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legritter
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Posts posted by legritter
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Hi gang ,i have said this before but i realy feel that this Net weather forum and that includes all sub forums are the best on this planet .I love the chase , the comrades , the rampers , winter is looming ,will it snow ,sliders ,channel lows ,polar lows , lake effect snow ,510 Dam ,radar watching ,curtain twitchers ,squirrels popping up with the charts ,oh good bit of fun and interesting. Well we have some very interesting weather brewing up now , latest output suggests plenty more rain , with possibly colder air tucking behind low pressure systems next week .cheers gang ,STEllas all round .
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22 minutes ago, jordan smith said:
Morning.
So the GFS sticking with a drier interlude for the first half of next week but there is a fly in the ointment and its an area of rain that may skim Eastern England for much of Monday and be very slow to push back out into the north sea with a strong chilly northeast wind.. This is courtesy of a low pressure system set to move north out of central Europe into the north sea on Monday but whether it stays far enough east to give Eastern England a dry day or is west enough to push rain into particularly east anglia and the far south east is currently a little uncertain given the high resolution models keep it away then its more likely to stay east of eastern England for the most part but nevertheless should keep an eye on it but..elsewhere Monday is looking mostly dry with just a stray shower.
Monday night/Tuesday..
Just thought I'd add that tree animation..
It starts mostly dry for Tuesday until a weak frontal system tries to push in from the west later but looking like falling to pieces as it makes inroads into more of the UK this because of a very strong blocking high developing out east.
Wednesday could be mostly dry so gives the rivers more time to recede to an extent but by Thursday the gfs shows more energised weather fronts making much more progress into much of the UK bringing heavy outbreaks of rain in places clearing to then be followed by more areas of rain from the southwest through the second half of next week but breaks in between a little hill snow for Scotland too.
Thursday and Thursday night..
But then whats this? Yes a more traditional set up beginning to take place with heavy rain pushing into Ireland/northern Ireland and western Scotland by day 9 with higher pressure to the south and east.
Monday 25th..
Its worth bearing in mind that a small shift east with the overall pattern next week particularly later next week and beyond ie blocking high further away to the east.. *could* cause us to have frequent slow moving weather fronts giving large amounts of rainfall once again to many parts of particularly England and Wales but alternatively less wet if the high pressure is stronger out east and that would mean wetter for the far northwest.
Gem for example was a pretty dry run last night but a complete flip to the deluge once again this morning because of that subtle shift east of everything.. and with the Gem this morning a more powerful jetstream with the majority of the rainfall shown on the chart below because of a deep low pushing northeast over central and southern Britain.
Sunday 24th..
That's almost certainly going to change but worth a mention.
Yesterday afternoon's accumulated rainfall forecast..
Compared with this morning's Gem 10 day accumulated rainfall.
Update you all later.
Fantastic post ,Thanks .
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Hi gang ,this is a very interesting time of the year and many of us are looking forward to the winter months .Also a very frustrating time especially with so much Data and views from people organisations etc telling us their views on the coming Winter . In a nutshell, not even mother nature knows yet and if she does shes keeping it quiet. Back to the Models my straw is the fair possibility of high pressure setting up next week to our North as shown by the Ecm in its later stages ,fingers crossed, Stellas at the ready prozack in the cupboard and a bit of luck ,cheers gang .
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Hi all ,large flakes of Snow here on west mendip mixed in with rain ,I'm about 60 metres asl , cheers .
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11 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:Its all about to go wrong now though at 192 - knew it - its that dreaded stationary shortwave off the coast of Norway - its struck again.
At 192 hrs time for changing on next run ,sit back relax STellas and sausage baps all round .But very interesting times at present even before winter begins .
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Hi gang ,great posts ,fantastic Forum .very interesting 7 to 10 day period looming , looks like a fair chance of wintry mixture but at this stage with elevation and plenty of wet weather before .cheers .
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Hi gang ,just got back from isle of Man lovely island, flood damage in some locations .Uk rivers falling at present but charts are showing some very wet synoptics over the coming 7 to 10 days and very interesting that the Uk is the place to be if you like low pressure .last night was amazing crystal clear skys ,jack frost ,scraping of cars and central heating systems sending plumes of steam to make ghostly shapes .great forum and i will be about more, now i have more leisure time. STEllas all round ,and nuts for the squirrels, get stocked up on prozack cheers gang .
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Great posts on this forum ,great charts ,very interesting weather .This weekend could be very newsworthy. Its great to have such a good gang of fellow posters ,makes our hobby very interesting, compared to before the Internet ,take care gang ,STellas all round .
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Very hvy rain in bristol ,looks like there could be some flooding issues later .
