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Stuie

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Everything posted by Stuie

  1. Stuie
    That does seem to have `some legs` for now. Regarding tomorrow night again, look where the LP or LP`s are currently and the forecast jet tomorrow. Track of tomorrows low could easily be more south and drag in less warmer air. Just having a punt.
  2. Stuie
    Of course, just interested to see if there is frontal snow. If the front slows maybe 35 mins
  3. Stuie
    This combo nailed this mornings snow in EA. Let`s see how tomorrow night goes.
  4. Stuie
    Anybody fancy a bit of the Arome tomorrow night?
  5. Stuie
    Can confirm it is now snowing in NW Essex.
  6. Stuie
    Around the globe. Extreme cold, extreme wet, extreme hot has all been experienced in the last 12 months. I know you are trolling and will be dismissed soon.
  7. Stuie
    My take on global warming. Summer wherever in the globe will be more extreme. Winter wherever in the globe will be more extreme. All event based.
  8. Stuie
    The problem is, it is at least a neutral west based NAO. Heights are way past Greenland.
  9. Stuie
    Regarding the 2nd LP due around Monday, a true soaking for many. IF only the dice fell correctly.
  10. Stuie
    Not surprised about it bring in a cold front, these LP`s have been fed arctic air for 2 days. EDIT: Still are.
  11. Stuie
    You will now know the FAX`s are delayed. Every model is but probably 6hrs, that`s probably why when you look at a radar and think `oh this front has come in quicker`.
  12. Stuie
    Not sure about this Alaro 4k but a higher res than GFS. It is also going for a decent snow precipitation rate for above.
  13. Stuie
    This is beyond frustrating, some torrential precipitation moving across the South. Stupid Island. Edit: p.s, that`s why there is an amber warning for North Wales.
  14. Stuie
    Well put Nick
  15. Stuie
    Still looking for a last hoorah with the exiting low tomorrow morning through EA. There is `some` hope.
  16. Stuie
    Good read John, thanks. 2 of my posts back these were my thoughts also (but nowhere near this level of language).
  17. Stuie
    Still a small signal for something wintry tomorrow morning/lunch as the LP exits. Looks like the tank is empty via the Arpege. Can`t see the GFS outlook (blanket snow). The 528 DAM does skirt EA. EDIT: The Arome does have a heavy precipitation exit, might be a surprise around lunch.
  18. Stuie
    Come Sunday, snow is dropped from the menu and replaced with plenty of water cress. Saturday is the last day any cold uppers cover the country. Post that stuck in a west based NAO with a conveyor belt of LP`s. Can`t see what could change to stop that.
  19. Stuie
    See what happens over here in EA soon. Marginal dew point.
  20. Stuie
    Just flicked through the UKV for the next 48hrs. If there is an amber warning in this spine area tomorrow with precipitation rate. It shows this rate for EA on Friday as it clears. 9am Edit: Like a battleground affair.
  21. Stuie
    Hit the 3 dots on the right and select hide (to delete)
  22. Stuie
    Hmm, this was `real time data` 12 hrs ago from NCEP. This is now. That isn`t much travel in 12 hrs of the LP`s considering the jet is pretty strong. EDIT: Saying that, the LP`s are a step ahead of the 12z which makes sense if you take 12z as 12 o`clock. EDIT 2: ok, models are always 1 step behind current current outlook, will think differently from now on.
  23. Stuie
    Friday snow for EA/South is a bit sketchy regarding anything left in the tank. @Tim Bland mentioned earlier whether that would be the case. The LP tomorrow starts off with a 975 core and by Friday lunch it is up to 990 by the time it moves into the N sea.
  24. Stuie
    Friday your best bet, not even sure if it will fizzle out and be N of me. Hope you see something mate. Suppose it`s the mare of modelling a LP system even at short range.
  25. Stuie
    Fair chance it could snow here on and off all the way until mid morning tomorrow before rain.
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