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Stuie

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Posts posted by Stuie

  1. 7 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:

    Some absolute crackers from the 12z ens beyond week 2...we could be sensing a pattern change..

    Who's up for it? I will get the ball rolling...let's see where this one takes us..im very optimistic for February folks.

    Come onnnn...

    gensnh-5-1-360.png

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    gensnh-16-1-348.png

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    gensnh-26-1-360.png

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    Tough one, Matt. Your end frame has a near complete vortex parking itself in it`s happy Winter home. Yeah I`m game to keep watching or I wouldn`t be typing but we do need something special to stop that last frame!

  2. 1 hour ago, TillyS said:

    The 12z UKMMO still has quite a storm on Sunday, and another potent one on Tuesday:

    Screenshot2024-01-17at17_47_36.thumb.png.2352c472881e98daf4dd43a838f9ebf5.pngScreenshot2024-01-17at17_47_55.thumb.png.c487732ec7d4946945b8366a5ff79e6b.pngScreenshot2024-01-17at17_48_21.thumb.png.848c1cfdf3bdd84fe1b7ca10bd51acfb.png

    The track is everything in terms of who gets it worse. Further north with the GFS.

    It looks pretty fierce on the Fax chart:

    Screenshot2024-01-17at17_44_55.thumb.png.65f78a7b74ad218dfacf83b3002049b8.png

    couple of things, the gusts are measured in km/h and not mph thankfully. 

    Like when chasing snow or X, there is still plenty of time for modification, normally in a negative manor but I would start to be concerned if Fridays output either agreed or intensified the status.

    • Like 3
  3. 6 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

    ECM / GEM / GFS are all showing some type of pressure rise over the UK on day 10

    image.thumb.png.3ffb7fae927963b75710117bfa21e02f.png image.thumb.png.7c1a0bcd128e08bb101090f2fd60cc3f.png image.thumb.png.4542b64ea02e53115ab98a380bf8b20a.png

    Interesting consistency at that range, if nothing else!

    Before then, however, we have a potentially damaging storm coming in for Sunday

    image.thumb.png.d9f0697b838c6369d35a3645fc008aa0.png image.thumb.png.1f6df868eaae4f17c052438b8d7f57af.png

    According to the GFS, that's 80-90mph winds across a large swathe of the country.  These types of extreme windspeed do tend to downgrade, and let's hope they do!

    Been looking at that. The system is trending North aided by the jet. It is worth keeping an eye on but could end up skirting the North of Scotland.

    • Like 1
  4. 4 minutes ago, MAF said:

    There is a lot of 'hanging hats' in posts above. Is that because people are looking too far ahead?

    in the coming days we have a full on northerly, a channel low which might be more north than south, ppn likely to be snow in the north and possibly the south depending on the low, sub zero windchill or 'feel like' temps and wintry conditions for the next 3-5 days. 

    Hey! it's winter in the UK lets be happy that at least it 'feels' like winter and not autumn regardless of what a computer model tells us 😄

    Nothing strange here, it's just the annual Netweather mood swings.

    Situation should be pretty clear of this potential 'spell' by Sunday night.

    • Like 3
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