Summer Sun

yeah lol NAE showing the potential 18:00 Friday midnight

Yeah quite a bit of snow in parts of Scotland now Tomorrow night is a tricky one as parts of the region could see snow even at low levels but it all depends whats left once the band of rain moves west to east if it makes it over the pennines then some snow will fall on its leading edge

Largely Dry Milder Next Week Rain Mainly in North http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131205

Once these winds ease we'll be in the colder air it will be bitterly cold tomorrow temps 3c max sunny to start before turning cloud pushes in from the west this could give some light snow or icy rain for a time this could potentially arrive around the evening rush hour

6.6c to the 4th 1.5 above the 61 to 90 average

HGV driver dead as winds hit 142mph in Scotland http://news.sky.com/story/1178035/weather-one-dead-as-100mph-winds-batter-uk

Arctic snow storm to roar in today with 100mph winds AN ARCTIC storm threatens to cause chaos today with gales, heavy snow and blizzards. Winds of up to 100mph are set to batter the North, with 70mph gusts expected elsewhere. Laura Young, of The Met Office, warned last night: “The worst of the winds are going to hit in the early hours of Thursday, although it will remain blustery after then.†Forecaster Jo Farrow, of Netweather, said “the floodgates will open†for cold Arctic air to sweep across the UK. She added: “There will be severe gales and damaging gusts followed by a bitterly cold wind bringing snow showers.†Temperatures are expected to fall to freezing in the South with lows of -5C (23F) in the North before the weekend. Jonathan Powell, of Vantage Weather Services, said: “A blast from the Arctic regions is set to hit the UK today, with the North taking the brunt of it. “We could see 10 inches of snow in parts of the North as this Arctic storm takes hold.†Bookmakers Coral have cut odds of snow in central London before midnight Sunday to 6-1. http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/446858/Arctic-snow-storm-to-roar-in-today-with-100mph-winds

Windy and ColdHeavy Snow in EastIssued: 0530hrs Thursday 5 December 2013 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Dry across the Mediterranean Today Very windy across northern Europe today with gale to severe gales across Britain moving in through Scandinavia. Outbreaks of heavy snow are expected across Norway with rain across Britain stretching in across the Low Countries through Sweden. For much of France and Germany it should generally be dry. Dry across western parts of Poland with some snow in the east. An area of heavy snow will stretch across Russia, down towards the Baltic States, Finland, into Belarus and Ukraine. Lots of dry weather to come across Austria, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, the Adriatic Region, Greece and Turkey. Fine as well across much of the Mediterranean with sunny spells across Italy, into Sardinia and to the west through the Balearics across all of Portugal and Spain. For much of mainland Europe it will be quite a cold day with some zero temperatures in the far east and across much of Scandinavia. Friday A cold today come across central and eastern parts of Europe is some zero temperatures spread west into Poland and all of Scandinavia. It will feel even colder with gale force northwest winds expected from Germany eastward to Russia which will be producing outbreaks of snow and heavy snow showers across Germany, Denmark, much of Scandinavia, Poland, the Czech Republic, the Baltic States and across Belarus, Ukraine and Russia. For Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, most of Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and Turkey it will remain dry with sunny spells. Continued dry as well across Italy through Sardinia into Spain and Portugal with sunny spells. Most of France will again be dry with a few rain showers across Belgium and a few wintry showers across Holland. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20131205

00z rain forecast for the south following on from last night with the potential still for 2 weeks of no rain

The ensemble supports a very dry outlook for the south, so its not out the question

As Gibby pointed out the next 2 weeks has very little rain some parts of the south could go 2 weeks without any

ECM ensemble maintains southwesterly winds this evening

t240 from ECM cooler in Scotland but milder else where

Slightly cooler and more unsettled at t216 in the north

The high at t192 is further east tonight on ECM with winds coming from the south west it certainly wouldn't be cold

In the short term the general idea is for the cold air on Friday to move east and milder air moving over the UK GFS temps from Sunday shows most places getting above average early next week by Wednesday it could become cooler for many

Anyone fancy a 1070mb Greeny high ?

