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Stuie

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Everything posted by Stuie

  1. Stuie
    If we are going to go there, here is the wet bulb level 6PM Friday. Would be epic.
  2. Stuie
    Nice Mark. Looking at those I would the 528DAM is maybe around Carlisle. Glasgow without going into FI stays cold. Tons of scatter. When Glasgow goes + 850`s, then pattern probably over.
  3. Stuie
    I posted (must be pages back now) the Wet bulb levels for tomorrow. IF the far South does get snow tomorrow (may tie in with the instability chart I also posted) then a true learning curve. If XYZ happens then hopefully by next Winter, we will be much wiser.
  4. Stuie
    Arpege 12z ensembles (only posting as many have faith in it`s precipitation accuracy) Weds 8am Weds 10PM Thurs 6pm First 2 agree with, third in the air.
  5. Stuie
    TBH mate, you have only posted charts that back up your excitement, I have seen nearly every post. The whole thing about IMBY is not true, posting charts from the models that happens to have your location isn`t a fault (IMO). Keep being excited.
  6. Stuie
    Looking at the NH profile today and the AO, the outliers it has thrown add up. Looks at least a neutral AO. NAO digging into staying negative.
  7. Stuie
    No bias either Matt, only post what the models are showing. I still think FI is 24hrs at the min so as much as Thurs/Fri are modifying the LP track, who knows. 1 thing I have seen from today is the ECM is following the UKMO. Tomorrow? who knows. At least it isn`t drab mate. Take it easy. Edit: I am supposed to be going to Lincolnshire Friday to a 2nd hand record store so maybe a bias to switch things up.
  8. Stuie
    Very true Blue. I am currently -5 DP and does raise when systems come in. Also dependent on the wet bulb level and 850`s. Tricky yep.
  9. Stuie
    ECM follows the UKMO and taking the LP Thurs straight across and ends up off Kent by Friday.
  10. Stuie
    Nope, pretty much a true Greenie high.
  11. Stuie
    Waiting for a @nick sussex faxgate comment. That has the centre much more South compared to the FAX.
  12. Stuie
    Here is the 48hr, with trough for South. 528DAM well North.
  13. Stuie
    FAX chart for Friday 00. (midnight Thurs) 528 DAM mid Scotland.
  14. Stuie
    Regarding the LP (UKMO) on Friday, looking at the jet it does want to take it more on a Southerly track.
  15. Stuie
    9PM tomorrow @sheikhy
  16. Stuie
    UKMO takes the LP straight across the South on Friday. 850`s look okish too.
  17. Stuie
    Faxchartgate lol, pencils at dawn. They are rolling out now.
  18. Stuie
    Ties in with the wet bulb levels. Away from higher ground South of London is wet.
  19. Stuie
    12z wet bulb levels from the GFS. Midday 6PM
  20. Stuie
    Looks like northern extent of the morning LP
  21. Stuie
    There is some instability in the South tomorrow, this may be why snow further South is in the mix without 528DAM, wet bulb level and not very optimal - 850`s.
  22. Stuie
    Midday wet bulb. Low level snow from London north possible. (Wednesday)
  23. Stuie
    With the 528DAM around the Wash, makes more sense.
  24. Stuie
    Arpege 6z ensembles have gone for it (snow wise) Weds.
  25. Stuie
    534DAM across the South, that is pushing it with hardly -6 850`s also.
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