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Looking very interesting ,a tasty synoptic situation looming .lets hope the following 6 months brings plenty of STella charts Prozac moments ,Northern blocking ,below 490 dam thicknesses ,an ice bridge across the channel .right im of to Asda to stock up .Great forum ,cheers gang STEllas on me .
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Hi gang , great to read all the posts although i have been a lurker of late .finaly sorted my life out after the passing of my late wife 2 yrs ago .Looks like some real action weather over the coming 10 days .have a feeling in my water things could get very interesting ,take care all .
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Just started raini g here on west mendip .looking at all the charts ,tv weather and internet sites it certainly looks like a very wet 24 hrs and more to follow . Its great reading all the posts ,but i do tend to Lurk in the background. Hoping to be able to post more again ,i have had a very busy two years , but the house is all sorted and i now have a bit more free time again .i am looking forward to whatever Mother nature throws our way , cheers to all and STellas all round .
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1 hour ago, knocker said:
Hope we will be seeing more of young sidney .three months from now hey it could be the beast from the east ,with no food in the cupboards ,and queuing for all sorts of things , but back on topic our warm weather as predicted by todays charts will be most welcome ,cheers get the STellas out .
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I have seen in previous similar set ups everything kicks off with a sudden increase in tiny cells ,but im pretty sure its all running about Two hours late .so here on west mendip i am not expecting any light show till at least 11 pm .sure there will be some Corkers about , the question is where . Best of luck to all ,me kebabs have 2 flying ants stuck to the maple syrup , extra protein. Cheers .
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Hi Gang ,temp 29.7 here on west mendip .i am trying to avoid my conservatory at present as i have no fly nets ,the door is closed and the temperature hit 48.4 c at 13 05 , flying Ants are being attacked by bird's and spiders outside .Looks like showers are developing over north west france , could be some corkers later today, lets hope they kick off just after dark .hope many of you catch a good storm later cheers .
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52 minutes ago, Karl83 said:
Think I'm just going to sit tight in Bristol and see how the night pans out. Will definitely chase if required.
I had a flat on Dundry hill many years ago ,about 700 ft amsl ,great views for storms .think we need to wait till tomorrow for details ,but some corkers very likely for many. I cant see any warnings out yet, but expecting some later today ,cheers all .
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Hi gang ,i have been lurking around .Nice to see some good potential for quite a bit of the Uk , personally i am hoping for some overnight activity ,enough noise to empty the chimney of soot . Hope many of you get to see some Corkers , i am on a diet but today is a treat day ,sausage sandwiches and brown sauce, cheers aĺl .
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The sun is shining here in west mendip ,although hazy .looking out towards the south there are some impressive clouds forming , i think there will be some good storm activity later ,we are now approaching the longest day so thats on our side ,lets hope for some chimney shakers ,where if you have soot ,it comes falling down chimney . Best of luck to all posters ,cheers legritter .
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evening all ,im still lurking but would like to say a big thank you to all the regular posters who post charts etc .Very good charts today if you like it nice n fresh , Go back 6 weeks or so and these charts would have been Dreamland ,take care all ,cheers
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3 hours ago, Dorsetbred said:
Sounds good can I drop by....?
By all means ,still a bit left for tomorrow so may get out the pickels .temp here 3c ,watching area of precipitation to our west it seems to be taking its time ,perhaps something wintry for some, cheers .
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Hi gang ,i can report hvy rain with some sleet here on west mendip ,but in the hvy birsts some wet large flakes , just putting a chicken in the oven to go with some roasters stuffing etc , cheers .
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Hi gang ,mates ,friends ,fellow coldies ,hot lovers etc etc ,we have a fantastic forum here on net weather ,there will always be some sort of upset ,but hey take a look around other weather forums sites etc across the northern hemisphere and you will see that our forums are much more lively with loads of information for learning and enjoying .Thanks to all the posters who post weather charts , and go out of their way to give us the info to enjoy our hobby ,three cheers to all of them ,ps im looking forward to some Zonal ,take care all cheers .
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Rain radar showing an intense line of rain followed by several hours of yuk weather . No gardening today .may study the very long range charts to see if northern blocking can set up this coming winter 2019/2020 , you never know .My new diet is going well ,meat veg fruit ,but today sausage sandwiches ,batten down the hatches and take care ,cheers .
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Model output discussion - late November
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Good evening gang ,all very interesting posts today and of course a good day if you are a cold weather fan .I shall be glued waiting for tonights ecm to arrive .the photo of the squirrel attached was taken today in Exeter just outside of the met office ,it kept on chattering about it had seen their charts which were top secret ,and was heard to say as it straitened his woolly hat ,going to bribe posters on net weather ,a few bags of walnuts for a peep .great forum gang ,catch you all later .