain unsettled with occasional bands of rain or showers, heaviest rainfall affecting the west, although most areas likely to see some rainfall. Occasional strong winds especially in north-western areas, with more settled conditions across the south and east where driest and brightest conditions more likely. Sunday 3 Mar - Sunday 17 Mar First part of March liable to see a slightly higher than normal likelihood of winds from the west then edging northerly later in the period. This likely leading to initially unsettled conditions with transitory settled periods and typically average temperatures in the Atlantic flow, cooler at times in northern regions, before increasing likelihood of colder and drier than average conditions from mid-month. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.3c to the 16th 4.5c above the 61 to 90 average 3.8c above the 81 to 10 average

BBC Monthly Outlook Summary Unsettled into spring with variable temperatures Saturday 17 February to – Sunday 25 February Unsettled and becoming chillier Monday 26 February to – Sunday 3 March Unsettled weather with seasonable temperatures Monday 4 March to – Sunday 17 March Milder for a time. Possibly colder mid-month Further ahead In the next update on Wednesday we will see if there any higher confidence on developments in early March. After the expected colder spell will there be any milder weather for a while? https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Wednesday 21 Feb - Friday 1 Mar Most likely wet and mild in the south to start Wednesday with a brighter but cooler start in northern areas before rain moves in from the west for all. Conditions turn unsettled with northwest winds carrying showery conditions over the British Isles from Thursday with clearer conditions in the east through the remainder of the week, returning the UK to more average temperatures for the time of year, though sometimes cooler in northwest areas. From Saturday conditions expected to remain unsettled with occasional bands of rain or showers, heaviest rainfall affecting the northwest, although most areas likely to see some rainfall. Occasional strong winds especially in north-western areas, with more settled conditions across the south and east where driest and brightest conditions more likely. Saturday 2 Mar - Saturday 16 Mar First half of March liable to see a slightly higher than normal likelihood of winds from the west then edging northerly later in the period. This likely leading to initially unsettled conditions with transitory settled periods and typically average temperatures in the Atlantic flow, cooler at times in northern regions, before increasing likelihood of colder and drier than average conditions from mid-month. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.1c to the 15th 4.3c above the 61 to 90 average 3.6c above the 81 to 10 average

Data suggests we've fallen just short of the date record, with Pershore College and Teddington Bushy Park both hitting 18.1c

7.7c to the 14th 3.9c above the 61 to 90 average 3.2c above the 81 to 10 average

Today could be the warmest February 15th on record in the UK. The current date record is 18.2c in Colwyn Bay.

Austria is currently 6.8c above average for February bar an exceptionally cold second half of the month, they are on course to have their warmest February since records began 256 years ago in 1768.

Monday 19 Feb - Wednesday 28 Feb Higher pressure on Monday with bright or sunny spells across much of the UK, though this could bring a greater incidence of night-time frosts and fog. Risk of a heavier showers developing by day across the west and north, but for most staying dry. Staying mild and feeling warm in the sunshine. How long this drier weather lasts is uncertain, as mild, cloudy conditions with outbreaks of rain or drizzle are expected to return from the west or southwest either later in the week or during the following weekend. Northern parts of the UK may see the best of any remaining dry and frosty conditions, with the south most likely to see the majority of the rainfall. Thursday 29 Feb - Thursday 14 Mar During late February and early March, there is a slightly higher than normal likelihood of northerly or easterly winds occurring, which would increase the chance of colder and drier than average conditions. Spells of milder and wetter weather are still likely to occur at times, especially in the south and southwest, with the potential for snow on the boundary between milder and colder air. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk BBC Monthly Outlook Summary Unsettled and mild then chillier later. Wednesday 14 February to – Sunday 18 February Changeable and mostly mild. Monday 19 February to – Sunday 25 February Wet periods. Turning chillier later in the week. Monday 26 February to – Sunday 10 March Chilly at times, especially in the north. Further ahead Friday's update will look at whether there is any higher confidence in late February and early March patterns, and will allow us a look towards mid-March. https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

7.6c to the 13th 3.8c above the 61 to 90 average 3.0c above the 81 to 10 average

England has had its warmest 13/14th February night on record with 11.5c in the Isles of Scilly, beating the old record of 11.1c in Teignmouth in 1914

Parts of north-eastern USA are bracing themselves for their heaviest snowfall in two years, with up to 15 inches forecast. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-us-canada-68280125

Sunday 18 Feb - Tuesday 27 Feb Higher pressure on Sunday with bright or sunny spells across much of the UK, though this could bring a greater incidence of night-time frosts and fog. Risk of a few heavier showers developing by day across the west and north, but for most staying dry. Staying mild and feeling warm in the sunshine. How long this drier weather lasts is uncertain, as mild, cloudy conditions with outbreaks of rain or drizzle are expected to return from the west or southwest either later in the week or during the following weekend. Northern parts of the UK may see the best of any remaining dry and frosty conditions, with the south most likely to see the majority of the rainfall. Wednesday 28 Feb - Wednesday 13 Mar During late February and early March, there is a slightly higher than normal likelihood of northerly or easterly winds occurring, which would increase the chance of colder and drier than average conditions. Spells of milder and wetter weather are still likely to occur at times, especially in the south and southwest, with the potential for snow on the boundary between milder and colder air. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

Winters not done yet! We have eight days of NON-STOP snow on the way. UK snow: Britain to be covered by eight days of NON-STOP snow over a foot deep WWW.GBNEWS.COM The temperature is also set to plummet to as low as -5C

7.6c to the 12th 3.8c above the 61 to 90 average 2.9c above the 81 to 10 average

Saturday 17 Feb - Monday 26 Feb The weekend is likely to remain rather unsettled with further rain or showers for many, and it will often be mild, but by the start of next week, high pressure might start to take hold and bring more-settled conditions. This could bring a greater incidence of night-time frosts and fog. How long this drier weather lasts is uncertain, as mild, cloudy conditions with outbreaks of rain or drizzle are expected to return from the west or southwest either later in the week or during the following weekend. Northern parts of the UK may see the best of any remaining dry and frosty conditions, with the south most likely to see the worst of the rainfall. Tuesday 27 Feb - Tuesday 12 Mar During late February and early March, there is a slightly higher than normal likelihood of northerly or easterly winds occurring, which would increase the chance of colder and drier than average conditions. Spells of milder and wetter weather are still likely to occur at times, especially in the south and southwest, with the potential for snow on the boundary between milder and colder air. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

7.8c to the 11th 4.0c above the 61 to 90 average 3.1c above the 81 to 10 average