Weather onlines month ahead forecast including a look at Christmas which may well be Green Valid from 30/11 to 27/12 2013Dry overallIssued: Wednesday 4th December 2013 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling & Captain Bob Plenty of dry weather, only a brief colder snap The area of high pressure which has been hanging around the UK and Ireland for the past few weeks looks set to remain our guest for much of December. It is likely to be a dry month for many, and although cool at times, there are signs of a only a brief colder snap around the middle of the month. 8/12/13 to 13/12/13* High pressure is expected to be in control of conditions through the course of the coming week. This is going to be bringing plenty of dry weather across much of the UK and Ireland. It is likely to be mild for a while, especially into the middle stages of the week. Indications of temperatures slipping later in the week, although probably becoming 'cool' rather than 'cold'. *14/12/13 to 20/12/13* There is consistency from models that high pressure remains the main factor in the weather through the week. This brings more dry weather. However, temperatures are expected to be slowly slipping as the week progresses, and by the middle to end of the week it may be fairly cold. There is likely to be a fair amount of cloud around too, the best of any sunshine always in the west. In areas of lighter winds, such as Scotland and northwest England as well as the northern half of Ireland, winds may be light enough to allow mist and fog patches to form. The risk of a frost increases through the week. *21/12/13......27/12/13* The area of high pressure is expected to again be dominant in the run up to Christmas, although it may be that the winds become more south to southeasterly leading to slightly milder conditions. There is the threat of some rain in the far west, but the east is expected to remain dry. It's hard to see any signs of a White Christmas! *28/12/13......3/1/14* Conditions may become a little more mixed through the New Year period. Cloud and rain could affect more southern areas, with the north dry. Rain reaching the north later, possibly preceded by some wet snow. There is the chance that as we enter the new year a spells of strong southwest winds may ensue, bringing more unsettled conditions. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=monthahead&DAY=20131204

Wrap up very warm! Snow and Arctic winds set to hit the nation tomorrow BRITAIN is on alert for Arctic storms ­ripping across the country tomorrow as winter roars in. Up to 10 inches of snow could hit parts of the exposed North with bitterly cold gusts of almost 100mph over high ground, said forecasters. The Met Office issued severe weather warnings for violent gales across much of the UK plus a snow alert in Scotland until Friday. The whole of Britain could see snow flurries by the end of the week. With windchill, overnight temperatures could plunge to -11C (12F) in parts of the North over the next few days while dipping to -5C in the South, including London. Met Office spokeswoman Nicky Maxey said an Atlantic depression will move in tonight with 90mph gusts in the North. She said: “This could lead to travel disruption especially across Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland. “Large waves may also cause flooding in Orkney and the Western Isles and along the East coast of England. “Everywhere is going to experience a very short cold snap.†Other experts predicted gusts of up to 100mph over Scottish mountains ­tomorrow and up to 10 inches of snow over very high ground in the North. Jonathan Powell, of Vantage Weather Services, said: “The full force of the Arctic blast is set to hit on Thursday. “The odd snow flurry could be seen ­almost anywhere.†Coral cut odds of snow in ­central London this weekend to 5-1. Spokeswoman Nicola McGeady said: “With temperatures set to plummet, we have had an avalanche of bets on a white weekend.†http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/446645/Wrap-up-very-warm-Snow-and-Arctic-winds-set-to-hit-the-nation-tomorrow

Yesterday the NAO was showing to go negative this afternoon its a complete turn around

NAO from yesterday showing a very clear trend, a negative one 2 successive update its going negative I wonder what today's update will show The ensembles are very clear this morning from Sunday or Monday for around 10 days we have 850's above average across the UK

Cold then very mild Becoming mainly dry Severe Gales Thursday http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131204

Spain dry and sunnyStormy in northern EuropeIssued: 0530hrs Wednesday 4th December 2013 Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson Fine weather spreads through the Mediterranean Wednesday Bright and sunny weather for Portugal, Spain and France on Wednesday. Just an isolated shower possible in southern Spain. Italy sees an improvement too, with mostly dry conditions. A scattering of showers for Greece and remaining breezy. Some persistent rain for southern Turkey with mountain snow. Plenty of cloud across northern France, Belgium and Germany with outbreaks of light rain and drizzle around North Sea coasts. Switzerland and Austria are dry with sunny spells. Dry weather for eastern Europe, with more cloud in Poland. Rain spreads into the Baltic states, whilst Finland and Sweden will have sunny spells and are mostly dry but cold. Persistent falls of snow affect western Norway, with strong winds. Thursday Another bright and sunny day for Spain and Portugal, with fine conditions extending to southern France, the Balearics and Italy. Greece and Turkey see mostly dry and bright weather, with just the odd shower. More cloud for northern France, with blustery winds. Germany is largely dry but with strong winds by the afternoon in the north bringing rain later. Gales developing for the Low Countries and Denmark, by afternoon, and heavy falls of rain. Stormy seas affect North Sea coasts too. Partly cloudy but dry through Switzerland, Austria and Hungary. Some heavy snow throughout Norway, and rain in southern Sweden, possibly turning to snow. Some showers in Finland but brighter weather here. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20131204

ECM ensemble doesn't look as good for an easterly tonight +5 850's widely as well

20:30