legritter

Dear Frosty ,i will hold you to this ,yes some good looking charts at longer range ,lets hope tomorrow continues as today ends ,

no its not an old wives tail .if we are in a cold pattern say high pressure somewhere to our north and its mainly dry what happens is low pressure exiting the states moves across the atlantic and can bring snow if it moves close to the uk ,but it does not happen very often ,you need the right weather patterns especially the jet aligned right .Im feeling a bit more upbeat tonight lets hope something is a lurking out there perhaps at day 10/11 .cheers .just would add that i meant weather system rather than any wintry element making it across the atlantic ,cheers .

Another area of rain now showing up s /west of southern ireland on satelite now .this front is shown tonight to move east then s/east so not sure yet on exact areas to be affected but looks like s west england perhaps getting as far north as bristol ,certainly one to watch .tomorrows systems probably adding a good 25 mm of rain with hvy showers to follow monday and possibility of steady rain tues and wed ,beyond that hard to call at this time .Take care out there everyone as flooding could get worse over coming days ,

Yes its a case of watch this Space ,if there is a cold spell out there mid month the models will take a while to show us .mid month is 11 days away gang so expect ups and downs like last nights ECM and of course this mornings ,keep an eye on met office further outlook .they wont commit untill definate signs are within their radar and when it is they will im sure Tell us all .

Hang on posters the roller coaster starts tonight .very pleased with tonights runs and will be even more so if tomorrows keeps going in the same direction .But alas caution is needed if its out there expect swings from day today but wait to see what is indicated over say two runs .also met office daily updates for those clues in the charts we dont get to see .perhaps mother nature as just been waiting for our kneck of the woods .but good signs without a doubt . WHERE,SFrosty with those STellas .

There are so many things out there that need to change before we get some realy good shots for us coldies .But Data and models and Met office are Hinting so we are i feel in with a chance .perhaps we just creep along for a while with this zonal hell then all the Models start singing together ,lets hope it starts with tonights runs ,

A good sign ,we i feel are starting to see a possible stop to this zonal Slaughter ,realy hope to see some beefing up of the charts and hopefully all models singing together .and its great that we have plenty of winter left .

not much here on west mendip ,had some moderate showers earlier with gusty winds ,looks like this afternoon early evening could get interesting ,and possibly some very hvy rain sat morning ,then more sun/mon ,stay safe .

rain here not so hvy so far ,but gusty last hour ,expecting some hvy downpours tomorrow ,take care out there tonight , hvy rain now hitting windows .

Good idea ,it is an attraction and nature at its most awesom ,KEY WORDS ALL TAKE CARE ,JCB s COULD COME IN HANDY WHEN OUR SNOW ARRIVES ,Cheers .

If your going to watch the storm and high tides [DO IT FROM A DISTANCE ]Plenty of warnings have been given If your going for fun forget it ,water is heavy and just a small wave hitting could easily knock you off your feet .i would say if you are there for fun and have to get rescued you should fit the bill ,Take care out there .

fROSTY YOUR A STAR ,Crack open a stella ,sit down and relax and watch those STella runs come later this week ,Happy new year to all on Netweather .

Well at least we have the possibility of some colder conditions in the further modeled outlook .And bearing in mind that the middle of January is 15 days away its whats beyond that which at the moment is realy hard to predict even with supercomputers .I would like to say what a fantastic year weatherwise its been and a great treat every day to see so many Informative posts a great learning forum THE BEST ,a good new year to all my fellow posters and Cheers ,STELLAS all round .

Good afternoon all fellow posters .Well models and Data currently shows hardly any let up in our stormy and wet end of the year ,with plenty more atlantic weather to come for at least the next 8/10days .Im half expecting a sudden change in the far outlook given chatter across many weather channels and info taken from the web ,lets hope this is the case but patience i think will be needed as any possible SSW etc could take some time to affect current conditions .Long range forecasting beyond two weeks is so hard to achieve even with todays super Computers .Just take todays monthly outlook that could change suddenly come this week so i have found an alternative machine to find out the general pattern ONE Month from now its called the TARDIS .unless you want to rely on CFS ,Certainly not boring weather ,roll on tonights runs ,cheers gang .

Evening all ,Mullender 83 as a 500 w spot light ,good idea i had one last year but now 250 one they are good for catching those magical snow flakes as our street lighting goes off at midnight .drove across the mendip highway today lovely frost in shady places we had a good white one here on west mendip .well winds picking up outside but looks like the rain will creep in later my best estimate probably 9pm ish .as for our further outlook ,windy wet for a while but hopefully some colder air eventually being brought further south to our shores .plenty of winter left ,cheers all and a wonderfull new year to all my fellow posters .

Lets all club together and send Mullender Ski ing then we can enjoy some snow ,i saw plenty of bumble bees yesterday .a fantastic hail storm and a partridge in a pear tree ,cheeers gang .

Still signs in the Models of colder air gradually feeding in over the UK in later charts .And with high pressure setting up over N/WEST russia a real worry as fronts and troughs stall or slow down possibly over us .But at this stage flooding becomes a real worry ,what happens out past 9/10 days in my opinion is not yet modeled so from a coldies wish list lets hope a block to our north /east sets up .All in all i feel some possible chances out there .

I think there are some good signs in the models and Data in the further outlook today .if not deep cold maybe v cold zonal which we all know can deliver giving good synoptics .im not going to preach on looking too far ahead but we all know the score .the top guns [MET OFFICE ]will only put pen to paper if they see plenty of evidence in their models and Data we dont get to see ,so its a case of reading any updates and picking out certain key quotes etc .the trouble is at the say Ten /Twelve day range they might very well have good signs on a specific pattern but what is around the next corner at the 12/16 day range ,ever changing data in a Science which is not Exact .So certainly with 9 ish weeks of winter left plus March its still GAME ON Pour yourself a DRINK ,If your weather is severe wind and floods you have Hit the jackpot this coming week or so .cheers gang ECM on the way .

Welcome Lassie 23 ,weather will somewhere balance itself out ,but no guarantee when ,but we are in a very interesting Mode currently .Yes we had big bumble bees , bulbs coming up Moths galore ,but that could all go in a flash ,enjoy our forum and post we are all in it together to enjoy ,cheers .

i,ll take the possibility of the ecm and broad feeling from all weather related channels out to max of two weeks thats 14 days into the future a long long time in forecasting even with todays massive computers and Sat information .and with the possibility of a russian block setting up the weather two weeks from now could be totally different let alone one whole Month .All to play for gang ,dont think otherwise unless you have a magic crystall Ball but if you do please share it with our vibrant friendly best weather Forum in the world .

Morning all posters ,still a very disturbed Atlantic looking at todays Models .Yes we have signs of possibly something taking place in the further outlook which could benefit us coldies but yet again its at the longer range .it could be a block setting up over n/west Russia or equally i feel a high pressure cell setting up further west ,or a continuation of the present Zonal train ,its just that at the 10 day range ifeel is always an eternity in meteorological ,Just going back 3 weeks in time and no sign realy of our current severe weather ,so what hope is there of getting MID January nailed from this distance ,plenty of time left so its a case i think of being patient ,And Crack open some STellas ready for this evenings runs ,CHEERS GANG

Happy Christmas to all my fellow posters well models keeping us on our toes at the moment ,and there are some signs of something possibly popping up for coldies in some of the later GFS runs today ..we just need to get other Models on board i feel before we can start counting our Turkeys .CATCH YOU ALL UP LATER cheers

looks like winds will be picking up as next hvy pulse of rain arrives around 7 ish expect several hrs of persistant hvy rain and the usual sting in the tail later .

WELL UP TILL NOW ITS BEEN JUST WINDY AND STEADY RAIN ,buT now all hell is breaking out gusts realy picking up and rain now v hvy and persistant and out towards the s/west gone black im on west Mendip 8 miles east of weston ,not that high about 80 mtrs or so .looking at radar and torrential bands of rain now moving n/east across the west country .looks like winds will moderate later then pick up severely as the main front approaches tonight edit rain now nearly monsoon ,14.32 pm this is a biggy fridays could be similar ,take care